Greg Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 Been Spitting very light snow since 10:25PM here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 3 minutes ago, wxsniss said: Mesoscale Discussion 1856 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0912 PM CST Wed Dec 16 2020 Areas affected...Extreme northeastern PA...parts of southern/eastern NY...northern CT...western and northern MA...southern NH/VT Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 170312Z - 170915Z SUMMARY...The primary band of persistent heavy snow will orient from southern/east central NY across northwestern MA to southern VT/NH through the early morning hours, with 2-3 inch per hour rates expected through 09-12z. DISCUSSION...A 1002 mb surface cyclone along the MD coast will continue northeastward through early Thursday morning, just off the southern New England coast. Very strong low-midlevel warm advection has contributed to heavy snowfall the past several hours across parts of PA/NY into southern New England. A warm nose in the 850-700 mb layer (temperatures near or just above 0 C), and ocean influences near the coast have resulted in mixed precipitation spreading northward across NJ and Long Island, and this trend will continue into coastal areas of southern New England overnight. Additionally, the midlevel dry slot has reduced saturation in the dendritic growth zone (generally 600-500 mb layer) from south to north, which has reduced snowfall intensity and also contributed to mixed precipitation types. Northwest of the dry slot, the longer-duration heavy snow is expected, with some banding structures and embedded convection in association with weak static stability and focused frontogenesis in the midlevels. Here, ascent will be maximized in the dendritic growth zone for several hours and temperature profiles will remain well below 0 C, which will support snowfall rates of 2-3 inches per hour through about sunrise. Oh’ boy oh’ boy, I’m in that blue oval! @GCWarrior and @Professional Lurker should approve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 7 minutes ago, CT Rain said: RIP my mentions LOL. Search history on Twitter forever associated with #Dickinabox. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
njtobk Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 1 minute ago, wxsniss said: 0z HREF looks great for most: Ouf, that hole in western woco Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 2 minutes ago, wxsniss said: 0z HREF looks great for most Beat me to it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 6 minutes ago, wxsniss said: Mesoscale Discussion 1856 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0912 PM CST Wed Dec 16 2020 Areas affected...Extreme northeastern PA...parts of southern/eastern NY...northern CT...western and northern MA...southern NH/VT Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 170312Z - 170915Z SUMMARY...The primary band of persistent heavy snow will orient from southern/east central NY across northwestern MA to southern VT/NH through the early morning hours, with 2-3 inch per hour rates expected through 09-12z. DISCUSSION...A 1002 mb surface cyclone along the MD coast will continue northeastward through early Thursday morning, just off the southern New England coast. Very strong low-midlevel warm advection has contributed to heavy snowfall the past several hours across parts of PA/NY into southern New England. A warm nose in the 850-700 mb layer (temperatures near or just above 0 C), and ocean influences near the coast have resulted in mixed precipitation spreading northward across NJ and Long Island, and this trend will continue into coastal areas of southern New England overnight. Additionally, the midlevel dry slot has reduced saturation in the dendritic growth zone (generally 600-500 mb layer) from south to north, which has reduced snowfall intensity and also contributed to mixed precipitation types. Northwest of the dry slot, the longer-duration heavy snow is expected, with some banding structures and embedded convection in association with weak static stability and focused frontogenesis in the midlevels. Here, ascent will be maximized in the dendritic growth zone for several hours and temperature profiles will remain well below 0 C, which will support snowfall rates of 2-3 inches per hour through about sunrise. Send that 10 miles south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LSC97wxnut Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 Steady snow. Nice coating on all surfaces in Newtonville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 Good gusts now, welcoming in this band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 Cantore is in Bethlehem PA and has been in a snow hole for 2 hours and is now getting some sleet, lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: GFS way north with the deform. Game on. Ray just swan dived into the Merrimack. Still virga here....not really feeling it but good luck to everyone waking up extra early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 Wagons north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 25/24, -SN, 0.9” The calm before the death band. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 Just now, DomNH said: Ray just swan dived into the Merrimack. Still virga here....not really feeling but good luck to everyone waking up extra early. Looks like MHT to Dentrite for Deform at our longitude Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 GFS finally catching on at T minus 0 seconds. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 Crushed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 4 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Looks like MHT to Dentrite for Deform at our longitude Yeah like I said earlier I think middle of nowhere NW Hillsborough up through Merrimack get croaked. We’re fringed on the south end. Enough fringe to break double digits? Possible for sure but I’m not super confident. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 1 minute ago, DomNH said: Ray just swan dived into the Merrimack. Still virga here....not really feeling it but good luck to everyone waking up extra early. 1 minute ago, DomNH said: Ray just swan dived into the Merrimack. Still virga here....not really feeling it but good luck to everyone waking up extra early. 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Wagons north What a shock!! I have been at the edge of my seat because we know how unpredictable these are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 1 minute ago, dendrite said: GFS finally catching on at T minus 0 seconds. GFS nailed this one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Wagons north Not quite yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 1 minute ago, OceanStWx said: GFS nailed this one. Just covered itself in sh*t 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 Started at 9:35. Became steady with white ground by 10:15. Now snowing and blowing and accumulating though flakes are smallish still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 I think radar looks outstanding for most of SNE. I would be very concerned near NYC. That radar is shredded garbage down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 Yes I agree, arctic sand is better than rain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 9 minutes ago, wxsniss said: 0z HREF looks great for most: Very similar to 0z hrrr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 1 minute ago, OceanStWx said: GFS nailed this one. At least v16 performed better. The Euro had a big bump north for the first time at 18z too so it seems to be playing catchup with the mesos too. Gotta wait for verification before the Gronk spike though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 Well I am seeing sleet and a mix developing south of the Islands, we have a few hours of decent snows and then the mix comes in heavy. Everyone west of the Canal, congrats! There are some intense bands moving through now I will stay awake until the changeover occurs! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 Much improved in the last few minutes. Pinging stopped, back to nice dendrites. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 Snow has increased significantly.....high end moderate now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 3 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Just covered itself in sh*t It's like toddler art, you just say "great job!" and hang it on the fridge anyway. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: H7 looked the same to me on the 18z EURO. I only saw the QPF maps posted here from 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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