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Dec 16-17 obs/nowcast thread


ORH_wxman
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3 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

As the mid level magic shifts toward Albany we're going to get low level stuff off the fire hose 850 jet. You can see the best 700mb frontogenesis forecing up toward Albany and S CT but SNE should see a lot of low level stuff continuing. 850s cool to near -10C for a while so we'll still get snow growth - just not dendrites. 

Will pile up eventually but sort of an ugly look on radar for a bit I think especially south.

hrrr-conus-ne-precip_1hr_inch-8195600.png

hrrr-conus-ne-uv850_mslp-8195600.png

hrrr-conus-ne-z700_speed-8195600.png

Hopefully that was well modeled and didn’t just pop up 

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3 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

As the mid level magic shifts toward Albany we're going to get low level stuff off the fire hose 850 jet. You can see the best 700mb frontogenesis forecing up toward Albany and S CT but SNE should see a lot of low level stuff continuing. 850s cool to near -10C for a while so we'll still get snow growth - just not dendrites. 

Will pile up eventually but sort of an ugly look on radar for a bit I think especially south.

 

That’s kinda what we were talking about the other night. A wall of snow down there and then a ragged look on radar for awhile with low level lift below the DGZ and some drier air aloft.

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