HVSnowLover Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 Nam actually was underdone on the extent of the mid level warming. All other models did horrible with this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wizard021 Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 High res rgem has another 4 to 6 in nyc with the ccb. Get ready. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 Had 0.5" mostly sleet past couple hours to go along with the earlier 5.5" of snow, so 6" officially...lines up well with my 0.65 melted equiv. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 6.5 at NYC that’s more than all of last winter. Definitely seems low as usual off a LE of .87 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 Just now, SnowGoose69 said: 6.5 at NYC that’s more than all of last winter. Definitely seems low as usual off a LE of .87 Guess that puts things in perspective. Still a frustrating storm in some ways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 3 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: 6.5 at NYC that’s more than all of last winter. Definitely seems low as usual off a LE of .87 We would have gotten alot more if this took the classic snowstorm track. I cant complain. I got more today than I did last winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: We would have gotten alot more if this took the classic snowstorm track. I cant complain. I got more today than I did last winter. Honestly if the dry punch didn’t come 2 hours early would have probably had 2-4 inches more 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 The sleet was short lived here Moderate snow here in Brooklyn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LaGrangewx Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 20 minutes ago up in dutchess county 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 Just now, MJO812 said: The sleet was short lived here Moderate snow here in Brooklyn Total? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 7.8 inches at midnight, Highland Mills in Orange County Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 The dryslot is just a killer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 Back to light snow uws after pounding sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 Ripping here! 6-7 inches so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STORMANLI Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 South Commack Midnight 32° PL 5.2" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 Pretty clear the high end totals won't work out unless there's some miracle coming with the stuff in PA. The dryslot chopping up the precip after the initial surge is what killed things most of all. The snow/mix line was essentially stalled under the steady snow and then surged in once the lift/dynamics moved on. I'd be at 8-10" easy if not for that. My prediction of 6-9" (probably more like 6-7") for my area likely does it. Very nice event anyway. Ignore a lousy tracking and strong 700 low at your peril! Lol 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wizard021 Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 1 minute ago, jm1220 said: Pretty clear the high end totals won't work out unless there's some miracle coming with the stuff in PA. The dryslot chopping up the precip after the initial surge is what killed things most of all. The snow/mix line was essentially stalled under the steady snow and then surged in once the lift/dynamics moved on. I'd be at 8-10" easy if not for that. My prediction of 6-9" (probably more like 6-7") for my area likely does it. Very nice event anyway. Ignore a lousy tracking and strong 700 low at your peril! Lol 850 mb low tracking se of us, this second heavy snow blob is in response to tightening 850 gradient. Its gona hit us harder than the first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 1 minute ago, jm1220 said: Pretty clear the high end totals won't work out unless there's some miracle coming with the stuff in PA. The dryslot chopping up the precip after the initial surge is what killed things most of all. The snow/mix line was essentially stalled under the steady snow and then surged in once the lift/dynamics moved on. I'd be at 8-10" easy if not for that. My prediction of 6-9" (probably more like 6-7") for my area likely does it. Very nice event anyway. Ignore a lousy tracking and strong 700 low at your peril! Lol 6-7 is not a bad December event. We still have some time to tack on more. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kat5hurricane Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 This is why I was saying 4-8 inches the last couple of days. Mid level warning is almost always underdone by the models in these marginal events at the coast. No complaints from me. It was a fun storm and it's not even officially winter yet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 4 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Ripping here! 6-7 inches so far We’re are you at . Sleet still in nw jersey l Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 6 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Pretty clear the high end totals won't work out unless there's some miracle coming with the stuff in PA. The dryslot chopping up the precip after the initial surge is what killed things most of all. The snow/mix line was essentially stalled under the steady snow and then surged in once the lift/dynamics moved on. I'd be at 8-10" easy if not for that. My prediction of 6-9" (probably more like 6-7") for my area likely does it. Very nice event anyway. Ignore a lousy tracking and strong 700 low at your peril! Lol Considering the track , we got really lucky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 4 minutes ago, kat5hurricane said: This is why I was saying 4-8 inches the last couple of days. Mid level warning is almost always underdone by the models in these marginal events at the coast. No complaints from me. It was a fun storm and it's not even officially winter yet. Good call 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 4 minutes ago, Allsnow said: 6-7 is not a bad December event. We still have some time to tack on more. Agree More tonight and then another storm possible near Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 2 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Pretty clear the high end totals won't work out unless there's some miracle coming with the stuff in PA. The dryslot chopping up the precip after the initial surge is what killed things most of all. The snow/mix line was essentially stalled under the steady snow and then surged in once the lift/dynamics moved on. I'd be at 8-10" easy if not for that. My prediction of 6-9" (probably more like 6-7") for my area likely does it. Very nice event anyway. Ignore a lousy tracking and strong 700 low at your peril! Lol Yes lesson learned if the low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 19 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: Honestly if the dry punch didn’t come 2 hours early would have probably had 2-4 inches more Warm nose usually under-modelled or over-ignored. Euro and NAM were showing or hinting at it in Mid Atl and coastal SNE /NY. Usually keeps forecasts based on qpf panels busting year after year... 2" here N of Syracuse. Yawn. We get that from a good hour from the lake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eduardo Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 Still snowing in Brooklyn Heights. Yeah it could have been more, but warning-criteria snows have been few and far between over the past decade and this is more than I saw all winter last year, so I’m grateful for it. Hopefully there’s more to come! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 35 minutes ago, KeithB said: Moderate to at times heavy snow and sleet mix going on in Rockland county right now. I cannot believe I am hearing intense pinging after they told me no way it mixes this far NW. Just shy of 7 inches right now. You’re still getting snow? I’m all sleet no snow in Sloatsburg for close to an hour now. The mid-level warming has definitely taken over for now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 4 minutes ago, snowman19 said: You’re still getting snow? I’m all sleet no snow in Sloatsburg for close to an hour now. The mid-level warming has definitely taken over for now Crazy that it made it that far NW. On the other hand parts of LI and The city are reporting snow, weird storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 Dunno when it happened but back to all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 meh should of would of could of, im not too sold on a curl around. looks to be 6-7” total here in yonkers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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