nj2va Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 3k is almost identical to the Euro out here. 1.6” QPF, all snow - Kuchera with 20-22”. Some models have the banding extending down from PA into western MD...hope that happens. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, ers-wxman1 said: There should be a special mute function just for you. Perhaps charm school would help. I see. I asked a simple question and you did not give me an proper answer. "Sure" doesn't work. If you want people to be more respectful to you, you need to be more respectful to them too. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 15 minutes ago, yoda said: Eastern Loudoun and Northwestern Montgomery and Northwest Howard were added to WSW... everyone else in the WSWatch went to WWA -- including DC metro Text: Quote ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM WEDNESDAY TO 4 AM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations of 3 to 6 inches and ice accumulations of up to one tenth of an inch. * WHERE...In Maryland, Northwest Montgomery and Northwest Howard Counties. In Virginia, Eastern Loudoun County. * WHEN...From 7 AM Wednesday to 4 AM EST Thursday. Snow will overspread the area between 9 and 11 AM. Snow will change over to a mixture of sleet and freezing rain during the afternoon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 29 minutes ago, mappy said: NAM isn't terrible up here, not like 12z. I flip to sleet from hr 26-30 when 850s are +1/+2. But back to 0 and below after hr30. sim radar shows sleet, but not sure how. 850/925 and surface temps are all below freezing. warm layer at 750 mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 18 hours is a long time 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, psuhoffman said: warm layer at 750 mb Thank you, PSU. I appreciate the straightforward answer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 @mappy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umdterps29 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, nj2va said: 3k is almost identical to the Euro out here. 1.6” QPF, all snow - Kuchera with 20-22”. Some models have the banding extending down from PA into western MD...hope that happens. Just heard my fiancee singing "Walking in a Winter Wonderland" in the kitchen and I said "you know, we could go up to deep creek and you could see a real winter wonderland tomorrow?". 15 minutes later it looks like we are going to hop in the car after dinner and head out to my future in-laws' place. Never thought I'd be able to convince her to travel for snow 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 4 minutes ago, nj2va said: 3k is almost identical to the Euro out here. 1.6” QPF, all snow - Kuchera with 20-22”. Some models have the banding extending down from PA into western MD...hope that happens. You are in a great spot for this one. Enjoy it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 5 minutes ago, mappy said: I see. I asked a simple question and you did not give me an proper answer. "Sure" doesn't work. If you want people to be more respectful to you, you need to be more respectful to them too. You are rude to me with everything! I answered your question with the first explanation! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
catoctin wx Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, umdterps29 said: Just heard my fiancee singing "Walking in a Winter Wonderland" in the kitchen and I said "you know, we could go up to deep creek and you could see a real winter wonderland tomorrow?". 15 minutes later it looks like we are going to hop in the car after dinner and head out to my future in-laws' place. Never thought I'd be able to convince her to travel for snow Nice! Grab some food at Moon Shadow while out there! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, catoctin wx said: Nice! Grab some food at Moon Shadow while out there! You know, I said this to my fiance earlier. If we hadn't just gotten back from Florida and needed to clean up our messy house in Westminster, we'd probably do the same! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, ers-wxman1 said: You are rude to me with everything! I answered your question with the first explanation! I haven't been rude with you at all. I asked a question, "above 850?" and you said "sure". That's not an answer and even after I asked for more information you decided to get cheeky with me suggesting I need a mute feature. That won't get you very far with me, sir. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 The mid levels have a very March 17 look on the 3k NAM 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 4 minutes ago, catoctin wx said: Nice! Grab some food at Moon Shadow while out there! Our place is less than 5 minutes from them in McHenry....they’ve got a solid beer selection on tap. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChesterfieldVa80 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Taking the kids to Bryce resort in Shenandoah County to see the snow. Hoping for a solid snowfall. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arlwx Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 I guess LWX wanted to note the prospect of freezing rain... URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 400 PM EST Tue Dec 15 2020 DCZ001-VAZ054-160500- /O.NEW.KLWX.WW.Y.0014.201216T1500Z-201217T0600Z/ District of Columbia-Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria- 400 PM EST Tue Dec 15 2020 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM WEDNESDAY TO 1 AM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations of 1 to 2 inches. A light glaze of ice is also possible on elevated surfaces. * WHERE...In District of Columbia, District of Columbia. In Virginia, Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria. * WHEN...From 10 AM Wednesday to 1 AM EST Thursday. Snow will overspread the area between 9 and 11 AM, and change to sleet and rain during the early afternoon. Some rain may freeze on elevated surfaces. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the evening commute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 8 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: @mappy Thanks. @DDweatherman posted a similar plot. So even with good rates, no enough space for it to go back to snow again before getting to the surface? (I'm grasping at straws, I hate sleet) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Point-and-click (and the WSW) would suggest I've got a better shot at having fun/seeing snow in Charlottesville... but I think I'm too lazy to make the drive to see maybe an extra 1-2" with a crusty top. Feel like the boom odds might be slightly better in Arlington anyways. That's what I'm telling myself, at least. Never got quite as warm today as it was supposed to -- missed the high by about 3 degrees. 38/22. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 4 minutes ago, mappy said: I haven't been rude with you at all. I asked a question, "above 850?" and you said "sure". That's not an answer and even after I asked for more information you decided to get cheeky with me suggesting I need a mute feature. That won't get you very far with me, sir. I really am sad for you and empathize with your situation because your abrasive ness is like fire ants under the skin. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, mappy said: Thanks. @DDweatherman posted a similar plot. So even with good rates, no enough space for it to go back to snow again before getting to the surface? (I'm grasping at straws, I hate sleet) Well that's just per this one sounding, but if we have a nose like that, it's tougher to erode than something in the lower levels. PSU, I wasn't up here yet. Remind me how our area did in 3/2017? I know LWX had Westminster in 12-18 and the storm didn't quite produce haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, ers-wxman1 said: I really am sad for you and empathize with your situation because your abrasive ness is like fire ants under the skin. Got it. Thankfully I don't give a shit about your thoughts of me. Have a good day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, mappy said: Got it. Thanfully I don't give a shit about your thoughts of me. Have a good day Oh did that hit a sensitive spot? Wow there is some under there. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Bombs away 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Point-and-click (and the WSW) would suggest I've got a better shot at having fun/seeing snow in Charlottesville... but I think I'm too lazy to make the drive to see maybe an extra 1-2" with a crusty top. Feel like the boom odds might be slightly better in Arlington anyways. That's what I'm telling myself, at least. Never got quite as warm today as it was supposed to -- missed the high by about 3 degrees. 38/22. Might as well embrace the fail! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, DDweatherman said: Well that's just per this one sounding, but if we have a nose like that, it's tougher to erode than something in the lower levels. PSU, I wasn't up here yet. Remind me how our area did in 3/2017? I know LWX had Westminster in 12-18 and the storm didn't quite produce haha That makes sense. I remember that March 2017 storm. Got some snow before a big thump of sleet. yippee. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, ers-wxman1 said: Oh did that hit a sensitive spot? Wow there is some under there. Nope, not at all. Good day, sir. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, clskinsfan said: Bombs away That's a great sounding....even if you flirt with/mix with sleet for a bit, check out those omegas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, mappy said: Nope, not at all. Good day, sir. Ah yes and good day to you as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostbite_falls Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, ers-wxman1 said: Oh did that hit a sensitive spot? Wow there is some under there. Oh for heavens sake give it a rest. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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