Dabuckeyes Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 4 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Not sure you can nowcast your way into an 8 degree temp drop, however. True. My point is that you have some models keeping temperatures close to freezing and others want to have a brief warm surge. In other words...who knows what will happen. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 4 minutes ago, PhineasC said: I think warning-level snow is still in the cards for you. But there will be a period of mixed crap in the middle. It will just last for a shorter period of time in your backyard than near DC, where it will be the majority of the storm. But the evolution of the day will be the same for everyone. Snow, to mix, then back to snow. Just adjust the length of the intervals, factor in a potential dry slot, and take terrain into account. And I can assure you I am not jealous of your snowstorm. My new house averages 185" a year and is sitting at 2 degrees with 10 inches OTG right now. LOL Woah, woah. No one’s talking about jealousy over snowstorms my friend. We aren’t children. I went to college in Buffalo NY and lived there for roughly 18 months after I graduated from UB. I grew up in the northeast, so I definitely understand big snows as well. Used to see 3-4-5” per hour lake effect thunder snow bands, on the regular... I miss it. which is why I’m so excited to finally have a shot at warning level snowfall. It’s not about comparing backyards, I assure you Just happy to track something. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 24/14. Clear and calm. Baro has crested ~30.30” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 The low track being depicted now is one of the biggest middle fingers I can imagine for the I-95 corridor. The low curls inland just enough to screw the cities and then promptly hops back east to dump snow from PHL to BOS. I swear it feels like there is a higher power at work here. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zdudswx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Thursday temps for most of the forum is gonna be at or below freezing for a good chunk of the day. Whatever falls has a good chance at freezing up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 7 minutes ago, PhineasC said: I'm cool with an extended sleet bomb here. Been years since we have had a good one. Let's go for it, better than rain. I think if this thing is going to over-perform near the cities, it will take that form. More sleet, less rain. Inclined to agree. Decent CAD in place with a storm tracking to the south - albeit closer to the coast than many of us east of 81 would like. Don’t see rain being a factor for points north and west of Baltimore. Sleet bomb impending. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDM Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Down to 26F/24dp here just NW of Vienna. Normal for us to be cooler than the Tyson's UHI - just enough outside of that UHI to matter. Interesting how closely the frozen precip line on the HRR approximates the Fall Line, which was mentioned at several spots in the thread the last couple of days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PivotPoint Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 13 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: New WSW just dropped at 10:30. Still going with 12-18 for the 81 corridor. Sticking with the GFS and Euro I suppose. Euro has better totals out your way. Gfs hasn’t had anywhere close to 18” in multiple runs. Given the warm air push and soundings I’ve been looking at all night, don’t see how you make it past 12”. I’d say 8-12” but either way it’s going to be a good event for you. Enjoy natures best show on earth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 21 / 19 It's cold. I hope we're not disappointed tomorrow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 4 minutes ago, WVclimo said: 24/14. Clear and calm. Baro has crested ~30.30” You are getting smashed. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherCCB Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 28/23 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Just now, EastCoast NPZ said: 21 / 19 It's cold. I hope we're not disappointed tomorrow. You wont be. Not where you live now. Good things are happening for you tomorrow my friend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: You wont be. Not where you live now. Good things are happening for you tomorrow my friend. I hope so. For all of us. For something like this is the reason I moved out here. Pretty certain that stephens city sleets a lot tomorrow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 30/21 here in Balt City and 27/20 for my target Emmitsburg tomorrow. At least stepping outside with the pup just now it "feels" like snow ahead of things for a change. Usually sweating getting the last few degrees down to 32 here - so being cold enough at start would be nice. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 3 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: I hope so. For all of us. For something like this is the reason I moved out here. Pretty certain that stephens city sleets a lot tomorrow. Where did you move? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rockem_sockem_connection Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 31/21. Kinda wonder how anyone lives in places like Green Bay when it gets this cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 28/21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wizard021 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 We are getting slammed in our area, you guys looking good too. 12 - 18 Baltimore - Boston. DC is now 3 to 6 . 1 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, Fozz said: Where did you move? I'm out 522N of winchester. A bit NW of lake holiday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 If only I could believe the GFS lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 The ARW stands for Always Really Wet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 3 minutes ago, Fozz said: Where did you move? He moved from a snow hole to a beatdown zone. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, hurricane1091 said: 31/21. Kinda wonder how anyone lives in places like Green Bay when it gets this cold. Cheese curds ? Beer brats. Wisconsin whiskey margaritas ? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, wizard021 said: We are getting slammed in our area, you guys looking good too. 12 - 18 Baltimore - Boston. DC is now 3 to 6 . The regular members of this subforum are perfectly capable of making uninformed posts, without the need for any outside help, but thanks. 1 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: If only I could believe the GFS lol I thought a few pages back it got the thumbs down. Ok up your way along the MD/PA border west for a bit? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 A very serious burn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, high risk said: The regular members of this subforum are perfectly capable of making uninformed posts, without the need for any outside help, but thanks. Dammit, HR, I was headed to the snow bank with that. Shaking my head, turning the snowmobile back around to head home... 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 26/22 NW of Fredericksburg a bit 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deer Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 28/25 hrrr continues to keep the weenie hopes alive here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Well, the Farmer's Almanac was right...it is a major East Coast storm...just not our part of the east coast, lol Old Farmer's was half right...it had snowstorm for the corridor for these dates...close! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now