snowmagnet Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 I know everyone here is looking for something to keep us in the game tomorrow. Living in the DMV for almost all of my life has shown me that winter storms around here (especially coastals) are pretty unpredictable. All week I’ve known that I could get anywhere from 1-12” IMBY depending on the Low. At this point, 12” is not in the cards for me, but I’ve seen plenty of storms that have significantly over performed when everyone thought it was over. Most of us find much of the fun in tracking winter storms. So whatever happens tomorrow, we had a good early storm to get us ready for a potentially eventful winter. At least some of you will have plenty to measure tomorrow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 11 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: I dont know what you expect me to do man. I am 12 hours from onset and a model is crushing me. I am gonna talk about it in a storm thread. I hear the weather in New Hampshire is lovely, and the New England forum has some great posters. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 I would not be shocked to see some 18-20” snowfall totals from this zone if they can stay ALL snow. With potential QPF being around 2. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
digital snow Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 If I could just get a decent front end thump and a couple inches of backside love I would be happy... Somebody call DCTeacherman. I heard thats how he likes to do events... Oh and don't forget the dry slot 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PivotPoint Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, Snowchaser said: I would not be shocked to see some 18-20” snowfall totals from this zone if they can stay ALL snow. With potential QPF being around 2. Just follow the neon glow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 8 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: if we could get the NAM track with the euro thermals we would be good lol Weirder things have happened 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umdterps29 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 6 minutes ago, nj2va said: 21/17 in McHenry. I actually wouldn’t be surprised if some sleet mixes in with snow tomorrow afternoon in McHenry...Euro/3k are both close to doing that but verbatim stay all snow. Final call is 12-18”. Upslope snow showers could add another 1” or so Thursday/Friday. This has a good shot at being the biggest storm I’ve seen out there since we bought the house 4 years ago. I’d wager the bullseye in the mid-Atlantic is likely going to be somewhere between Frostburg and Hancock into the WV panhandle. Just finished the 3 hour drive out here and it is COLD up at the top of wisp at about 3,000ft. Hoping to avoid any mixing tomorrow and enjoy the show! 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Regardless of outcome, I’m just excited to see the sky puking fatties tomorrow before sunset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, umdterps29 said: Just finished the 3 hour drive out here and it is COLD up at the top of wisp at about 3,000ft. Hoping to avoid any mixing tomorrow and enjoy the show! Can’t wait to get out there in the morning...enjoy the storm! I’ll see you on the mountain on Thursday — I’ll be the 35 yo who sucks at skiing and is getting passed by 10 yos doing tricks on their snowboards. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 We have any Cumberland / Frostburg folks in here?! Good grief. I envy you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 6 minutes ago, digital snow said: If I could just get a decent front end thump and a couple inches of backside love I would be happy... Somebody call DCTeacherman. I heard thats how he likes to do events... Oh and don't forget the dry slot Yessir! That’s how we pad our stats!!! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 RGEM still tracking west of the bay. Sleet bomb out here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PivotPoint Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 No need for anyone to look at the icon, btw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 The RGEM looks terrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, DCTeacherman said: Yessir! That’s how we pad our stats!!! Decent shot at that happening TBH... more so for the prince Frederick area but DC may get slotted before the pivot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 I’m starting my drive out to snowshoe, WV for this storm. ☃️ I’m expecting 8-12” if no mixing 18” is probably doable. I’ll be reporting the snowfall 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 17 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: if we could get the NAM track with the euro thermals we would be good lol it might look something like this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PivotPoint Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Just now, Snowchaser said: I’m starting my drive out to snowshoe, WV for this storm. ☃️ I’m expecting 8-12” if no mixing 18” is probably doable. I’ll be reporting the snowfall Good luck! Don’t forget the yard stick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dabuckeyes Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 ARW and NMM please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 3 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: RGEM still tracking west of the bay. Sleet bomb out here. Has me concerned big time. Thankfully it’s an outlier. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, Dabuckeyes said: ARW and NMM please Pix or didn’t happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zdudswx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 There’s so much discrepancy just 12 hours out. Some mesos trending west, some East. No real consensus on anything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
medmax Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 I’m in Hershey. Yesterday was jackpotted here. Now I’m not sure what the hell to expect. Trend early in the day was westward. Now it seems more of an oscillation between models. Guess... we nowcast?My prediction is 10-30” of some sort of mostly frozen precipitation. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, medmax said: I’m in Hershey. Yesterday was jackpotted here. Now I’m not sure what the hell to expect. Trend early in the day was westward. Now it seems more of an oscillation between models. Guess... we nowcast? My prediction is 10-30” of some sort of mostly frozen precipitation. I’d go 1-30” just to be safe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Should be great to go into the office in DC tomorrow. Everyone will probably be teleworking and I’ll be up on the 10th floor watching the cold rain fall to the ground as cold rain. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 5 minutes ago, Zdudswx said: There’s so much discrepancy just 12 hours out. Some mesos trending west, some East. No real consensus on anything There is pretty good consensus that areas east of I-81 gets some snow, then sleet/rain, and then a little snow on the backside. Totals will depend on the length of the front thump and backside snows. Places near DC will not get much snow. Don't be fooled by the snow maps. Most of them interpret sleet as snow and will be way off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Just now, mattie g said: Should be great to go into the office in DC tomorrow. Everyone will probably be teleworking and I’ll be up on the 10th floor watching the cold rain fall to the ground as cold rain. If your buildings tall enough, you may be able to catch a pellet or two before it melts from the rooftop. I kid, I kid. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 4 minutes ago, medmax said: I’m in Hershey. Yesterday was jackpotted here. Now I’m not sure what the hell to expect. Trend early in the day was westward. Now it seems more of an oscillation between models. Guess... we nowcast? My prediction is 10-30” of some sort of mostly frozen precipitation. Ask @mattie g what his call is for Harrisburg, PA. I’m sure he has a prediction. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, PhineasC said: There is pretty good consensus that areas east of I-81 gets some snow, then sleet/rain, and then a little snow on the backside. Totals will depend on the length of the front thump and backside snows. Places near DC will not get much snow. Don't be fooled by the snow maps. Most of them interpret sleet as snow and will be way off. Can smell the sour grapes all the way from here. Next time, friend. there will be plenty east of 81 who see warning level snowfall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dabuckeyes Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 8 minutes ago, jayyy said: Pix or didn’t happen Of course this is more likely sleet than snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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