SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 6 minutes ago, digital snow said: If I could just get a decent front end thump and a couple inches of backside love I would be happy... Somebody call DCTeacherman. I heard thats how he likes to do events... Oh and don't forget the dry slot Yessir! That’s how we pad our stats!!! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 RGEM still tracking west of the bay. Sleet bomb out here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PivotPoint Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 No need for anyone to look at the icon, btw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 The RGEM looks terrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, DCTeacherman said: Yessir! That’s how we pad our stats!!! Decent shot at that happening TBH... more so for the prince Frederick area but DC may get slotted before the pivot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 I’m starting my drive out to snowshoe, WV for this storm. ☃️ I’m expecting 8-12” if no mixing 18” is probably doable. I’ll be reporting the snowfall 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 17 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: if we could get the NAM track with the euro thermals we would be good lol it might look something like this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PivotPoint Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Just now, Snowchaser said: I’m starting my drive out to snowshoe, WV for this storm. ☃️ I’m expecting 8-12” if no mixing 18” is probably doable. I’ll be reporting the snowfall Good luck! Don’t forget the yard stick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dabuckeyes Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 ARW and NMM please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 3 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: RGEM still tracking west of the bay. Sleet bomb out here. Has me concerned big time. Thankfully it’s an outlier. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, Dabuckeyes said: ARW and NMM please Pix or didn’t happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zdudswx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 There’s so much discrepancy just 12 hours out. Some mesos trending west, some East. No real consensus on anything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
medmax Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 I’m in Hershey. Yesterday was jackpotted here. Now I’m not sure what the hell to expect. Trend early in the day was westward. Now it seems more of an oscillation between models. Guess... we nowcast?My prediction is 10-30” of some sort of mostly frozen precipitation. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, medmax said: I’m in Hershey. Yesterday was jackpotted here. Now I’m not sure what the hell to expect. Trend early in the day was westward. Now it seems more of an oscillation between models. Guess... we nowcast? My prediction is 10-30” of some sort of mostly frozen precipitation. I’d go 1-30” just to be safe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Should be great to go into the office in DC tomorrow. Everyone will probably be teleworking and I’ll be up on the 10th floor watching the cold rain fall to the ground as cold rain. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 5 minutes ago, Zdudswx said: There’s so much discrepancy just 12 hours out. Some mesos trending west, some East. No real consensus on anything There is pretty good consensus that areas east of I-81 gets some snow, then sleet/rain, and then a little snow on the backside. Totals will depend on the length of the front thump and backside snows. Places near DC will not get much snow. Don't be fooled by the snow maps. Most of them interpret sleet as snow and will be way off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Just now, mattie g said: Should be great to go into the office in DC tomorrow. Everyone will probably be teleworking and I’ll be up on the 10th floor watching the cold rain fall to the ground as cold rain. If your buildings tall enough, you may be able to catch a pellet or two before it melts from the rooftop. I kid, I kid. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 4 minutes ago, medmax said: I’m in Hershey. Yesterday was jackpotted here. Now I’m not sure what the hell to expect. Trend early in the day was westward. Now it seems more of an oscillation between models. Guess... we nowcast? My prediction is 10-30” of some sort of mostly frozen precipitation. Ask @mattie g what his call is for Harrisburg, PA. I’m sure he has a prediction. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, PhineasC said: There is pretty good consensus that areas east of I-81 gets some snow, then sleet/rain, and then a little snow on the backside. Totals will depend on the length of the front thump and backside snows. Places near DC will not get much snow. Don't be fooled by the snow maps. Most of them interpret sleet as snow and will be way off. Can smell the sour grapes all the way from here. Next time, friend. there will be plenty east of 81 who see warning level snowfall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dabuckeyes Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 8 minutes ago, jayyy said: Pix or didn’t happen Of course this is more likely sleet than snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
medmax Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Well I’m prob equidistant from MDT and Hershey as the crow flies... so I’d be very interested as it applies IMBY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zdudswx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Hrrr is trying really hard to keep weenie hopes alive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 6 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: NWS CTP in southern, Pa mentions 2-3 inch per hour rates late tomorrow A lot of meso models are hammering I-70 up into south central PA with the WAA snow tomorrow. There's some impressive 850-700 mb forcing with that. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
medmax Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Well I’m prob equidistant from MDT and Hershey as the crow flies... so I’d be very interested as it applies IMBY[mention]mattie g [/mention] not a regular so I think I’m doing this right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 24/18. Glad to get dews down in the teens. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Euro has 8" in Albany, rgem has 30". They also have fun forecasts on the north side of this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 6 minutes ago, jayyy said: Can smell the sour grapes all the way from here. Next time, friend. there will be plenty east of 81 who see warning level snowfall. I never said anything about warning level snowfall. Read my post again, slower this time, weenie. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, losetoa6 said: Phin Every model shows below freezing surface here through duration and I'm east of 81 so no rain here most likely but mixing definitely. I think we do pretty good here accumulation wise . I'm going with 8-13" total storm . That's possible. I could see you getting 8 inches or so. You will have an interval of sleet or ZR in the middle, totals will depend on how long it lasts and if the CCB stuff materializes, which is never a sure bet around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 48 minutes ago, PhineasC said: It's pretty clear what's happening, but let the football spiking continue in the ever-shrinking jackpot zone south of the Mason-Dixon. If I can get 4-6 before a changeover and some backside snow, I’d be fine with that. I hate sleet but it’s better than rain I suppose. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 GFS is west of NAM. Still a nice hit out here though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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