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December 16-17, 2020 Winter Storm Obs/Nowcasting


WxUSAF
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1 minute ago, osfan24 said:

It seems like it floods the area with warm air around 5-6 pm, but that's also about the same time the low does a weird jump north that I'm not sure is correct.

Yea it's going to be interesting to see if that does make that hard jump, if it hugs the coastline then a lot of people win.

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Just now, psuhoffman said:

Areas north and west of Baltimore get a pretty nice band of snow tonight between 11-3am on the euro. It’s been there and getting more pronounced for several runs. Might be real. 

Does that include Glyndon and Reisterstown, or is that just for the far NW suburbs up by you?

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Just now, Eskimo Joe said:

Yea it's going to be interesting to see if that does make that hard jump, if it hugs the coastline then a lot of people win.

Just looking at the SPC mesoscale analysis, the low looks to be placed accurately right now. However, one thing I learned from Cranky about a way to figure out where the low is heading is to look at the kinks in the isobars. If that's accurate, this is going way east of where it is modeled. It would be much more of a northeast movement than the barely east of north modeled direction.

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