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December 16-17, 2020 Winter Storm Obs/Nowcasting


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4 minutes ago, mattskiva said:

I've never seen it this bad in the decade or so I've been here. Not sure why mods aren't stepping in in some of these posters who just keep posting the same stuff over and over. The model thread yesterday was a joke.

Sorry! I have a full time job that pays me, so I can't be watching this thread all day long. Try and ignore what you can, and enjoy whatever happens. Lot of people are going to be pissy in here today when they are raining while others are cashing in. Nature of the beast. 

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47 minutes ago, JakkelWx said:

33/26 and precip is 150-200 miles away still.. yep. this is gonna start as rain or at least brief sleet/snow before rain IMBY.

Front enders usually fail here because the precip almost always arrives late, and the favorable temp profiles are long gone.

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1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said:


Good to see you my Cville friend. Gonna partially rely on your obs for my house down there. Hope it flips to some snow eventually!

Man I don't know. I think it's gonna be sleet and ice all day. I would consider myself lucky if it becomes all rain actually. I do not like ice at all.

Give me subzero temperatures and snow.. or even bare ground.

I just don't like ice. Dangerous and I've got wife/kids to worry about.

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2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:


Good to see you my Cville friend. Gonna partially rely on your obs for my house down there. Hope it flips to some snow eventually!

Looks like we have a great Charlottesville representation!  (going back to sharpening my ice skate :) )

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NAM looks awful for a lot of us. Drives in rain pretty far north. If nothing else, it will be really interesting to do a model comparison when this is over to see which one handled things the best. HRRR is pretty aggressive on the snow and ice so we will see if it scores a big win or big fail.

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