RedSky Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Meh it's everybody vs the ECM so fook Dr NO 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, RedSky said: Meh it's everybody vs the ECM so fook Dr NO It’s about the only model that dryslots Montgomery and Bucks counties, isn’t it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 4 minutes ago, RedSky said: Sorry 11" would be a debacle, 52 more years I ain't got. My bar is set at 16" with a range of 14-18" Funny how our “snow” minds work... Just imagine for one moment that all models, up until this run of the Euro, had us getting 1-3”.... Then we get this run of the Euro dishing out ~12” immediately NW of Philly... Different reactions/emotions no doubt... Expectations!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, mattinpa said: It’s about the only model that dryslots Montgomery and Bucks counties, isn’t it? It's the driest model but still need the see the EPS. The Ukie has an inch more liquid for cripes sake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 4 minutes ago, snowwors2 said: Funny how our “snow” minds work... Just imagine for one moment that all models, up until this run of the Euro, had us getting 1-3”.... Then we get this run of the Euro dishing out ~12” immediately NW of Philly... Different reactions/emotions no doubt... Expectations!!! I can imagine all kinds of things I can imagine if Margot Robbie and Dakota Fanning were my wives in my mormon harem but I have already done 10 and 12" in December this can be the one! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 14 minutes ago, RedSky said: Sorry 11" would be a debacle, 52 more years I ain't got. My bar is set at 16" with a range of 14-18" 10"+ with 30+ mph winds and I'm set. Blowing/heavy snow is pretty damn cool especially in a overnight setting.. The pings will be there. Let's just hope it's minimal... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, RedSky said: I can imagine all kinds of things I can imagine if Margot Robbie and Dakota Fanning were my wives in my mormon harem but I have already done 10 and 12" in December this can be the one! Well, they’ve probably “done 10 and 12” in December” too! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 hour ago, RedSky said: Meh it's everybody vs the ECM so fook Dr NO Nah we do like a hook in a fish. hope fish feels no pain!! I hate this hobby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 hour ago, Birds~69 said: Map doesn't look all that bad? Brutal....hate snow!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Final call wilmington Delaware airports - 4.8 phl - 5.2 my house — 6.2 snoe shoe pa - 25 morgantown pa 18 allentown pa airport 16 oxford pa 10 coatesville 11 west Chester 10 new hope 10.4 king of Prussia 10 media 8 ...sorry u suck too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 15, 2020 Author Share Posted December 15, 2020 As I watch 6z roll in, it should be noted the NAM has trended 2-3mb stronger with the HP in SE Canada over the past 5 model runs and continues to show better CAD and ll cold in the area. Mixing still an issue along i95 but trend should be watched for future changes irt mix line advancement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: As I watch 6z roll in, it should be noted the NAM has trended 2-3mb stronger with the HP in SE Canada over the past 4 model runs and continues to show better CAD and ll cold in the area. Mixing still an issue along i95 but trend should be watched for future changes irt mix line advancement. It’s ova... see euro congrats - berwick, pa 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 hour ago, snowwors2 said: Must admit...never seen Williamsport pa at or near ground hammer time!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 NAM is colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 15, 2020 Author Share Posted December 15, 2020 6 minutes ago, Animal said: It’s ova... see euro congrats - berwick, pa Really? Ova? Not debating far N and W areas jackpotting. Discussing implications for marginal mixing areas around i95. Want to caution you in using the Euro for short range wrt micro situational forecasting such as CAD and banding. Defer to higher resolution mesos as lead times shrink. Entering 3k territory now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 15, 2020 Author Share Posted December 15, 2020 3 minutes ago, Animal said: Must admit...never seen Williamsport pa at or near ground hammer time!! You must be young or have selective memory then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, RedSky said: NAM is colder. So annoyed!! Went to bed dreaming of snow porn..woke up kissing the girl next door!! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 15, 2020 Author Share Posted December 15, 2020 6 minutes ago, RedSky said: NAM is colder. Yep. The 3k is sending up smoke signals. Eta: 6z and 18z runs over last 36 hrs have been west with slp only to adjust E at 0z or 12z. Something to keep in mind as we see hp and cad stronger each run but the slp track adjusts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said: You must be young or have selective memory then. Nope .. never ever has Williamsport been a golden snow shovel award winner! Truth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Winter Storm Warning now in effect here for snowfall accumulations in excess of 12" expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 15, 2020 Author Share Posted December 15, 2020 4 minutes ago, Animal said: Nope .. never ever has Williamsport been a golden snow shovel award winner! Truth Ahh, I thought you meant you've never seen it modeled. I misread that then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 6 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Yep. The 3k is sending up smoke signals. 7 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Yep. The 3k is sending up smoke signals. NAM ended up somehow looking like the ECM with a SEPA snow hole... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 6 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: Winter Storm Warning now in effect here for snowfall accumulations in excess of 12" expected. Sorta early to be calling for a foot or more...shocked I got it to!! smells of a bustorama! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 15, 2020 Author Share Posted December 15, 2020 Wow widespread 12"+ even along i95 in that disco. Surprised by that tbh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 The low is too close to dump big qpf, yet if it was 50 miles further off the coast North counties get fringed this is the worst hobby on the planet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 15, 2020 Author Share Posted December 15, 2020 5 minutes ago, RedSky said: NAM still loves the mixing and icing even far N and W. Colder but icier. Might be time to start putting more weight into these looks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Wow widespread 12"+ even along i95 in that disco. Surprised by that tbh. Could be the biggest bust in years.. looks like 4-8 to sleet 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: NAM still loves the mixing and icing even far N and W. Colder but icier. Might be time to start putting more weight into these looks. Yup trail mix from the sky all the way North to just south of Allentown. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Back to bed!! Really pissed at the euro, nam and every other model...spooked about the warning for a foot or more!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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