SnowLover22 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 4 minutes ago, RedSky said: It sure does, sleet like Russian tank the cool thing is 3 inches of sleet will last a really long time, I would argue it would last longer than 1 foot of snow. All that compact ice will not go away easily. Go big or go home right. If we are going to get sleet might as well get as much sleet as possible. Still would be cool. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mklojay Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Off Hopewell-Wertsville... It's actually more only like 420'-450' okay but still way more elevation than my old house was my only point!Ok I’ll let you slide on that one Neighbor! . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 So should I take a drive up I-476 N tomorrow just so I do not miss this lol. It is so tempting. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, SnowLover22 said: the cool thing is 3 inches of sleet will last a really long time, I would argue it would last longer than 1 foot of snow. All that compact ice will not go away easily. Go big or go home right. If we are going to get sleet might as well get as much sleet as possible. Still would be cool. Valentine's Day 07(it's either 07 or 08 I can't remember) is a storm I'll never forget. 3-6" of cement sleet followed by 2 weeks of cold that made it a solid glacier. That year sucked for snow, we had another big sleet storm that March, but it was the most solid "snowpack" I ever remember. Lasted longer than some of our historic blizzards. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 6 minutes ago, SnowLover22 said: the cool thing is 3 inches of sleet will last a really long time, I would argue it would last longer than 1 foot of snow. All that compact ice will not go away easily. Go big or go home right. If we are going to get sleet might as well get as much sleet as possible. Still would be cool. By far....several inches of sleet would last till mid March. (kidding of course but a damn long time unless we blow torch) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Sleet is a biotch to shovel, especially if some rain mixes in. My street has been brined. But then again, my township puts down brine for flurries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 6 minutes ago, JTA66 said: Sleet is a biotch to shovel, especially if some rain mixes in. My street has been brined. But then again, my township puts down brine for flurries. Brine is great for eating away metal car brake lines, I know. It's quite fun not being able to stop... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 UKMET still manages to hit Macungie with 15" and this yard with 12" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 All I want to know is who touched their dang snow blower? But seriously we should all know better to get sucked in to these fantasy storms, but It's what we do lets just keep our fingers crossed they don't all end up like this one, Ill take 6-10 with some sleet but still holding out hope for some better trends later. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Ch6 (accu-weather)nooncast forecast totals...somewhat similar to Glenn's. 2 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, penndotguy said: All I want to know is who touched their dang snow blower? Blame me. I got gas for the snowblower this morning just in case. Lol 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 3 minutes ago, penndotguy said: All I want to know is who touched their dang snow blower? But seriously we should all know better to get sucked in to these fantasy storms, but It's what we do lets just keep our fingers crossed they don't all end up like this one, Ill take 6-10 with some sleet but still holding out hope for some better trends later. I'm too young to purchase a snow blower or at least that's what I keep telling myself... Bought a new shovel over the weekend though. Could of been the kiss of death 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 9 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: Ch6 (accu-weather)nooncast forecast totals...somewhat similar to Glenn's. She wants to be casting in Beverly Hills look at her face "Why can't it be sunny and 89F 300 days a year" 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 The Stella flashbacks are real here. At least the trend is happening 36 hours prior rather than 24 so forecasters have time to change their forecasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MA-EOC Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 This may not be a totally bad thing if this thing heads off somewhere else. I have been involved with emergency management at the county, state and federal levels for almost 30 years. Our agency is now directly involved with a logistical mission that easily rivals D-Day (less the ships) that include 10’s of thousands of trucks loads/last mile deliveries, over a thousand aircrews on hundreds of aircraft, regular army, reserve units and national guard units along with state and county assets all orchestrated 24/7 to delivering vaccines to the MidAtlantic NE region front line workers and first responders most at risk. The delays this storm will cause will be monumental. If this thing ends up dry slotting here and dumping somewhere else it may actually save lives locally. Having to re-task guard units, local assets and reroute aircraft and trucks will take a week or more to recover from. Truth is, these storms cause serious injury and deaths to older or more health challenged citizens, neighbors and family members during a “normal year”, this year especially with CO-19 the challenges have multiplied exponentially. Maybe we should hope for a nice warm rainy winter this year. We receive our briefings from NWS and two private services. The private services have been spot-on, early-on during the majority of heavy weather events and even with their tropical discussions (I am not permitted to divulge specifics, but both services were bearish on the actually snow accumulations in Metro Philly since Sunday). I learn much more here. Although they will answer specific questions, they have neither the time nor inclination to teach even fundamental meteorology. Some of the folks here are amazing - insights, discussions, explanations are incredibly helpful to me when I’m involved with one of our briefs. Keep up the awesome work, you guys should get paid for this. Stay Safe / Stay Healthy! 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 15 minutes ago, RedSky said: She wants to be casting in Beverly Hills look at her face "Why can't it be sunny and 89F 300 days a year" "Drama" would be my one word description. Anyhow, let the Euro roll... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Euro sucks except if you’re in the Poconos. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Yeah, this is trending way bad. I may be wishing for 2-4" soon... 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderately Unstable Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 8 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: Euro sucks except if you’re in the Poconos. Yeah it mixes pretty far but there's still a good deal of snow. Ukmet is way worse imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Euro pops freezing rain for a time over the Lehigh Valley likely because of the precipitation hole too, while at the same time enhances the snow risk for NYC. This is the kick in the teeth run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 How in the hell is the L that far west? It just jumped... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Sleet of course does accumulate and counts as snow just a heck of lot slower to accumulate...and shovel LOL! WXSIM now clearly seeing the IP mixing occurring - currently with 12z GFS and NAM it has S+ for NW Chesco by 230pm with a turn to heavy IP by 530pm - with 3" of snow at that point then it shows the heavy IP accumulating an additional 1.5" of snow/IP by 1130pm over a 6 hour period....then back to S+ till 6am with total snow accumulation of 13.2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 13 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: How in the hell is the L that far west? That just jumped... The 6Z GFS that I had posted seemed to show something like that. That is why I was confused. The wild thing was that verbatim, it started out looking like a Miller A setup with a low forming in the Gulf and cutting across and heading up the coast from the south and then that sortof fades away and suddenly something started coming across from the OH valley and "jumped" out to the coast, like a Miller B. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Kutchera from 12z Euro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 15, 2020 Author Share Posted December 15, 2020 Congrats Boston. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 15, 2020 Author Share Posted December 15, 2020 I take full responsibility. I saw once the thread was started in the Mid Atl forum it began to unravel for them. I should have known better. The second I started one for us things began to unravel here. Not sure if they started one in the other PA forum. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Funny how, despite all the changes to this set up since the weekend, that precip hole over central Bucks & Montco has been the one constant. Still, I'll be more than happy with 6-10, even if it's a combo of SN & IP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 When all else fails post the kuchera map for 5 extra inches of snow! Weenie handbook rule #11 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 6 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: I take full responsibility. I saw once the thread was started in the Mid Atl forum it began to unravel for them. I should have known better. The second I started one for us things began to unravel here. Not sure if they started one in the other PA forum. 100% truth bro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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