BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: You can ignore them. 1038 HP on the Euro at 48. But they can still comment on your posts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Through 48. 850s are a touch south compare to 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, LP08 said: Through 48. 850s are a touch south compare to 0z. Same at 54. A bit colder than 0z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 54 snow into the majority of the forum. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 5 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: I blocked that troll back in 2012 I think. he's 5-posted so give it time and he will disappear again. 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Still 1002mb low up into the Bay near the mouth of the James River at 54hr. Looks pretty identical to 06z re: MSLP track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 A lot more mixing just south of the Mason Dixon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 A low into the Chesapeak bay isn't going to do any good. A touch colder to start but cant fight that track off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 I think the 3-6" boundaries extend the n/s extend of D.C. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 It's actually an improvement over 06z snow map wise but I'm comparing Pivotal maps to WxBell maps. WxBell seems delayed this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Baltimore may like this run. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: It's actually an improvement over 06z snow map wise but I'm comparing Pivotal maps to WxBell maps. WxBell seems delayed this run. Do I dare post the clown map? I guess I'll do it anyways. Note that the Euro for whatever reason gives immediate west areas of I-95 like .5-1" of snow for today for some reason, as well as 2-3" where it jackpots places for Wednesday. Kuchera ratios to be taken lightly obviously, but mainly using Kuchera in replacement for 10:1 due to the marginal DC temps. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: It's actually an improvement over 06z snow map wise but I'm comparing Pivotal maps to WxBell maps. WxBell seems delayed this run. Do we get BBC’d or no 12 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Crap I meant CCB’d 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, LP08 said: A low into the Chesapeak bay isn't going to do any good. A touch colder to start but cant fight that track off. Track is west but it’s also colder. If you’re forecasting by 10:1 snow maps you’ll like the euro. 925 stays below freezing west of 95. 850 freezing gets up toward the M-D line so sleet for much of us for a time. I’d take the euro in a hot second. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Sleet makes it into Frederick at the height of the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Probably going to be a lot of mixing for the NW suburbs, but it isn't the end of the world. This is a generic high end advisory, maybe low end warning event N&W of I-95 per the Euro, unless I'm missing something. It absolutely stings to lose a big storm inside of D5, but this event is shaping up to give a lot of people more snow before December 20th than in the past 2 winters. Climo in this area is a b*tch. Longitude and elevation are you friends when living here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Closer in we get all of a sudden the euro is the best outcome for us closer to the beltways and its all from the initial slug. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, Baltimorewx said: Do we get BBC’d or no @stormtracker ? 1 11 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dabuckeyes Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Here's the 10:1 snowmap from pivotal. More "frozen" near the 95 corridor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Beatdown 48 hours out on the Euro. Ill take it. Berkeley Springs is the spot for this one. They are gonna get destroyed. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: Track is west but it’s also colder. If you’re forecasting by 10:1 snow maps you’ll like the euro. 925 stays below freezing west of 95. 850 freezing gets up toward the M-D line so sleet for much of us for a time. I’d take the euro in a hot second. Seconded. If I can end the event without the grass poking through, it's a win. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 2 hours ago, BristowWx said: I think we get a period of snow that accumulates on the grass that mixes with sleet and rain...I go over to plain rain with sleet mixed in by around dinner time and then all goes back to snow and ends by 10pm and we get 1-2 inches of slush. We initially get a watch that gets converted to a WWA tomorrow. And we hope for another event and do it all over again. I'm giving the EURO the opportunity to bail out the GFS before I commit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Do I have to sign in blood for the Euro? ETA: Everyone feeling a little better now? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 2 minutes ago, Cobalt said: Do I dare post the clown map? I guess I'll do it anyways. Note that the Euro for whatever reason gives immediate west areas of I-95 like .5-1" of snow for today for some reason, as well as 2-3" where it jackpots places for Wednesday. Kuchera ratios to be taken lightly obviously, but mainly using Kuchera in replacement for 10:1 due to the marginal DC temps. If nothing else, the bleeding has stopped momentarily and there is some hope again, if this map is legit and not loaded with sleet disguised as snow. Maybe this is the start of a reverse trend? At least there is some hope now going into 18z. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 I'm actually okay with the Euro. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Ers, what do you think about the euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 3 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Beatdown 48 hours out on the Euro. Ill take it. Berkeley Springs is the spot for this one. They are gonna get destroyed. It’s a huge hit. Best Euro run for out here. You get smoked. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 The euro really is a solid outcome for many folks N/W of 95 and even in closer to Baltimore to the 495 beltway it’s a solid run. Up in my neck of the woods near Westminster/just west, we’re looking solid for a 10-15” snowfall for the Parr’s ridge crew including Loseto and PSU over to mappy. Obviously some of the clown maps are a bit overdone, but even reducing 25% gets us a foot on Euro/GFS/CMC even. The good part about this run of the Euro is we’re not depending on a CCB/deform as much to hit good totals. It’s colder early on and everyone puts down a few inches initially. It comes in relatively hot and heavy as depicted this run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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