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December 16/17 Winter Event


MN Transplant
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2 minutes ago, anotherman said:

No.  I grew up near Philly and the climo here in York is different.  Less ocean influence.  More similar to Baltimore suburbs.

Personally I'd keep this form for I-95 to I-64 folks, Mountains and foothills are just a different climate.

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Alright, big snow fan since middle school...moved up to upstate NY 3 years ago for grad school and have been consistently disappointed with the Ithaca/lower Finger Lakes region. Considering coming home to ride out this storm as a last “hooray” before I start my job in January. As much as I hate “what’s-happening-in-my-back-yard” posts, if I’m around the red dot, slightly north and west of york, I should be a lock for at least 15 right? It’s almost a 4 hour drive down and I need like at least an 85% chance to take the risk and time.

D7185FDA-A425-49C0-9AF8-4F04CA493EFB.jpeg

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17 minutes ago, Chris78 said:

Cautiously optimistic. We should be a prime spot.  Hoping we are not too far west to miss the CCB.

Not so much west as north. It depends where the low sets up. Pretty good agreement from the euro/gfs that is gonna be Front Royal and north. I know the guys to the east want the low further east. But for us a  track over Norfolk is ideal. 

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4 minutes ago, Zde4 said:

Alright, big snow fan since middle school...moved up to upstate NY 3 years ago for grad school and have been consistently disappointed with the Ithaca/lower Finger Lakes region. Considering coming home to ride out this storm as a last “hooray” before I start my job in January. As much as I hate “what’s-happening-in-my-back-yard” posts, if I’m around the red dot, slightly north and west of york, I should be a lock for at least 15 right? It’s almost a 4 hour drive down and I need like at least an 85% chance to take the risk and time.

D7185FDA-A425-49C0-9AF8-4F04CA493EFB.jpeg

How much for Philly?

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6 minutes ago, wxtrix said:

Why would I go there? They don’t even seem to have a storm thread? I hate upstate NY!You all think it’s so great but it’s the worst (unless you’re in Syracuse). I’d even take my chances in Annapolis before Ithaca! 
 

Moving to philly in a couple weeks and I’ll gladly switch teams then LMAO. 

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8 minutes ago, clskinsfan said:

Not so much west as north. It depends where the low sets up. Pretty good agreement from the euro/gfs that is gonna be Front Royal and north. I know the guys to the east want the low further east. But for us a  track over Norfolk is ideal. 

Been thinking the same thing....That tucked look and location is our benchmark. 

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9 minutes ago, LP08 said:

Yes its the NAM, but through 36 it has some better confluence and heights along the east coast.

Yeah also looks maybe a bit cooler at 850 but a tad warmer at the surface. If it makes any noticeable SE tick I'll be feeling much better though, really just want to see the path. Anything to suggest the Euro and CMC will cave to the GFS...

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