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December 16/17 Winter Event


MN Transplant
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1 minute ago, WxUSAF said:

If it’s not a secret, what area did he move to? I hope it’s a snowy locale.

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11 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

Yeah most times he was right.  Damn you Bob. 

I’m not sure about that. My mom would always watch channel 4 and I couldn’t stand him. I remember, even as a kid and teen, he would usually underestimate totals and then constantly have to increase totals. I might have a slightly skewed memory from being a snow lover since birth, but he never earned my trust.    I grew up in Charles Co where we were often underestimated because we were south of the Fall line, but in many cases, we ended up with colder temperatures and MUCH higher totals than forecasted. 

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1 hour ago, CAPE said:

p25 will do. :weenie:

That really would be a "give me that and we're good the rest of winter" storm...40" lol

34 minutes ago, mappy said:

Runs today all looking good IMBY. :snowing:

We are in good shape I think.  Even if this takes one of the more inside tracks like that one GFS or some of the euro runs, historically that track with a pretty stout high in southern Quebec would still produce a 8"+ snowfall up here.  If this stays offshore we could do REALLY well.  But for us I think it is more of a matter of how significant will the snow be not whether it will be significant.  Assuming your bar for significant isn't Ji level.  

27 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

This isn't bad I think.  Gun to head, I'd probably say 5-10" for MBY.  I'm pretty close to the boundary between his 6-12" and 3-6".  

 

His zones are ok but somewhere in that 6-12 will be a 12+.  I get that its too soon to nail down where though.  

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8 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Converts to 1.5” I’ll take it!

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Just now, psuhoffman said:

That really would be a "give me that and we're good the rest of winter" storm...40" lol

We are in good shape I think.  Even if this takes one of the more inside tracks like that one GFS or some of the euro runs, historically that track with a pretty stout high in southern Quebec would still produce a 8"+ snowfall up here.  If this stays offshore we could do REALLY well.  But for us I think it is more of a matter of how significant will the snow be not whether it will be significant.  Assuming your bar for significant isn't Ji level.  

His zones are ok but somewhere in that 6-12 will be a 12+.  I get that its too soon to nail down where though.  

 Nah, you know me, any snow is good

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