mappy Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, Interstate said: or when Dulles was build. Built 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY1894 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Opinions of chasing this to Winchester? I assume maybe Hancock or Hagerstown may be slightly better? Still don’t trust the mesoscale models yet for banding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 9 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: I made a long FB post today as I've been getting lots of questions from family and friends. Here it is for anyone who cares: Major winter storm for Maryland Wednesday into Thursday Snow will start late morning Wednesday from south to north across the state. It will mix with sleet, and possibly rain, for much of Maryland outside of northern Baltimore county to Frederick and points north. Sleet will eventually turn back to snow later in the evening Wednesday before tapering off early Thursday morning. The gradient between a little slush and snow to a LOT of snow is really sharp. Could be as little as ~20-30 miles in places. Picking that exact boundary is very difficult in advance. Elevation and latitude is critical. Higher elevation locations and locations farther north will get more snow, all else being equal. Numbers below include sleet, and there could be a lot of sleet in places. Howard county: 9-15" in Mt. Airy, 6-12" west Ellicott City, 4-8" Columbia, 2-5" eastern Elkridge. Harford county: 10-18" northwest, 6-12" Bel Air, 4-8" Abingdon, 3-6" Aberdeen and Havre de Grace. Baltimore city: 3-6" 495 beltway: 3-6" north side near Bethesda, 2-5" most elsewhere, 1-3" south side. DC: 2-5" north DC, 1-3" downtown. This seems like it is Maryland focused Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Pretty good forecast @WxUSAF Can’t think of anything if change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 2 minutes ago, mappy said: Built Fixed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 I have absolutely 0 idea what to expect in Germantown right now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 2 minutes ago, mappy said: Built Builded 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 3 minutes ago, HKY1894 said: Opinions of chasing this to Winchester? I assume maybe Hancock or Hagerstown may be slightly better? Still don’t trust the mesoscale models yet for banding. I think we are gonna get hit hard here in the Winchester area. But I dont think we will jack. If you want to see the jackpot I would head up around Harrisburg, PA. But the nice thing about Winchester is you can be here from the city in an hour and a half once the roads are cleared. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Alright! Hoping for a Euro Christmas Present! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 4 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: This seems like it is Maryland focused 0-24" for VA. I'd narrow that down to 1-15" for Leesburg area. 3 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Pretty good forecast @WxUSAF Can’t think of anything if change. Thanks Phin. 3 minutes ago, ErinInTheSky said: I have absolutely 0 idea what to expect in Germantown right now... 1-15" 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: 0-24" for VA. I'd narrow that down to 1-15" for Leesburg area. Thanks Phin. 1-15" Sounds about perfectly right. Like. It seems like the Germantown forecast is :throwshandsup.gif: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 7 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: This seems like it is Maryland focused All I saw was snow everywhere except near H2O Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 9 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: 0-24" for VA. I'd narrow that down to 1-15" for Leesburg area. Thanks Phin. 1-15" I'm actually going to be in Sykesville so I'm hoping for some southern Carroll county love Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, leesburg 04 said: I'm actually going to be in Sykesville so I'm hoping on for some southern Carroll county love I grew up there... in these types of storms... it can be nice... but nothing like Westminster on north. 14 miles and elevation makes a huge difference there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 6 minutes ago, ErinInTheSky said: Sounds about perfectly right. Like. It seems like the Germantown forecast is :throwshandsup.gif: I think you'll do alright. Being farther west helps. 4-8/5-10"? 1 minute ago, leesburg 04 said: I'm actually going to be in Sykesville so I'm hoping on for some southern Carroll county love That's one of those places that's a 20-25min drive from me and could easily double my snowfall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 The board is deafening quiet. Did the 18z Euro start? I have no access.. was looking for some insight 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, Interstate said: I grew up there... in these types of storms... it can be nice... but nothing like Westminster on north. 14 miles and elevation makes a huge difference there. Yeah she has friends in Finksburg and Westminster and even today was pretty different with the little bit of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 This storm presents a resplendent opportunity to take a drive up Rt 28, north to Rt 7, over the Skyway to the West Bypass Rt 7 and on up to and over Rt 9, clear to the West Virginia State Line. You will see incredible gradations of increases in snow all along the way. Dale City will get plenty of snow, with maybe a little sleet, but if you choose to watch it from Charles Town West Virginia, it will present jebwalk prime conditions as close to 20 inches of the white gold pile up! 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Did the gfs ensemble not run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Very interested to see how things shape up around rt 108/70. Could have eastern ellicott city seeing 4-7”, as western ellicott city / Marriottsville sees 7-10” with more as you head out west / north. Very sharp cutoff coming indeed. Would love to see 18z start a slight tick SE for folks closer to 95 to get in on the action. I’d gladly sacrifice a few inches up this way for my friends right down by da beach (bay) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Did the gfs ensemble not run? Let's hope not 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 2 minutes ago, midatlanticweather said: The board is deafening quiet. Did the 18z Euro start? I have no access.. was looking for some insight Slight step back. Low goes from Emporia to Chesterfield to Warrenton...plenty of time for adjustments. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 3 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Soon. 700. Actually 655 Who’s counting though, am I right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 4 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Slight step back. Low goes from Emporia to Chesterfield to Warrenton...plenty of time for adjustments. Love how if this were true we’d constitute it as a “slight step back” lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 I've said this before, but Mike Thomas's Facebook page from Fox5 is a really good page to follow! He really dives into the technicals. He believes D.C. has a good chance for a very brief heavy burst of snow before the rain takes over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: I've said this before, but Mike Thomas's Facebook page from Fox5 is a really good page to follow! He really dives into the technicals. He believes D.C. has a good chance for a very brief heavy burst of snow before the rain takes over. Did you want to put the emoji with the ax in it’s head at the end of that? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 5 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: I've said this before, but Mike Thomas's Facebook page from Fox5 is a really good page to follow! He really dives into the technicals. He believes D.C. has a good chance for a very brief heavy burst of snow before the rain takes over. I’m kidding that’s great news. Where is the Tylenol? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 5 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: I've said this before, but Mike Thomas's Facebook page from Fox5 is a really good page to follow! He really dives into the technicals. He believes D.C. has a good chance for a very brief heavy burst of snow before the rain takes over. I like Mike Thomas. He is a weenie just like all of us. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 18z Euro shifted accumulations about 15 miles nw, fwiw. Edit to add: Better end of storm than 12z just basing off of quick glance snow maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts