40westwx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 10:01 PM, Imgoinhungry said: What is euro keying in on that gfs is not? Colder temps? Which model typically forecasts temperatures better? Expand The euro is further north and stronger at hour 60 and it looks like it barely has flipped over at that point.. where as the GFS is further south and weaker.. but it is raining for pretty much everyone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 This board will meltdown beyond epic proportions if the 18z Euro follows the GFS 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 10:11 PM, LeesburgWx said: This board will meltdown beyond epic proportions if the 18z Euro follows the GFS Expand I’m ready. That positive snow depth change map changed my whole outlook. Back wanting first flakes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 10:11 PM, 40westwx said: The euro is further north and stronger at hour 60 and it looks like it barely has flipped over at that point.. where as the GFS is further south and weaker.. but it is raining for pretty much everyone. Expand The Euro has a better HP over the top. And if I have to have only one model in my corner for a storm I am taking the Euro every single time. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 NOAA office in Charleston going in very conservative for snowfall for eastern WV. I’m expecting more than 9” inches for Snowshoe. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 10:11 PM, LeesburgWx said: This board will meltdown beyond epic proportions if the 18z Euro follows the GFS Expand I still think I can get an inch or two here. I don’t think that’s unrealistic for my location west of 95. If I go to pure rain for hours then I might have to reconsider. EDIT: nevermind I looked at the GFS closer. I still think I can get 1-2 inches of rain here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Tommy T expanded the 12” area south more than Ava’s map this morning 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 WBAL riding RPM which says 10”+ for areas north of DC-BWI... 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 10:16 PM, Snowchaser said: NOAA office in Charleston going in very conservative for snowfall for eastern WV. I’m expecting more than 9” inches for Snowshoe. Expand It better stay on the ground until I get up there... hope something happens while I’m there so I can be relieved of snow drought... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Climate175 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 10:11 PM, LeesburgWx said: This board will meltdown beyond epic proportions if the 18z Euro follows the GFS Expand I won't as I remember it's only mid-December and I-95 and East is not climatology favored to get big snow at this time. If you're at those expectations, you can't be disappointed. If you having high expectations of a big hit of snow, then.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 10:22 PM, mappy said: Tommy T expanded the 12” area south more than Ava’s map this morning Expand That's surprising. He is usually very conservative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40westwx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 10:13 PM, clskinsfan said: The Euro has a better HP over the top. And if I have to have only one model in my corner for a storm I am taking the Euro every single time. Expand Lows are going to be in the mid 20s for many Tues night in to Wednesday.. that cold isnt going anywhere when the precips starts.. that HP is causing lows in the single digits and teens for folks just to our north.. thats some serious cold air. With a develop lp system to our south.. the prevailing flow means that cold air is going to be pulled down in to our region. Its only at the height of the storm that we need to worry about the column.. and even then it might be cold enough at the lower levels to support a sleet fest. Think about this.. it almost snowed here today and it was like 65 degrees yesterday. We get a similar track on Wed and we have an abundance of Cold Air. Thats why I think the Euro is dead on with its tucked in low pressure and relatively south R/S line. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 10:23 PM, WxUSAF said: WBAL riding RPM which says 10”+ for areas north of DC-BWI... Expand I say it every time it comes up but that model was scary good in the 2013 March storm. Uncanny 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Meanwhile WUSA9s map would bring out mobs with pitchforks 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40westwx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 10:23 PM, Climate175 said: I won't as I remember it's only mid-December and I-95 and East is not climatology favored to get big snow at this time. If you're at those expectations, you can't be disappointed. If you having high expectations of a big hit of snow, then.... Expand I have gigantic expectations. 12 out of 16 runs of the models have given me a HECs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 10:23 PM, WxUSAF said: WBAL riding RPM which says 10”+ for areas north of DC-BWI... Expand I’m personally more a fan of the Deep Thunder model. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 I really like the euro 12z run. nothing crazy like 30”+. Around 4-5” for D.C. seems like a good bet with the data right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Climate175 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 10:29 PM, 40westwx said: I have gigantic expectations. 12 out of 16 runs of the models have given me a HECs. Expand I'm not sure where you are located, but If you are N and W of I-95, then that would be expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 10:32 PM, Climate175 said: I'm not sure where you are located, but If you are N and W of I-95, then that would be expected. Expand Nobody is getting a hecs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40westwx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 10:33 PM, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: Nobody is getting a hecs. Expand The Euro shows top five for BWI. Thats a HECs 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 10:34 PM, 40westwx said: The Euro shows top five for BWI. Thats a HECs Expand Feb 9-10 2010 is ranked 10th at BWI with 19.5". https://www.weather.gov/lwx/winter_storm-pr#TopDaySnowfall 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 10:34 PM, 40westwx said: The Euro shows top five for BWI. Thats a HECs Expand lol. No it doesn’t 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Euro showed 22” here in Westminster for the Parr’s crew.. that’s likely overdone but I guess would be borderline HECS. There have been a lot more 20” events up this way than at the airports. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 10:39 PM, mappy said: lol. No it doesn’t Expand Maybe he means top 5 December? Still not catching the top 5 though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dabuckeyes Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 10:23 PM, WxUSAF said: WBAL riding RPM which says 10”+ for areas north of DC-BWI... Expand I’ve always thought that model was more on the conservative side. Interesting to say the least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 10:44 PM, DDweatherman said: Maybe he means top 5 December? Still not catching the top 5 though. Expand Top 5 for that date in Dec maybe? That is plausible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 10:23 PM, WxUSAF said: WBAL riding RPM which says 10”+ for areas north of DC-BWI... Expand https://www.wbaltv.com/article/bulk-of-snow-storm-to-come-wednesday-night/34967831 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 10:53 PM, ravensrule said: https://www.wbaltv.com/article/bulk-of-snow-storm-to-come-wednesday-night/34967831 Expand I mean I’m rooting for that and all but... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 10:23 PM, WxUSAF said: WBAL riding RPM which says 10”+ for areas north of DC-BWI... Expand If I was going to go down with a ship, it would not be the RPM 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 10:55 PM, Scraff said: I mean I’m rooting for that and all but... Expand It doesn't seem realistic right now, but i sure as hell hope he is correct. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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