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December 16/17 Winter Event


MN Transplant
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31 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Ok city folks.  Our goal is 2 to 4.  Just shift your expectations and things will be a lot better going forward.  Accept your climo and reality.   We are going to see snow in the air and we're tracking something in December.   Lemonade lemons etc etc. 

 

Lease.jpg

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2 minutes ago, poolz1 said:

To add to mappy's post. Total call right now..

kXqI17A.png

Interesting. But I don’t buy that Baltimore area gets 4-6” and Bel Air gets 8-12”. In my experience these two areas usually aren’t that far off, both obviously along the I 95 corridor. Now up towards Jarretsville to Pylesville is a different story 

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7 minutes ago, poolz1 said:

To add to mappy's post. Total call right now..

kXqI17A.png

Wow. VA disappeared. Here is one for all of us:

StormTotalSnow.png

 

Edit. I dont know what the hell is going on with that map. It is showing one hour when I pasted the 24 hour map. FAIL. If you click on the map it takes you to the correct image. 

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29 minutes ago, Ellinwood said:

Updated my snow map... cut down on the total on the eastern gradient (mainly DC up I-95 and through southern and central NJ). Increased totals along the Appalachians.

20201216-17_second.png.c35a21d3a397cc764ba84768aa922e29.png

Pretty good imo. One exception is I think it's a little light for Leesburg, Middleburg, etc. That zone I still think verifies 10-12". DC is probably accurate, unfortunately.

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Setting expectations for 4, hoping the storm scoots along with a minimal tuck and some colder air to get me to that yellow on the NWS maps and 8 inches. Would love to eek out a better result than March 2018 if possible. Fingers crossed. Let's see what 18z has to offer in a few hours!

As always, big thanks to all the more knowledgeable posters helping us weenies along. 

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1 minute ago, WxUSAF said:

NWS forecast looks a lot like 12z euro. More N-S gradient in MD due to how much snow falls after the flip back to snow. I like the NWS map although it’s maybe a little bullish on the 12-18” area size.

thats fine, it can stop just to my south ;) 

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I want you all to be prepared for the greatest succession of model runs in Mid Atlantic snow storm history.. over the next 36 hours we are going to see a slow and steady shift to colder temperatures.. all of you all teetering on the brink will see you 1-3 turn in  to 2-4.. then to 6-8 and then.. the ever important 8-14.  

This shit is happening

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50 minutes ago, RDM said:

Anyone have the soundings for DCA and IAD for noon ET Thursday?   Curious how close it's going to be and comparing the two.  Out of consideration for the MD/DEL folks maybe throw in BWI too.  

Hey! The BWI crew are people too :lol:(I've always wondered why more Baltimore folks don't post here...it seems to be either DC or snowbelt, lol) 

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Just now, 40westwx said:

I want you all to be prepared for the greatest succession of model runs in Mid Atlantic snow storm history.. over the next 36 hours we are going to see a slow and steady shift to colder temperatures.. all of you all teetering on the brink will see you 1-3 turn in  to 2-4.. then to 6-8 and then.. the ever important 8-14.  

This shit is happening

It’s a little early, no?  Only 3pm here.  

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