ers-wxman1 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 18 minutes ago, ravensrule said: Thank you for explaining it to me like the weenie that i am. I pray that you are wrong but know that you are probably right. I hope I’m wrong too. Nobody, not even the Mets like seeing double digit runs vanish with a puff like that. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: Take note. This is the king of snow map makers. Eh. I was too high on amounts regionally for all but like 2 events a couple of years ago, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 13 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Almost went there, but I'm an admin. Have to set the fucking standard around here for good language and good behavior. Well, instead of an underline for the "u", you could go for the German umlaut: "Have to set the fücking standard..." Has a nice ring to it when you pronounce the umlaut-u!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Can confirm, the rain will stay mainly on the plain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, losetoa6 said: Nice run overall on Eps. Bleeding stopped for the cities. Definitely colder and more frozen . Nice shift Weenie windshield wipers swishing back the other way... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Wanted to point something out when watching the details on the op runs. It’s not just the track of the surface low but also how much of an inverted trough feature there is. 12z euro track was slightly west but it was colder because there was less inverted trough and primary remnants. That trough prolongs and enhances the easterly fetch. We want the coastal to close off a circulation at low and mid levels as quick as possible. A stronger inverted trough delays that some and kills us with an inside ideal track. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Not that anyone cares but this is a tough forecast for the cities up the entire east coast. Mets are gonna earn their money over the next 48 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, Ellinwood said: Eh. I was too high on amounts regionally for all but like 2 events a couple of years ago, lol. Dude. You NEVER get my area wrong. Ever. When you slap that drab ass grey over my crib its like the weather listens 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 3 minutes ago, H2O said: Shit. Grey'd I'm in the sky blue stripe. 2-4. I'll take it. I promised my son it was gonna snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 4 minutes ago, Ellinwood said: Updated my snow map... cut down on the total on the eastern gradient (mainly DC up I-95 and through southern and central NJ). Increased totals along the Appalachians. Great map. And finally out of your dreaded grey mixing zone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, adelphi_sky said: I'm in the sky blue stripe. 2-4. I'll take it. I promised my son it was gonna snow. Same here. Don't want to disappoint a 7 y/o. Good luck! I'm prolly 2 miles west of you, a bit higher up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: Wanted to point something out when watching the details on the op runs. It’s not just the track if the surface low but also how much of an inverted trough feature there is. 12z euro track was slightly west but it was colder because there was less inverted trough and primary remnants. That trough prolongs and enhances the easterly fetch. We want the coastal to close off a circulation at low and mid levels as quick as possible. A stronger inverted trough delays that some and kills is with an inside ideal track. Bingo. If that coastal pops earlier than forecast we all win. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 9 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Anyone have a total qpf map for the Euro? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 6 minutes ago, Ellinwood said: Updated my snow map... cut down on the total on the eastern gradient (mainly DC up I-95 and through southern and central NJ). Increased totals along the Appalachians. Pretty much in line with my thinking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 10 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Anyone have a total qpf map for the Euro? 48 hours ending Friday as there’s some light snow showers in the area until then. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, WVclimo said: WB 12z Euro close up 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, WVclimo said: Damn, central PA is gonna get nuked. I'll try to get my mom, who used a 2011 potato as a smartphone, to send some pics from Harrisburg around 800 ft ASL 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 8 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: About 18” for everyone with the exception of that strange area missing right over your house well dang it. oh well. better luck next storm. 8 minutes ago, Ellinwood said: Updated my snow map... cut down on the total on the eastern gradient (mainly DC up I-95 and through southern and central NJ). Increased totals along the Appalachians. gasp. you took away some of my digital snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 14 minutes ago, H2O said: If @MillvilleWx could come in here and sweet talk me to let me know things will be ok in a 300 word essay I'd feel better. Be specific for the DCA area as in for the airport because thats close enough to where I live. If I don't see a summary then I know I'm out of the game like the Jets are out of the running for the Super Bowl What I told you the Jets should be relegated? How does that fair on expectations? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 2 minutes ago, mappy said: well dang it. oh well. better luck next storm. gasp. you took away some of my digital snow! "I am altering the gradient. Pray I don't alter it any further." It was difficult because I also lowered my IMBY 6-8" forecast to 4-6", and I was contending with pulling the higher amounts even a tick further north than that. 12z EPS saved it for now, hehe. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, Ellinwood said: "I am altering the gradient. Pray I don't alter it any further." It was difficult because I also lowered my IMBY 6-8" forecast to 4-6", and I was contending with pulling the higher amounts even a tick further north than that. 12z EPS saved it for now, hehe. i kid of course. thanks for taking the time to make a map! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 2 minutes ago, Ellinwood said: "I am altering the gradient. Pray I don't alter it any further." It was difficult because I also lowered my IMBY 6-8" forecast to 4-6", and I was contending with pulling the higher amounts even a tick further north than that. 12z EPS saved it for now, hehe. 5 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 5 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: What I told you the Jets should be relegated? How does that fair on expectations? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherShak Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 34 minutes ago, ravensrule said: I absolutely have since the beginning and i am well aware of it. That's why i was asking him. Either way i appreciate his insight, i just wish it would be said with less certainty. I was just thinking about this the other day. What IS the very beginning? I've been in here for ~ 8-9 years (mostly observing/learning) and for sharing obs/photos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 8 minutes ago, mappy said: well dang it. oh well. better luck next storm. gasp. you took away some of my digital snow! At least he gave you a category Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, clskinsfan said: At least he gave you a category thank goodness. i was worried i would end up with sun and 60s while everyone was getting snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 32 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Almost went there, but I'm an admin. Have to set the fucking standard around here for good language and good behavior. It's not like Beethoven had good language Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, WeatherShak said: I was just thinking about this the other day. What IS the very beginning? I've been in here for ~ 8-9 years (mostly observing/learning) and for sharing obs/photos. This board started in 2009. Eastern preceded it and i joined it in 2004. I'm not sure when Eastern actually started. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, ravensrule said: This board started in 2009. Eastern preceded it and i joined it in 2004. I'm not sure when Eastern actually started. What about Wright Weather? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, anotherman said: What about Wright Weather? That was way before my entrance to any weather boards. @stormtracker or @Ji should know all that history well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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