AllWeather Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 4:28 AM, MillvilleWx said: That mega band in SoPA is the TROWAL I've been mentioning. Absolute classic and can confirm when I look at the 7H Theta-E's Expand Yupp. And does naughty things. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY1894 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 4:29 AM, AllWeather said: Yupp. And does naughty things. Expand I want to chase this but it’s gonna be stressful trying to plan ahead to setup near best banding. Will have to make a decision by Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Everyone south of the far northern MD tier better hope this storm doesn't become dependent on backlash snow after hours of heavy rain to work out... that will be a fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PivotPoint Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 4:23 AM, yoda said: CCB is noice on the 00z CMC at 72... mauling everyone I95 and west Expand What are you talking about. A) not a mauling for most the sub forum, b) cuts total from previous run significantly. Honestly, close to banter man 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Not surprisingly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardmeiser Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 4:13 AM, osfan24 said: I get that, but with such huge totals being shown on many models not that far away and within striking distance, this scenario would be a bit disappointing. I guess it's all about expectations. Had this not been showing such big potential for days on end with big totals hanging around, 6-10 or whatever would sound amazing for December. But that run almost cut my recent GFS run totals in half. Expand 6-10 is amazing for December Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 GEFS cut back somewhat. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Going to be a fun 6 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 4:46 AM, Snowchaser said: Liking the looks of this Expand This is 24hrs old... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 4:32 AM, HKY1894 said: I want to chase this but it’s gonna be stressful trying to plan ahead to setup near best banding. Will have to make a decision by Tuesday. Expand I’m chasing from Philly. I can’t turn down an hour drive to see 2 feet 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Checking in from your north in Harrisburg - feel like I’m in the best spot aside from the coal region of of Pennsylvania. Feel few to come visit n 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 UKIE at 72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
32º Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 NAM showing serious ICE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Ukie at 72,looks good when compared to cmc for example. Not 100% sure since it seems slower as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 4:57 AM, nj2va said: UKIE at 72 That looks good I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Not shocked to the see the meh reception to the CMC from those outside the uber-favored areas but that is a cold run at the surface. I'll take my chances with wintry soup at 29. Don't even think DCA breaches 32 verbatim. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 4:58 AM, Ji said: On 12/14/2020 at 4:57 AM, nj2va said: UKIE at 72 Expand That looks good I think Expand I agree that looks perfect in my eyes. On precip maps va getting crushes on that frame Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 4:58 AM, Ji said: That looks good I think Expand Yeah, I’m personally rooting for higher QPF further west so that LP looks good to me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/13/2020 at 7:02 PM, Scraff said: Jebwalks will be had by all. Expand Hope you are in good jebwalkin' shape. Don't look now, but ANOTHER weather system is gonna smash into y'all later, as a storm passes off the NC Coast later this week. This will be a snowy FRIGID Winter long remembered throughout the Washington DC Metropolitan region! The Reaper is definitely gonna retire. He's gonna be fresh out of work. There's going to be way too much snow, for him to even have a hope of Reapin' anyone. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 4:25 AM, Ji said: its weird. On TT---the 72 map looks like this when it shows qpf. but then Expand One is avg precip rate over the previous 6 hours and the other is instantaneous rate (or like a radar depiction). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 UKMET is not that great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 This is not a freezing rain event, folks. Models may be spitting that out, but it isn't happening. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 I’m not just saying this because it shows less snow but I just don’t think its that great of a model. I’m sure someone who is smarter/follows its performance more closely can comment, but I never get the “Euro will follow the UK” since it seems that rarely happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 5:33 AM, wxtrix said: it's not a great model. neither is the Canadian. the NWS isn't relying on either of them to make its forecasts. Expand Yeah, we don't even look at the UKMET for any reason down here. Our order of prevalence is: 1. Euro/GFS 2. RAP/HRRR for meso 3. Nam Nest 4. Canadian 5. Hieroglyphics 6. Crystal Ball 7. Icon 8. That's So Raven telekinesis 9. A straight up guess out of a hat 10. Nam 12km 2 1 21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Good old Hieroglyphics....can't beat that. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 6:01 AM, Deck Pic said: hoping for a flatter solution like 18z.... Expand Looks like the HP is slightly further west at 48 on 00z... yes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 6:01 AM, yoda said: Looks like the HP is slightly further west at 48 on 00z... yes? Expand No discernible differences so far between the globals in SLP. Will keep posted. Been digging more using AWIPS. FINALLY a quiet night here after todays ridiculous wind event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 A lot of sleet this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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