AACOUNTYMD Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 When does the GFS come out? those of us in AACounty usually miss on to the snows to the north and west and then we miss out on the southern sliders to our south. . . it has been a rough couple of years. . . so, that is why I am desperate to get some good news from the GFS after a disappointing NAM run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 6 minutes ago, Ji said: 7 minutes ago, PhineasC said: NAM is all by itself. Or the gfs is all by itself That's one of your weaker troll jobs. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, AACOUNTYMD said: When does the GFS come out? those of us in AACounty usually miss out to the snows to the north and west and then we miss out on the southern sliders to our south. . . it has been a rough couple of years. . . so, that is why I am desperate to get some good news from the GFS after a disappointing NAM run Usually starts running at about 1020pm or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 2 minutes ago, PhineasC said: People say that all the time. LOL You’re right. I left smart out of my post 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Sorry if already posted... WBAL/Tony Pann going kinda conservative 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, Ji said: Hasn’t that whole “wait until it’s onshore” stuff been debunked? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 29 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said: How can the Nam have the low almost to Richmond... Unreal. Is this model that bad? lol The NAM either needs to be retired or is dire need of an upgrade. When was the last major upgrade aside from adding the 3k resolution? At range the 12k is horrid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, nw baltimore wx said: Hasn’t that whole “wait until it’s onshore” stuff been debunked? Plus I don’t see much of a difference with the SW coming onshore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Icon is further south and much better than 18z fwiw (not a lot I know) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 4 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 ICON > NAM. I distinctly remember Stormtracker at one point conceding the NAM was a good model one or two years ago. Stuck with me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardmeiser Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 15 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: That's one of your weaker troll jobs. Nam is garbage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 4 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: The NAM either needs to be retired or is dire need of an upgrade. When was the last major upgrade aside from adding the 3k resolution? At range the 12k is horrid. Chill out. The NAM was frozen with its 2017 upgrade (the 3 km component has been running for way, way longer) and is slated for retirement in the 2023-2024 time frame. It's also well known that the 3 km nest is a far superior model to its 12 km parent, although it too certainly has limitations. 3 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
batmanbrad Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Don't know if this was mentioned earlier (I couldn't find a reference), but earlier this evening, Capital Weather Gang did a Facebook Live presentation featuring Jason Samenow, Jeff Halverson, and AmWx's own Wes Junker (usedtobe)... check it out! I wasn't sure if I could/should post a link to it, but if you do a search on FB for CWG, you should be able to find and view it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, nw baltimore wx said: Hasn’t that whole “wait until it’s onshore” stuff been debunked? It's a long standing weenie fav, embraced as truth only when you're out of other excuses for the models 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 I suspect that tweet came from someone from New England Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, leesburg 04 said: I suspect that tweet came from someone from New England Right, he is no different than us. When you are looking for snow you see what you want to see sometimes. Until the models slam the door lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Alright ladies and gents. About T minus 0. The most important run of our weenie lives. I’ve heard all the big boys and girls talk about 0z Monday being thee run to be ready for, as sampling etc would be available to our main player. Here’s to getting destroyed on the upcoming model runs! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 RGEM has the low crossing over eastern NC to right over OC. Icy for the cities. It then dumps 30+ inches on NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 7 minutes ago, high risk said: Chill out. The NAM was frozen with its 2017 upgrade (the 3 km component has been running for way, way longer) and is slated for retirement in the 2023-2024 time frame. It's also well known that the 3 km nest is a far superior model to its 12 km parent, although it too certainly has limitations. Yes, the 3k is usually decent. I like to use it close-in. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 5 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Icon is colder . That's the takeaway that matters And the ICON thermals are never right, so you can go a little colder with the depiction here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dabuckeyes Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 5 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Icon is colder . That's the takeaway that matters Probably because the energy is on land now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40westwx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 8 minutes ago, Dabuckeyes said: Probably because the energy is on land now Bingo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 2 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: RGEM has the low crossing over eastern NC to right over OC. Icy for the cities. Does the RGEM have the 'amped at range' issues that the NAM has given that they are both short range meso models? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 2 minutes ago, caviman2201 said: Does the RGEM have the 'amped at range' issues that the NAM has given that they are both short range meso models? The RGEM is another model that seems to run warm, IMO. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40westwx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 29 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: Hasn’t that whole “wait until it’s onshore” stuff been debunked? No it is actually a thing.. there has already been a lot of chatter about it here too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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