psuhoffman Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 hour ago, CAPE said: p25 will do. That really would be a "give me that and we're good the rest of winter" storm...40" lol 34 minutes ago, mappy said: Runs today all looking good IMBY. We are in good shape I think. Even if this takes one of the more inside tracks like that one GFS or some of the euro runs, historically that track with a pretty stout high in southern Quebec would still produce a 8"+ snowfall up here. If this stays offshore we could do REALLY well. But for us I think it is more of a matter of how significant will the snow be not whether it will be significant. Assuming your bar for significant isn't Ji level. 27 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: This isn't bad I think. Gun to head, I'd probably say 5-10" for MBY. I'm pretty close to the boundary between his 6-12" and 3-6". His zones are ok but somewhere in that 6-12 will be a 12+. I get that its too soon to nail down where though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 8 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Present from @mitchnick. 18z GGEM liquid equivalent precip that falls as snow. @mappy jackpot, but all of central and north MD is solid. http://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/precipitation-accumulation.php?lang=en&map=qc&run=18&mod=gemglb&hi=000&hf=120&type=SN&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&capa_verif=off Converts to 1.5” I’ll take it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Wow @mappy, @psuhoffman, @losetoa6, and @HighStakes are smoked by the Euro. At least a foot. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, psuhoffman said: That really would be a "give me that and we're good the rest of winter" storm...40" lol We are in good shape I think. Even if this takes one of the more inside tracks like that one GFS or some of the euro runs, historically that track with a pretty stout high in southern Quebec would still produce a 8"+ snowfall up here. If this stays offshore we could do REALLY well. But for us I think it is more of a matter of how significant will the snow be not whether it will be significant. Assuming your bar for significant isn't Ji level. His zones are ok but somewhere in that 6-12 will be a 12+. I get that its too soon to nail down where though. Nah, you know me, any snow is good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 HAPPY HOUR EURO!!!! WB 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 13 minutes ago, mappy said: I usually follow the zones LWX has, they split all the counties that run along the line into two parts. Baltimore County splits at the Hereford Zone line, so a little north of the actually fall line but close enough. Actually if ya really wanna be OCD with it...since I live about 10-15 mins south of Towson, I guess I'd clear the dotted line...but not sure how much different it is from the other side, lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, WxUSAF said: He's still around some, but lives just across the PA border now. Banter, but I was just up in Shrewsbury yesterday. We took @mappy’s advice and hit some tree farms up there, but nothing much left in the cut your own lots, so went across the PA line. Not much luck there either. We ended up getting our tree at a local tree farm called Lowe’s. Fun drive though. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 3 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Wow @mappy, @psuhoffman, @losetoa6, and @HighStakes are smoked by the Euro. At least a foot. Oops, you accidentally left me off the list! 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GATECH Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 I would take DTs forecast and run...his second outlook, whatever that means...15 min ago 3 2 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just noise probably, but Euro seemed like the slightest step back from 12z. Still trying to figure out where the deform band goes and the 32 line still bounces west of 95 for a time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 40 minutes ago, mappy said: I usually follow the zones LWX has, they split all the counties that run along the line into two parts. Baltimore County splits at the Hereford Zone line, so a little north of the actually fall line but close enough. Actually if ya really wanna be OCD with it...since I live about 10-15 mins south of Towson, I guess I'd clear the dotted line...but not sure how much different it is from the other side, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 10 minutes ago, AmericanWxFreak said: Money looking at 18z vs 12z it looks like the euro trended better near DC 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, GATECH said: I would take DTs forecast and run...his second outlook, whatever that means...15 mind ago @mappyis out of the phantom zone 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Anyone have a simulated radar from start to finish? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Oops, you accidentally left me off the list! Zoomed in screenshot 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, mappy said: Zoomed in screenshot You just want all of us to see how you're in the 20"+ zone 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, mappy said: Zoomed in screenshot Eff it. I’ll take 6” and run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 6 minutes ago, ErinInTheSky said: HAPPY HOUR EURO!!!! WB Looks close to the 12z Euro in most places Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 That includes tomorrow’s totals for those who may see some snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Euro has had me around 15" or so for a few runs now. That's good to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GATECH Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, H2O said: Eff it. I’ll take 6” and run Totally, my bar is 4 inches as of now... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, WxUSAF said: You just want all of us to see how you're in the 20"+ zone Ha, don’t think I’ll see that much. But never know if that band sets up overhead Just now, H2O said: Eff it. I’ll take 6” and run For December and living south, 6” is pretty good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 2 minutes ago, Amped said: Looks close to the 12z Euro in most places 18z lost the giant phallic symbol otherwise similar 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 7 minutes ago, GATECH said: I would take DTs forecast and run...his second outlook, whatever that means...15 min ago Niiiiiice, 5-10”...wouldn’t mind a bump up on QPF for Deep Creek on the Euro but I’ll roll the dice with ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Mt. Holly hoisted watches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, WxUSAF said: Mt. Holly hoisted watches Kinda early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, losetoa6 said: Whatever falls iyby it'll be around a while. By "a while" you mean three days...? LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 9 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: Anyone have a simulated radar from start to finish? http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/current/mcview.phtml?prod=usrad&java=script&mode=archive&frames=70&interval=30&year=2009&month=12&day=18&hour=7&minute=0 2 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, PhineasC said: By "a while" you mean three days...? LOL That’s pretty good for around here. Half the time we get a storm it melts within 12 hours. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 MECS at the lowest sun of the year. Perfect. Pray that it actually happens. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts