snowmagnet Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/13/2020 at 11:57 PM, WVclimo said: 1-3” DC south and east. 3-6” in the NW suburbs. 6-12” out past Dulles and points far north and west ? Expand And then he would have to keep upping his totals every half an hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 12:02 AM, WxUSAF said: 84hr CIPS analogs to the 12z GFS. Some absolute classics on here: http://www.eas.slu.edu/CIPS/ANALOG/DFHR.php?reg=EC&fhr=F084&rundt=2020121312&map=thbCOOP72 Expand #13 was a great storm here. Underrated when compared to the usual KUs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 This should be a colder euro run. Better confluence, heights off the EC are lower 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/13/2020 at 10:58 PM, CAPE said: Ok, just this one time.. Expand P28 works just fine. Sorry, man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Present from @mitchnick. 18z GGEM liquid equivalent precip that falls as snow. @mappy jackpot, but all of central and north MD is solid. http://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/precipitation-accumulation.php?lang=en&map=qc&run=18&mod=gemglb&hi=000&hf=120&type=SN&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&capa_verif=off 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 12:08 AM, WxUSAF said: Present from @mitchnick. 18z GGEM liquid equivalent precip that falls as snow. @mappy jackpot, but all of central and north MD is solid. http://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/precipitation-accumulation.php?lang=en&map=qc&run=18&mod=gemglb&hi=000&hf=120&type=SN&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&capa_verif=off Expand If it’s not a secret, what area did he move to? I hope it’s a snowy locale. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chase Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/13/2020 at 11:53 PM, leesburg 04 said: So if he were here he would tell you what? Expand On his Facebook, he said "Snow lovers haven't been this excited in 2 years . I'd follow what Capital Weather Gang has to say in coming days" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 HR 81....Euro is a win for everyone NW of I-95. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Money 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 12:12 AM, AmericanWxFreak said: Money Expand Oh good god yes. Pretty nice agreement with the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 12:12 AM, AmericanWxFreak said: Money Expand Noice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 WB EURO 4pm Wed. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/13/2020 at 11:56 PM, BristowWx said: Yeah most times he was right. Damn you Bob. Expand I’m not sure about that. My mom would always watch channel 4 and I couldn’t stand him. I remember, even as a kid and teen, he would usually underestimate totals and then constantly have to increase totals. I might have a slightly skewed memory from being a snow lover since birth, but he never earned my trust. I grew up in Charles Co where we were often underestimated because we were south of the Fall line, but in many cases, we ended up with colder temperatures and MUCH higher totals than forecasted. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 So damn close to closing off too, phew. Maybe what the HECS gefs solutions are picking up on? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Aand the euro torches the eastern shore once again for a short time then 850s crash and good googly moogly it snows hard 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Oh so close 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 12:10 AM, nw baltimore wx said: If it’s not a secret, what area did he move to? I hope it’s a snowy locale. Expand He's still around some, but lives just across the PA border now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 12:15 AM, JakkelWx said: Aand the euro torches the eastern shore once again for a short time then 850s crash and good googly moogly it snows hard Expand Delmarva is torched by every model on every run since this came into focus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 12:16 AM, Eskimo Joe said: Delmarva is torched by every model on every run since this came into focus. Expand I know this 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 WB EURO 18Z 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Mt. Holly hoisting a Winter Storm Watch for Wednesday, guess Sterling might follow suite tonight? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/13/2020 at 10:55 PM, CAPE said: p25 will do. Expand That really would be a "give me that and we're good the rest of winter" storm...40" lol On 12/13/2020 at 11:30 PM, mappy said: Runs today all looking good IMBY. Expand We are in good shape I think. Even if this takes one of the more inside tracks like that one GFS or some of the euro runs, historically that track with a pretty stout high in southern Quebec would still produce a 8"+ snowfall up here. If this stays offshore we could do REALLY well. But for us I think it is more of a matter of how significant will the snow be not whether it will be significant. Assuming your bar for significant isn't Ji level. On 12/13/2020 at 11:36 PM, WxUSAF said: This isn't bad I think. Gun to head, I'd probably say 5-10" for MBY. I'm pretty close to the boundary between his 6-12" and 3-6". Expand His zones are ok but somewhere in that 6-12 will be a 12+. I get that its too soon to nail down where though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 12:08 AM, WxUSAF said: Present from @mitchnick. 18z GGEM liquid equivalent precip that falls as snow. @mappy jackpot, but all of central and north MD is solid. http://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/precipitation-accumulation.php?lang=en&map=qc&run=18&mod=gemglb&hi=000&hf=120&type=SN&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&capa_verif=off Expand Converts to 1.5” I’ll take it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Wow @mappy, @psuhoffman, @losetoa6, and @HighStakes are smoked by the Euro. At least a foot. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On 12/14/2020 at 12:17 AM, psuhoffman said: That really would be a "give me that and we're good the rest of winter" storm...40" lol We are in good shape I think. Even if this takes one of the more inside tracks like that one GFS or some of the euro runs, historically that track with a pretty stout high in southern Quebec would still produce a 8"+ snowfall up here. If this stays offshore we could do REALLY well. But for us I think it is more of a matter of how significant will the snow be not whether it will be significant. Assuming your bar for significant isn't Ji level. His zones are ok but somewhere in that 6-12 will be a 12+. I get that its too soon to nail down where though. Expand Nah, you know me, any snow is good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 HAPPY HOUR EURO!!!! WB 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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