yoda Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 And its gone by 18z MON... zoom zoom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Just now, clskinsfan said: Toasty at the surface though. I am looking at IWM maps. And the 850 line is way further south than on TT. Weird. PW has sounding at MRB at 12z MON being 37 at surface but below 0C from about 850/900mb up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Gfs doesn’t quite get the heavy qpf far enough NW to intersect where it’s cold enough NW of the fall line. But it’s been clueless on this wave (as it was the wave last week that gave some light snow to southern VA). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 12, 2020 Author Share Posted December 12, 2020 GFS seems like rain outside the mountains, perhaps a slushy accumulation under heaviest rates for the favored spots. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 2 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Toasty at the surface though. I am looking at IWM maps. And the 850 line is way further south than on TT. Weird. Heavy rates needed to mix cold down stay to our SE. but it’s trending to everything else. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 And its gone by 18z MON... zoom zoomThere was no way the gfs was gonna show snow tonight. Prob not till Sunday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 4 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Gfs doesn’t quite get the heavy qpf far enough NW to intersect where it’s cold enough NW of the fall line. But it’s been clueless on this wave (as it was the wave last week that gave some light snow to southern VA). But I mean...at this point tho...according to your theory, shouldn't we be kinda rooting against a snowier solution for this wave anyway? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 00z GEFS is coming in snowier for the usual suspects. Good step in the right direction. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 1 hour ago, Eskimo Joe said: ICON appears to be a big hit for @HighStakes, @losetoa6, @psuhoffman, and @mappy, highly elevation dependent. Finally, the icon is on board with something 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 WB 6z NAM ticked NW a little from Oz. Maps 1ET Mon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Nam is really amped for storm 1. I bet it ends up weakening a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 WB 6Z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 WB 6z Monday storm 4pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 12, 2020 Author Share Posted December 12, 2020 Latest LWX map....not bullish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 WB 6Z EURO 10 am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 WB EURO 6Z mostly snow tv east of WV. Much less than 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Is this the icon thread??? Asking for a friend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 24 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Eps coming in coldest run yet at the surface and at 850mb and qpf remains very similar to 0z This is the rare event where I could really use PSU's extra 140 ft. of elevation that sits literally 1/8 mile from my backyard. Lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 27 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Is this the icon thread??? Asking for a friend. The CRAS model is sad. It’s never had a thread made in its honor. The Germans get more love than the CRAS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40westwx Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 5 hours ago, Ji said: Nam is really amped for storm 1. I bet it ends up weakening a bit isnt the nam for thunderstorms? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Just now, 40westwx said: isnt the nam for thunderstorms? No. It’s for shits and giggles 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 12z 3k with probably a realistic evolution...most start as rain and the northern tier change over. C-3" depending on elevation. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 This could be the mythical rain to snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 5 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Lookin real juiced Good!! Amp that baby up to help with Wednesday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 WB 12z 3k... think mostly snow tv snow since rain to snow and marginal temperatures at best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 1 hour ago, H2O said: The CRAS model is sad. It’s never had a thread made in its honor. The Germans get more love than the CRAS Someone get that bingo board filled in! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 27 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: The good thing is that this won't be a drizzle/ light rain to a few wet flakes . Most likely moderate rain changing to moderate snow in the favored locals as it stands. Agree with the T-3" To your point on rates...ICON is juiced this run. Gotta be heavy precip falling to get this qpf in a quick hitter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 1 minute ago, poolz1 said: To your point on rates...ICON is juiced this run. Gotta be heavy precip falling to get this qpf in a quick hitter. That might be the thing that leads to a surprise snow for some 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 34 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: The good thing is that this won't be a drizzle/ light rain to a few wet flakes . Most likely moderate rain changing to moderate snow in the favored locals as it stands. Agree with the T-3" Gotta have huge rates with something like this to get snow. Good to see the models juicing up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Looks juiced on gfs as well. That looks like rain for us on that trajectory. Well, except north and west. Pretty good rates at the end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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