HoarfrostHubb Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, J Paul Gordon said: In an urban area, like the hilly city of Worcester, 8-12 is a major event. Not hysteric. Not minor. But a very good hit. It has to do with being in a city. If Paxton gets 8-12 it is significant but not a real big deal. I'll be delighted to see 12" of the light fluffy stuff. It also depends... if it is a fluffernutter, no big deal. The cement on Dec 5 was pretty "major" impactwise, despite the totals being meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 i think GFS will be further north, just based on the look up in maine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Gfs is meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Who cares 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: If I lived in New Haven, CT, then I would probably agree. But I don't- niether do I! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 4 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I think having my own Emoji that I’ve talked about at conferences to show how awesome you guys are suffices for his answer lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 yeah, GFS meh again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Gfs is either scoring a major coup or is way out to lunch 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Update your profile location! Look closer! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 It did keep the persistence with the low east of ACY vs the other runs. I think a step in the right direction. That looks more like other models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 nice run for the NYC/PA folks 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, The 4 Seasons said: Look closer! Don't care enough to! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 2 minutes ago, TheSnowman said: I think having my own Emoji that I’ve talked about at conferences to show how awesome you guys are suffices for his answer lol I meant new to the psychology. This happens every storm but you only pay attention to the big ones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Don't care enough to! Ok! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, ineedsnow said: Gfs is either scoring a major coup or is way out to lunch Maybe a moderate success.... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, ineedsnow said: would be sad 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 12"+ storms don't grow on trees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Gfs is either scoring a major coup or is way out to lunch 70/30 blend seems right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Ginx can still go sledding on 3" of fluff. Grandkids hitting rocks and sent to hospital with concussions. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 The GFS is really aggressive with the convection offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 14, 2020 Author Share Posted December 14, 2020 I don't know ... is there an official metrical sort of definition to event minor vs moderate vs major event ? I remember in the 1980s into the mid 1990s.. .back in TWC days of "weather cinema monopoly" ... and even the local TV weather personalities would refer to minor events at 2-4" .. .moderate as 4-6" and anything > 6 was major... Now, seems that's hugely contingent upon conditioning of culture/society ...sociologically adaptive - long words for the fact that we hand out 10" snow bombs like Pez candies since 2000 so ... Maybe that scale - subjective or not ... -- needs to be redressed. Haha... I think a "new scale" that is acclimated and more relative to modernity at present, might be anything 3" has to be achieved before entrance into the minor lounge. Say 3-5" is a minor event... 6-10" is a moderate event... and > 10 is major. It's not just snow board climate and acclimation, either... Tech in snow removal and maintenance makes those lower values sort of outmoded - so there's a practical angle on this too. I have seen 14" of snow between 1am and 2 pm more than just a couple of times since 2000, and was able to drive around on fairly communicable roadways ... and other traffic day in the lifing it - 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: 70/30 blend seems right. That's sort of how I feel. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, radarman said: The GFS is really aggressive with the convection offshore. It is, which is why I was sort of satisfied with the low finally off ACY unlike other runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: That's sort of how I feel. We feel together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: 70/30 blend seems right. Ugh idk have to wait for the rest of 12z I think the GFS is way out to lunch since every other model has a good hit 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: It is, which is why I was sort of satisfied with the low finally off ACY unlike other runs. You can see it beginning to fire more nw of the low. Another day and it will find itslef and drag the pope along with it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That's sort of how I feel. 70/30 blend would be bad news here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It is, which is why I was sort of satisfied with the low finally off ACY unlike other runs. yes. It was substantially deeper there than in previous runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: 70/30 blend would be bad news here. I say this without seeing the other guidance like CMC, Ukie, Euro so could change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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