40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: My guess is 10-16 SW areas 7-12 otherwise . Seems more realistic as this Maxes SW of SNE and is weakening on approach I'll def. have some tweaking to do on Wednesday. Some nice snows, but a very flawed set up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 8 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Pretty quick storm on the NAM... 12 hours or so for my area But DIT said days and days 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Icon crushes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 duality of man 1 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'll def. have some tweaking to do on Wednesday. Some nice snows, but a very flawed set up. Seems it’s never really an easy forecast and sometimes it’s really really complicated. At least we don’t have BL concerns w this . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Icon will be fun I think ICON totals. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 ICON looked like Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Meh, trending the wrong way here. Maybe 3" of slop will do it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 4 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Seems it’s never really an easy forecast and sometimes it’s really really complicated. At least we don’t have BL concerns w this . I was thinking the same...more of a mid level dynamics PIA, then low level thermal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Subtle trend so far has been to Peter snow totals out as you head east... still a good amount Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: ICON totals. Another run with the FU sliver N 495 belt..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 6 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Icon crushes ICON def improved. 2/2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 But the RDPS crushes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 14 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: So it’s not 24-30 hrs..? We've been saying that for a while now. Nothing over 15 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Reggie pounding. Congrats Ray on deffy band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Subtle trend so far has been to Peter snow totals out as you head east... still a good amount Yea, def. looks like more of a moderate event, which always made more sense, anyway. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I was thinking the same...more of a mid level dynamics PIA, then low level thermal. Forward speed and any last minute tics S definitely can make forecast amounts tough to nail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 8 minutes ago, powderfreak said: ICON totals. And that's only 10 to 1. I think we can do better 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Another run with the FU sliver N 495 belt..... lol the 9.3" vs. 8.0" I guess. Seems like it's just showing widespread 8-12". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Wow. Where did the 20”+ go on the NAM? This thing is trending into a moderate event after ALLLLLLL this hype. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Might get a lot of lingering -SN on guidance near the coast after it ends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 GFS time I think it comes north this run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 RGEM isn't too bad here but no wiggle room left, and pretty certain we dry slot for a while now on all guidance. The OES late Thursday Friday is nice too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Since when is like 8-12 with lollis to more a MDT event? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, ineedsnow said: And that's only 10 to 1. I think we can do better I wouldn't look at the actual amounts to the decimal, ha. It's just a general look to the model... the quick and dirty. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: lol the 9.3" vs. 8.0" I guess. Seems like it's just showing widespread 8-12". I'm not taking it quantitatively, but rather qualitatively. The models are communicating the areas that will be bent over at least excuse imaginable, and it makes sense. We have best dynamics west, and OE contributions southeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: Since when is like 8-12 with lollis to more a MDT event? I'll gladly take anyone's 8-12" if they are disappointed. Its still 60 hours out on the models before a flake flies in New England too. That's a long time still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, def. looks like more of a moderate event, which always made more sense, anyway. A 12-18" with up to 24" event is now considered moderate? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Since when is like 8-12 with lollis to more a MDT event? 8-12" is moderate in my mind. I'm not complaining about, but that is my opinion. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm not taking it quantitatively, but rather qualitatively. The models are communicating the areas that will be bent over at least excuse imaginable, and it makes sense. We have best dynamics west, and OE contributions southeast. You likely have colder/drier SFC air trying to feed in underneath from that stout high pressure. It works really well in SWFE but that cold/dry drain from Maine down the coastal plain could cause some drier air underneath I guess too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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