Bostonseminole Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, It's Always Sunny said: I'm sure the subscription is worth the Euro soundings themselves. Wish weathermodels.com/WeatherBell subscriptions had those. It's inexpensive too, comparatively. $7/mo at full board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 That’s a great look for this area, nothing to complain about. 12-18 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, Henry's Weather said: Feel a little bit of schadenfreude with this run missing the MA since many of them want the storm to trend southeast and steal my snow... haha I recall some posters down there saying "f&*k New England" when we were trying to sneak minor goodies from storms that nailed them, so schadenfreude away! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: That’s a great look for this area, nothing to complain about. 12-18 Probably 10-12. That's slotty there for awhile. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 it's never too early to talk ratio's but I'm thinking this is not a 10:1..? correct METS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: Probably 10-12. That's slotty there for awhile. Meh... still good.... Euro is even more here... wel see what happens... I like 6+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, JC-CT said: It's inexpensive too, comparatively. $7/mo at full board Wow, that's really good! If I didn't have a weathermodels subscription already I'd get it myself. Well we'll be leaning heavily on you for sounding requests I guess, haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 5 minutes ago, powderfreak said: ALB gets crushed on that run. Deform delight. Mid-levels would be like ALB-Dendrite-Dryslot. Can't say i don't like that look, It looks more reasonable across the board for totals as well, But the 10:1 maps are on the low side i think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: That’s a great look for this area, nothing to complain about. 12-18 It’s interesting you liked that look a lot more than yesterday’s 12z EURO that was losing wiggle room, ha. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, dryslot said: Can't say i don't like that look, It looks more reasonable across the board for totals as well, But the 10:1 maps are on the low side i think. yeah, I think someone said metro west would be sub 20 during the storm so ratios should be good, but I know there is more to ratios than just temps.. I know Dendrite is the house expert on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 3km puts the low further south than 12km by a good 100 miles through the Carolinas. Anything to read into? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, Bostonseminole said: yeah, I think someone said metro west would be sub 20 during the storm so ratios should be good, but I know there is more to ratios than just temps.. I know Dendrite is the house expert on that. An aptly named expert Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, Bostonseminole said: yeah, I think someone said metro west would be sub 20 during the storm so ratios should be good, but I know there is more to ratios than just temps.. I know Dendrite is the house expert on that. If it snows here we won't worry about a mix, Surface temps are in the teens for highs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 5 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: it's never too early to talk ratio's but I'm thinking this is not a 10:1..? correct METS? Pretty cold up above. Prob 12:1 - 15:1 for a lot of this of course it depends where you are Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, PowderBeard said: 3km puts the low further south than 12km by a good 100 miles through the Carolinas. Anything to read into? If it’s snowier for ones location , ride it if less snow ..we toss 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, PowderBeard said: 3km puts the low further south than 12km by a good 100 miles through the Carolinas. Anything to read into? Could be off but if anything it adds “mental insurance” against a Ptype issue on the coastal plain of SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, PowderBeard said: 3km puts the low further south than 12km by a good 100 miles through the Carolinas. Anything to read into? If true that’s a sizable difference. Better resolution model so maybe it’s picking up on some thing 12k isn’t? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, PowderBeard said: 3km puts the low further south than 12km by a good 100 miles through the Carolinas. Anything to read into? Danger Will Robinson! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattm4242 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 6 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: Loving the weenie spot from Taunton to cape Ann. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 If my memory of the last couple of years is any indication, I would guess today and Wed AM we have ticks NW and Tues and Wed PM on we have ticks SE but that is just based on my rough memory of how things have been going. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Euro is much different with how it curls back the mid levels with the ccb while the nammy is just a blob racing w to e. That’s the difference between 10” and 20”. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 I looked at hr 60 on 12k and 3K nam and don't see any appreciable difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 3 minutes ago, PowderBeard said: 3km puts the low further south than 12km by a good 100 miles through the Carolinas. Anything to read into? It looked like it was in the same area at hr60 on the 3k and 12k. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Pretty cold up above. Prob 12:1 - 15:1 for a lot of this of course it depends where you are unless its sand 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 4 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: yeah, I think someone said metro west would be sub 20 during the storm so ratios should be good, but I know there is more to ratios than just temps.. I know Dendrite is the house expert on that. Nor am I, but I gather temperatures between -12 to -18C in the DGZ with sufficient lift is most important for ratios. Surface temps don't make that much of a contribution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: I looked at hr 60 on 12k and 3K nam and don't see any appreciable difference. did the same, low seems to be just off the nw virginia coast over delaware on both Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 @CoastalWx couldn't the NAM have inflated totals due to non-hydrostatic approximation? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, Hoth said: Nor am I, but I gather temperatures between -12 to -18C in the DGZ with sufficient lift is most important for ratios. Surface temps don't make that much of a contribution. Yes. I’ve learned that the hard way but I still suck at analyzing soundings. I’d rather keep this at 10:1 for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 2 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: unless its sand True dat.... someone might get some nice dendys though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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