The 4 Seasons Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 10 minutes ago, ice1972 said: Those were all pork huh? for you? how do you figure... WeHa did very well in all those, far from a pork job. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: If that’s pork, I’ll take an order to go please. How much for an extra serving? Those storms are mint for Hartford county and 91. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 6Z NAM warmed up a bit for tomorrow. Looks like mainly a rain/white rain event for the south shore, coastal CT, NYC and LI. 1-2 likely well inland. 3" possible in W CT hills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Lol. 06z NAM has a powderfreak to SYR band Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Amazing how steady the EPS have been. Kind of hard to go against those at the moment. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Will and I up at 4am?? I'm recording stuff so that's normal. You Guys? haha Love It. That'll be me Tuesday Night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Amazing how steady the EPS have been. Kind of hard to go against those at the moment. NAM.... Means nothing at this range but goes up to NYC and then heads east, even brings slot and mixing into S CT. Not happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 I'm curious to see what the 00Z GFS16 looks like. It's not out yet, i think a few more hours.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 I'm up too. Long time since I got 6z before bed. NAM was insane-makes me want to toss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 24 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Amazing how steady the EPS have been. Kind of hard to go against those at the moment. Yea, for days now. The mean just steadily ramps up as it consolidates into clusters. We’re getting inside D4 now so we should start picking up on clues by dissecting op runs. What Chris posted should give a slight pause though. I’ve learned over the years to start backwards ie what can go wrong and not start with my snow goggles on...but it’s not easy lol. It’s why I’ve been hesitant to be fully nude yet despite how great it’s looked for this area. The block helps minimize the margin of error but this may have a trick or two up it’s sleeve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Damn....bed so late. Hopefully I'll be up before Euro starts running for the 12Z suite.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Kinda surprised at no watches given the fact NJ issued them a period before. Probably PM shift then. W. Drag must be giddy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 14 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: Kinda surprised at no watches given the fact NJ issued them a period before. Probably PM shift then. W. Drag must be giddy. There's still quite a bit of time left, and when watches go up you tend to get locked into your first guess forecast amounts. I'm not sure there is a ton of confidence for parts of the area when it comes to snowfall amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 6 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: There's still quite a bit of time left, and when watches go up you tend to get locked into your first guess forecast amounts. I'm not sure there is a ton of confidence for parts of the area when it comes to snowfall amounts. i agree with all of that. I was just basing it off the fact that NJ (PHI) went up yesterday. I expected them to either be up now or PM Monday monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Gfs nw thru 66 with a sharper trough, more tucked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, The 4 Seasons said: i agree with all of that. I was just basing it off the fact that NJ (PHI) went up yesterday. I expected them to either be up now or PM Monday monday By this afternoon you're starting to get into the 48 hour timeframe, which is a more traditional watch lead time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 No big leaps with the GFS but a NW bump. Until i see a single piece of guidance like that its going in the trash can. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Better thru 84. A decent bump closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 RGEMs a monster again FWIW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 2 hours ago, The 4 Seasons said: Its been a decade since we got to track something like this in December. Wow i just read the watch for NJ. Ive never seen an early watch that says 12" or more possible. They always go with the criteria 6" or more possible..or they do a range. Never seen 12. Should be getting watches region wide in an hour or so if NJ went up yesterday evening. * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 12 inches or more possible. I’ve lived in nw jersey all my life and don’t think I have ever seen them put 12 or more in their first issued watch 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Model mayhem. Nice. Writing is on the wall here. My fans are pointed south. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Graupler Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 GRARRR!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Model mayhem. Nice. Writing is on the wall here. My fans are pointed south. Fun while it lasted. High and dry ait. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 4 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I know I was fu@#ed on the euro when someone from CT said its still "plenty good for much of SNE".....AKA sucks north of the pike. Map verified my interpretation. Lol yup, same here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 3 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said: Lol yup, same here its not in the meat of the block buster numbers but 10" is nothing to sneeze at in Springfield Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said: its not in the meat of the block buster numbers but 10" is nothing to sneeze at in Springfield I'm still holding out hope for some of the EPS members' depictions. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 6 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: My house is exactly on the red/yellow line. Not sure if I should be highly confidence or only moderately confident. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 3 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: Lol. 06z NAM has a powderfreak to SYR band I knew it was coming at some point. While some other models only have advisory snows north of the Pike lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 4 hours ago, The 4 Seasons said: Wed-Thu blizzard. This is probably the earliest i've made a first call with around 3 days to go. Updates to follow. Capped it at 20 as i dont like going into the 20s, 24, 30 etc until we get close to the event and see "the whites of its eyes" as they say. Plenty of time to adjust. I like when maps take 20 minutes to make its nice and simple. That may change though. That's a sight for sore eyes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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