jm1220 Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 On 12/12/2020 at 6:25 AM, raindancewx said: No, I just added in the top snowfalls at the bottom for the time frame. Expand Yeah, can't argue there aren't plenty of roller coasters with this upcoming storm(s). Hopefully the evolution can make for a good outcome for as many of us as possible. Plenty of room for a crash/burn as well. Never easy with these. I'd for sure say with any Miller B type outcome typically a further NE redevelopment is favored. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 It keeps slowing and it’s a big hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 On 12/12/2020 at 6:27 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It keeps slowing and it’s a big hit. Expand Hope that doesn't result in occlusion further sw. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Tucky tucky. 992mb over ACY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 On 12/12/2020 at 6:28 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Tucky tucky. 992mb over ACY. Expand Should jet east underneath us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 On 12/12/2020 at 6:28 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Hope that doesn't result in occlusion further sw. Expand It does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Close to a monster hit bit kind of blows its load on the way up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 On 12/12/2020 at 6:31 AM, weathafella said: Close to a monster hit bit kind of blows its load on the way up. Expand I still don't buy that, but if it doesn't reverse trend the other direction by the end of the weekend may have to consider it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 1-2ft pike south. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Probably best to not be in the jackpot by day 5. Hopefully Mr. 40/70 is right about holding onto that primary for a little longer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 OTOH mid levels look great. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 On 12/12/2020 at 6:33 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: 1-2ft pike south. Expand We like! We take! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Euro had a warning snow followed by deep cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Well damn. Tucked into ACY yet we are snowing in the 20s. Forgot what’s it’s like to have a true arctic high helping us out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Still long ways to go but the big hit idea is gaining some traction with the slower evolution and capture off the NJ coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 On 12/12/2020 at 6:31 AM, weathafella said: Close to a monster hit bit kind of blows its load on the way up. Expand Looks like an excellent hit here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 5 days to go. GL all and goodnight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 On 12/12/2020 at 6:37 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Still long ways to go but the big hit idea is gaining some traction with the slower evolution and capture off the NJ coast. Expand 50/50 and some -NAO will slow things down sometimes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 On 12/12/2020 at 6:40 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: 5 days to go. GL all and goodnight Expand Wait-I have to walk the dog and catch the eps. Anything lesS than 30 inches is a disappointment. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 On 12/12/2020 at 6:38 AM, Fozz said: Looks like an excellent hit here. Expand It’s good-don’t get me wrong. Just a few issues of concern such as earlier than desired occlusion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Much more expansive precip field than last week's storm. Much stronger high. Slower mover. All good things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 On 12/12/2020 at 6:59 AM, RDRY said: Much more expansive precip field than last week's storm. Much stronger high. Slower mover. All good things. Expand More occlusion, sharper cutoff..not all good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 So..with a 50/50 and -NAO.. Are we starting to see this slow down as it moves of the coast of southern Jersey? If that happens.. Would only lengthen the snow. This is crazy. We are 5 days out and such great model consensus. Anyone remember the last time we had model consensus with a storm 5-7 days out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 On 12/12/2020 at 6:42 AM, weathafella said: It’s good-don’t get me wrong. Just a few issues of concern such as earlier than desired occlusion Expand I think I see what you're saying... that if it got captured a bit later then maybe we'd be looking at widespread 18"+ totals? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 On 12/12/2020 at 7:05 AM, Fozz said: I think I see what you're saying... that if it got captured a bit later then maybe we'd be looking at widespread 18"+ totals? Expand Bingo! EPS looks great for ALL of SNE and good for CNE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Control 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 On 12/12/2020 at 7:05 AM, Fozz said: I think I see what you're saying... that if it got captured a bit later then maybe we'd be looking at widespread 18"+ totals? Expand We want it captured just south of the cape. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 On 12/12/2020 at 7:03 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: More occlusion, sharper cutoff..not all good. Expand I remember that storm with a pretty limited northwest precip field. And isn't early occlusion typical for the bigger east coast storms? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 On 12/12/2020 at 7:20 AM, RDRY said: I remember that storm with a pretty limited northwest precip field. And isn't early occlusion typical for the bigger east coast storms? Expand Early occlusion is usually best for WCT/NYC and SW of there. Storm blowing it’s load too early is usually never good for NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 This looks like a better run to me, according to the snow maps... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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