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Active mid December with multiple event potential


Typhoon Tip
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1 hour ago, WinterWolf said:

I think I more than made my point.  I wouldn’t waste time writing them a letter. As Berg, Scott and Will just said what I was saying.  If it acts as a block..it’s a block. Without the blocking..this is a cutter for sure. So the blocking(whatever the source, or combination of sources), its doing its job.
 

That’s my only point. so to say no blocking was not correct. And I, or anybody here never said this thing stalls out due to a monster -NAO.  But the blocking is there. 

Isn’t this considered a REX block?  The 50/50 sitting under a HP?  

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2 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

I suppose you might be the only one interested and already have it lol

I was editing my post as you quoted it, I would say from looking at the precip field because i can't see the indv members, It looked like there would be some indv members that were well west or amped.

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Maybe an inch or two on the NAM for Monday in most of SNE. Possibly a little higher down near south coast if they can accumulate efficiently. 

I’m still pretty skeptical about that threat for much more than a C-1” but not impossible to pick up more if some pretty nice fronto can get going for 3-4 hours. 

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Just now, Mr. Windcredible! said:

Skeptical about tomorrow, especially near the coast. 12z HRRR was pretty meager...had things mostly drying up as it enters SNE. I know it’s a crap model especially this far out, but seems in line with most other guidance. NAM is the outlier for tomorrow.

It's still a sheeit airmass too

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1 minute ago, Mr. Windcredible! said:

Skeptical about tomorrow, especially near the coast. 12z HRRR was pretty meager...had things mostly drying up as it enters SNE. I know it’s a crap model especially this far out, but seems in line with most other guidance. NAM is the outlier for tomorrow.

HRRR looks good

7z8qPJE.jpg

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9 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

phone goes off at 1am:

wife: who is texting you at 1am?
me: nobody, i’m checking the euro... babe
wife: oh you have a european bitch?
me: no babe, its just a model
wife: oh shes a model too?
me: go back to bed you’re having a nightmare

Balls not in a jar above fridge  nice 
 

S SNE and CJ ville look very good 

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