ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 102h on EPS 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 06z EPS are maybe a shade more amped than 00z through 96h Looks slightly more east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: 102h on EPS Beautiful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Some single digit lows coming after this 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 That’s deff more amped. The transient nature of the 50/50 and slower evolution will lead to more nw ticks over the next 4 days imo. Like Will and Scoot and others have said, be more concerned of this coming nw then a gfs like graze. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: 102h on EPS Beautiful. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: That’s deff more amped. The transient nature of the 50/50 and slower evolution will lead to more nw ticks over the next 4 days imo. Like Will and Scoot has said, be more concerned of this coming nw then a gfs like graze. The difference in the 50/50 between the good and bad GFS runs is negligible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: The transient nature of the 50/50 and slower evolution will lead to more nw ticks over the next 4 days imo. Like Will and Scoot and others have said, be more concerned of this coming nw then a gfs like graze. Gfs is too far south and I think the Euro is too amped. Middle ground like the CMC is possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 EPS looks fantastic. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: The transient nature of the 50/50 and slower evolution will lead to more nw ticks over the next 4 days imo. Like Will and Scoot has said, be more concerned of this coming nw then a gfs like graze. That is what it feels like. We’ll probably know when we wake up tomorrow, though some of will know as they sit on the can at 2am, spouses seeing the weenie cell phone glow from under the bathroom door. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 3 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Looks slightly more east The thing is almost on the S jersey shore....if anything it looks a smidge west to me..? But what a look...gorgeous. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 102h on EPS That’s a sweet look 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: The thing is almost on the S jersey shore....if anything it looks a smidge west to me..? But what a look...gorgeous. Yep we all win I only got 2 inches last winter so anything more than that is a win 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Just now, mahk_webstah said: That is what it feels like. We’ll probably know when we wake up tomorrow, though some of will know as they sit on the can at 2am, spouses seeing the weenie cell phone glow from under the bathroom door. Ha...or the under the cover glow as we pitch a blanket tent. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Just now, MJO812 said: Yep we all win I only got 2 inches last winter so anything more than that is a win Post the next two frames for NNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Gfs is too far south and I think the Euro is too amped. Middle ground like the CMC is possible. Still going with my 70/30 compromise but don’t be shocked if euro comes further nw as does the gfs suite. 4 days is an enternity. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 You have to think GFS comes north. Especially after the runs yesterday. NAM looked like it was going to do NAM things. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB_Wchstr Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 17 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Sometimes one has to make fanny sacrifices. Can’t have two at the same time...or can we? I fear this storm is gonna give us two at the same time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Still going with my 70/30 compromise but don’t be shocked if euro comes further nw as does the gfs suite. 4 days is an enternity. Yeah it will definitely change in the details Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: You have to think GFS comes north. Especially after the runs yesterday. NAM looked like it was going to do NAM things. The 96 hour NAM is my favorite model. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Still going with my 70/30 compromise but don’t be shocked if euro comes further nw as does the gfs suite. 4 days is an enternity. Quite possible but the block will determine how far north. This might also be the euro amped bias at play. Can it bust on 2 storms in a row ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: You have to think GFS comes north. Especially after the runs yesterday. NAM looked like it was going to do NAM things. Gefs is way different than the eps Model wars are great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Just now, MJO812 said: Quite possible but the block will determine how far north. This might also be the euro amped bias at play. Can it bust on 2 storms in a row ? About as likely as the Mets "busting" on FA signings....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 2 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: About as likely as the Mets "busting" on FA signings....... They signed MCcann yesterday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 7 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Ha...or the under the cover glow as we pitch a blanket tent. 1 23 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Gefs is way different than the eps Model wars are great Thing is, we didn’t have a model war until 0z last night. Up to that point, all The major guidance were all in amazing lock step. GFS did the inevitable slide OTS/east as it many times does on major east coast cyclogenesis. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Just now, MJO812 said: They signed MCcann yesterday Good luck with that lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Quite possible but the block will determine how far north. This might also be the euro amped bias at play. Can it bust on 2 storms in a row ? Technically the Euro is going to get tomorrow correct it seems while other models were too far NW so it won’t be consecutive misses if it ends up too far NW Wednesday and Thursday 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted December 13, 2020 Share Posted December 13, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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