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Active mid December with multiple event potential


Typhoon Tip
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25 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

Any concern of another jog north? We are RIGHT on the line. 

We may see some tucky solutions. I don’t buy 12z euro. Probably some solutions that scare people and then correct SE a tad. Will had mentioned that in text and I agree. It’s classic for that.

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3 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

Any concern of another jog north? We are RIGHT on the line. 

I don't think much from there.  Keep in mind the ptype on the GFS for you is probably wrong.  Many places would hold the ageo component there and not flip on that track.  Some are playing that if the PNA weakens this cuts more.  I don't think there is much room for that.  My hunch is if this ends up being warmer/west than this its probably because the system got delayed 18-24 hours allowing the high to further slip east

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