Typhoon Tip Posted December 16, 2020 Author Share Posted December 16, 2020 3 hours ago, DotRat_Wx said: Great to see this from Harvey's station.... Didn't stay up all night so I'm "late" to the morning shenanigans but ... I'm still seeing two aspects, one that is fun and one that is annoying ( potentially...) 1 ... CSI or 'quasi' CSI (Conv. Symmetrical Instability) still seems plausible if not likely in this situation - I didn't listen/see WCVB's morning report, but I do recall their layout later yesterday was a smidge less at "10-16" with no "+" symbol caboose ...so clearly, someone is trying to emphasize some form of local enhancement - ... (Edit.. I shortened that - it's too long of a read for this engagement so why bother - no one does or will ) 2 ... A tucking screw hole for Ray ? That stubborn notching is still being hinted in these products. From where I am, N Middlesex Co over to N. Essex there could result a relative minoring? There does seem to be a tendency in recent guidance renditions to fill that in... but it's still hinted/showing up around Worc. Co in the UKMET ... and Euro is hinting NE... It could be that said region is S of the said mid level 'frontogenic' forcing/CSI activity, while being too far NW of E MA's coastal frontal flop-side big snow signal. ..I could see like Brockton over to Framingham out along Rt 9 getting a surprisingly donut stuffing machine return from this, unrelated specifically to said mid level magic ... Other than that... these CSI/banding signals for me are quite elegantly designed, so without them this looks like a 10" thump... but if a band sets up... it's 4"/hr ?with thunder? 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Angus Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 I just want the local nordic center to be able to open with a base that will withstand our unpredictable weather and allow me to ski in the woods. This will likely ruin the pond skating for a bit but if we can get some cold help with small lake and large ponds. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB_Wchstr Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: People are way too picky lol. Enjoy the storm. After last winter, if you can manage near or above 12” of untainted snow, you’re a winner. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Could be festive mood snows well into the evening tomorrow in SE Mass and especially the cape.... several models hinting at this 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 To answer Jay’s question, I think 9-13 will do it here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Was there a clown map posted for the 12z NAM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 22 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: My attitude is, anything over 10” is going to be gravy. Not to be greedy but hoping the NAM is correct and it is deform delight RT 2 N. 22 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: Pretty confident in 4-6" here. Too close to the beaches as they say but 8" would be my absolute ceiling if the snow holds on a bit longer or the OES delivers a bit at the tail end 8" is my low ball. Going 10-14". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstoned Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 23 minutes ago, klw said: Very little happened to people but what happened was instead of 3 TV stations clamoring for attention there are now hundreds plus the net. TV wants you to tune in and thus hypes this stuff like crazy. People now also share Kuchera clown maps on Facebook and that is how news is spread to many without explanation. People are the same, media is different. If anything snowstorms have less of an impact than they used to because up until the 1/96 storm, AWD and 4WD with the exception whereas now most everyone has an SUV or Crossover with AWD or at least knows someone with one. In the 96 storm, NJ hospitals asked for volunteers with AWD to help patients get to treatment. That would likely not happen today. Media sucks the sap out of the sap-sucker public because it works. Mark Twain had it right-- people are endlessly gullible. That gullibility is easier to manipulate than ever due to crowded 24/7 content from endless outlets of sensationalism (equals revenue streams). So we have the magic of Kuchie-Kuchie in all its eye candy forms-- in the blink of an eye a pizza palace turns into a place of child abduction. Of course it's just a pizza place... However, do not discount the specialness 12-18+ inch storm apparently on our doorsteps. Having lived through many a snow drought in a long lifetime of weeniedom, these are rather rare and splendid creatures and should be savored. As for media, there are plenty of responsible outlets, sources of reliable information. People simply have to take the time and trouble to seek them out-- also to sift content from a variety of sources/perspectives. Few are willing. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianW Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Roads might be a mess in CT tomorrow. I heard a couple hundred state dot plow workers are quarantined or tested positive. The state is trying to get outside contractors in. I would imagine other states are facing the same issue. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Cape Cod now upgraded to a WS-warning...nice for Jimmy. All SNE covered. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 13 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Was there a clown map posted for the 12z NAM? I clown: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB_Wchstr Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Cape Cod now upgraded to a WS-warning...nice for Jimmy. All SNE covered. 6-8 in Harwich and 6-11 in Stoughton per NWS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 hours ago, The 4 Seasons said: Two zones sucking exhaust in Central Ma and SE CT? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I clown: Thanks a bunch Berg. Nice look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 One way or another SE CT will figure out how to get screwed 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Why does ASH seem lately in the low zone as usual, i'm holding out 9-12", just want it to be fluff........... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Feel the 12z RGEM is over-playing the 2m temps. Drives the CF on a line from Newburyport to New Haven Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Models beginning to show less mixing for the Cape and is now just for the Cape if any! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 rgem really tries to dry out RyHam hood and MA. Not buying it to that extent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 RGEM buries me. I will buy it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: rgem really tries to dry out RyHam hood and MA. Not buying it to that extent. That's a YUGE sucker hole. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 5 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: That's a YUGE sucker hole. Too big, maybe? But right location. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 13 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Feel the 12z RGEM is over-playing the 2m temps. Drives the CF on a line from Newburyport to New Haven Tossed... nothing has that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HimoorWx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 34 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Was there a clown map posted for the 12z NAM? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Tossed... nothing has that. the rgem has it - and I say that seriously. It's been a canary on temps in the past couple storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Reggie with crushing deform band from E NY to Monadnock region. I approve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Curious how Montana seems to be clown-free 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Reggie was definitely a little bit disappointing east of the river in far northern central Connecticut and West/Central Mass. I would think the subby zone would still be 9 to 12 easy unless this banding/ exhaust gets really extreme. Hopefully it's overdone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 3 minutes ago, MaineJayhawk said: Curious how Montana seems to be clown-free Ever watch Yellowstone? They just get shot. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Just took a gander at the new 00z GFSv16 and that's a thing of beauty for SE MA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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