CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 I think that area from near 128 (Wakefield to Newton?) could be the local jack. Some signs of weenie CF enhancement for a few hours tomorrow morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Let's go!!!! 60 units of omega in the DGZ WOOOOHOOOOO!!!! Whip it out Oh YA baby...15-20” here we come! Wiz for the win! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Hey @Dr. Dews I supposed Harvey Leonard made a weenie map, too? Not a bad First Call map from me on Sunday, after alm that crap. Final Call later.. Not going to lie, I think a broad brush 10-18''+ from Lincoln to North Haven is a little weenieish. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Wiz gone wild. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Just now, DomNH said: Not going to lie, I think a broad brush 10-18''+ from Lincoln to North Haven is a little weenieish. Not many spots are getting under 10", if any. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Let's go!!!! 60 units of omega in the DGZ WOOOOHOOOOO!!!! Whip it out We dong 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Not many spots are getting under 10", if any. SE CT to SE Mass where they get 32-34 snows 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Euro actually is really calling for a bit of a coastal special, kinda Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 5 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Let's go!!!! 60 units of omega in the DGZ WOOOOHOOOOO!!!! Whip it out LFG!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Southshorewx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 When do we start the clock for this 36+ hours of snow? 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: SE CT to SE Mass where they get 32-34 snows Obviously the cape and far se....that is implicit. I meant within that general 10-18" area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 And HRRT came in strong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I envision a 3-4hr thump and then it is varying intensity. The upper end ranges will probably be only in a narrow area. That's kinda what I was thinking. I'm seeing a lot of exotic high end numbers down there on the upper ranges and kuchies, but like you said, it won't be widespread. Someone like skimrg will probably rack up an 18-20" and rot under a band. Those kuchies are theoretical values based on temps too. You need that lift in the DGZ and it really doesn't matter how cold the warmest temp in the column is. Also, if you're thumping 0.75"-1.00" in 6hrs that snow sample is going to quickly weigh itself down...especially with wind involved too. It's not going to be a jspin sample of 5" with 0.15" liquid that's perfectly stacked like a game of Jenga. 20:1 is tough to sustain for even a 6hr clearing when you're talking that much liquid. So if kuchie is saying 20:1 with 0.75" liquid that's all fine and dandy, but the 15" will probably be only 12" at the 6hr clearing and 10" after 24hr. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 I'm a little skeptical about the ability of models to accurately depict subsidence holes, especially small ones. This will be a good test. My feeling is that this will be by and large a people pleaser in SNE... Perhaps not as evenly distributed as say, the Superbowl 2015 storm, but without the huge sucking sounds we sometimes get, like say, last storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 11 minutes ago, Colonel Badger said: Well 5" would really suck, i'm hoping more 8-10" I don't think 8-12 is unreasonable around here. Maybe someone unlucky gets under 8, but I don't it'll be a big area 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 43 minutes ago, BrianW said: i like how the MA/NH border shields NH from the 12-18 zone. I know the weather is smart and all, but how does it know exactly where the border is? GPS? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: That's kinda what I was thinking. I'm seeing a lot of exotic high end numbers down there on the upper ranges and kuchies, but like you said, it won't be widespread. Someone like skimrg will probably rack up an 18-20" and rot under a band. Those kuchies are theoretical values based on temps too. You need that lift in the DGZ and it really doesn't matter how cold the warmest temp in the column is. Also, if you're thumping 0.75"-1.00" in 6hrs that snow sample is going to quickly weigh itself down...especially with wind involved too. It's not going to be a jspin sample of 5" with 0.15" liquid that's perfectly stacked like a game of Jenga. 20:1 is tough to sustain for even a 6hr clearing when you're talking that much liquid. So if kuchie is saying 20:1 with 0.75" liquid that's all fine and dandy, but the 15" will probably be only 12" at the 6hr clearing and 10" after 24hr. Yeah ratios may be decent here at first, but then it turns to man snow for awhile. Fine by me, would like some meat in the pack and snow on the trees. I don't have a ratios fetish....you really can't here when you blow over 40kts in every storm..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, radarman said: I'm a little skeptical about the ability of models to accurately depict subsidence holes, especially small ones. This will be a good test. My feeling is that this will be by and large a people pleaser in SNE... Perhaps not as evenly distributed as say, the Superbowl 2015 storm, but without the huge sucking sounds we sometimes get, like say, last storm. Agreed. The subby zones rarely work out to any great degree. It tends to be a town or three , not 100 sq miles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 10 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Hey @Dr. Dews I supposed Harvey Leonard made a weenie map, too? Not a bad First Call map from me on Sunday, after all that crap. Final Call later.. Someone said there were no 12-24" calls, i pointed them to yours. And I'm the bad guy... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 13 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Hey @Dr. Dews I supposed Harvey Leonard made a weenie map, too? Not a bad First Call map from me on Sunday, after all that crap. Final Call later.. Dews is an as*hole. He lives to troll the forum and offers nothing 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I think that area from near 128 (Wakefield to Newton?) could be the local jack. Some signs of weenie CF enhancement for a few hours tomorrow morning. How about we park it over our heads, screw 128 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, Dr. Dews said: Someone said there were no 12-24" calls, i pointed them to yours. And I'm the bad guy... Hey, ball bustn' is a two-way street 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 I don't buy large areas over 15" at all. Don't see it. Weenies and even some red tags going wild. A lot of totals around 12" I think. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, DotRat_Wx said: How about we park it over our heads, screw 128 Nah it parks out there for awhile. It may move SE sooner like they usually do. But it will only be in a narrow area. There isn't enough of a convergence angle to really drive CF enhancement much west of the boundary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 21 minutes ago, dendrite said: Wondering if it’s a wall of +++SN down there with solid ratios and then it turns a little more ragged on radar with less impressive ratios as some drier air moves in aloft and the band shifts and sits north into MA/NH. Then it pivots through eastward for a last hurrah. I’m expecting 3-6, 8 if really lucky. And some sand. It shot the bed overnight for us. I thought we had crossed the ru icon yesterday with so many models showing in good banding but alas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 3 minutes ago, radarman said: I'm a little skeptical about the ability of models to accurately depict subsidence holes, especially small ones. This will be a good test. My feeling is that this will be by and large a people pleaser in SNE... Perhaps not as evenly distributed as say, the Superbowl 2015 storm, but without the huge sucking sounds we sometimes get, like say, last storm. Yes, people will be pleased just because there hasn't been a widespread 6"+ event in over a year and half, especially for those in the coastal plain. Most of the storms over the last 2 seasons have been more localized for SNE in terms of snow accumulations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 HRRR really thumps that Waterbury/Bristol/Torrington, CT area from12-2am. Could see some 3-4" per hour stuff there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 28 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: You’re welcome. How many years have you and I been waiting for a region wide WNE SmackDown? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Nah it parks out there for awhile. It may move SE sooner like they usually do. But it will only be in a narrow area. There isn't enough of a convergence angle to really drive CF enhancement much west of the boundary. What are you thinking for totals in your hood? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Wiz gone wild. I can't believe 60 units of omega into the DGZ...on both models too. Could see ratios perhaps up around 18:1 if that verifies. Could snow 3''+ per hour for a good 3 hours 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now