ineedsnow Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Wow jim cantore just had a great shot of kelvin waves from his live shot!! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 6Z ECMWF. Kuchera is pretty hot dog-ish as usual. Very slight cutback from 00z 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 @ORH_wxman actually it bumped up qpf down in NJ and DE too...did it start occluding sooner? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Noyes mentioned on air that rates may approach 4”/hr early tomorrow morning in some spots. That’s how you get a positive bust. Nudity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: 6Z ECMWF. Kuchera is pretty hot dog-ish as usual. Very slight cutback from 00z Those are some decent gusts inland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: 6Z ECMWF. Kuchera is pretty hot dog-ish as usual. Very slight cutback from 00z Ray will love this. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 The subby zone that would not die 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 11F at mi casa attm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 7 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: 6Z ECMWF. Kuchera is pretty hot dog-ish as usual. Very slight cutback from 00z Don’t stomp on my buzz, man. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 6 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Hoping we somehow get into a good band.. curious to see if the 12z models get rid of the snow hole.. I think it has some to do with being between two good bands. Exactly what happened for this storm March 6-7. Was painful. I think we only had 5-6" in Amherst from this. Just watched the radar get shredded while both east and west were pounding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 5 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: Noyes mentioned on air that rates may approach 4”/hr early tomorrow morning in some spots. That’s how you get a positive bust. Nudity. Noyes easily has the highest forecasted snow totals. The past 2 days he's been consistently forecasting higher snow totals than the other on air Boston mets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warwick WX Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 8 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: 6Z ECMWF. Kuchera is pretty hot dog-ish as usual. Very slight cutback from 00z Geez I just got dressed to go to my downstairs office and my pants are back off already. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 27 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Last nights euro was pretty cold here.... the coastal front isn’t making it here with that depiction. Could be fluffy for the duration here You are 100% paste and 98% no power for many many days. Do not ignore the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 5 hours ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Jackpot zones will be tight and have nots will cry foul. I took a nice walk with the dog and was certainly aware of the fresh cold air against my face. Whoever gets into the sweet spot of the outer deformation bands is going to get some good ratios. Yea, my hunch is whoever is under the spot where the western deform band stops it's N/NW progression will be the overall jack possibly. You get an extra few hours of 15 or 20:1 feathers as its pivots and then rotates back through. ALY mentioned strong lift intercepting the dendritic growth zone, so snow growth should not be an issue. Whether that band is over your head, ENY, SE NY. Albany, SVT, CON, dendrite, Central Mass--who knows. Seems like those outer deform bands always end up slightly NW of modeled. Feel like we have seen that in the past few years where the modeled QPF is in SNE/CNE and then Oneonta, NY ends up with 34" of deform delight. Hopefully have nots are not as extreme as Boxing day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Just a little nuance: The big ones start with a little OES along the coastal communities of SE. MASS., Scooters hood over to Bob. Years of Climo knowledge..FTW 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Here we go..pound town to 12-20 statewide. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 That little sub zone from ray is now extending down to like Tolland County... not sure it plays out like that.... but there does seem to be a relative min on most models across central mass into northern Connecticut. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Recon flying over the western Atlantic now.. trying to put as much data into the models as possible,? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Well the good news is you aren't getting stuck between forcing without the deform ripping through first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said: Here we go..pound town to 12-20 statewide. looks too scattered to me, big bust incoming..... JK... 18" is my high mark since moving to CT, lets top it! 17.1° of a low of 14.6°, should be no problems accumulating 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 It’s like 15 degrees this morning... I think we can put to rest it not sticking and accumulating immediately on all surfaces. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: It’s like 15 degrees this morning... I think we can put to rest it not sticking and accumulating immediately on all surfaces. But the soil temps.. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 34 minutes ago, JC-CT said: It was probably posted while I was sleeping, but last night's GFSv16 was quite robust. Not used to seeing a GFS product in the upper range of qpf output. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Ground frozen solid here. At least on the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 smoking cirrus. Big bust potential my neck of the woods (Lowell). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: But the soil temps.. Yeah lol..... had no problem in October either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: That little sub zone from ray is now extending down to like Tolland County... not sure it plays out like that.... but there does seem to be a relative min on most models across central mass into northern Connecticut. It's the area between the wcb and mid level banding, which kind of stays in the same place due to the fact that it is booking east so fast it counteracts the normal rotation of the banding we usually see. So it's real...but as I think Ray mentioned, if the mid levels hang on and the CCB can get going out east, that could save areas along the east coast. At least that's my interpretation, I'm not a meteorologist but I did stay at a Motel 8 once in college. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 22 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: Noyes mentioned on air that rates may approach 4”/hr early tomorrow morning in some spots. That’s how you get a positive bust. Nudity. No offense to Noyes but I have a hard time buying it. It's not like we're getting the obscene heavy snow signals we've had in other storms. It's also not really a rapidly deepening system. Do we have the ingredients needed for something like 4" an hour. I don't know.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: I think that's actually super reasonable 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, DotRat_Wx said: No offense to Noyes but I have a hard time buying it. It's not like we're getting the obscene heavy snow signals we've had in other storms. It's also not really a rapidly deepening system. Do we have the ingredients needed for something like 4" an hour. I don't know.... Agree, he's really going out on a limb. Not sure why he'd even mention it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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