wxsniss Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Better for much of SNE More uniform... maybe better warm conveyor belt into MA, less robbing from that convective blob, and as a result more uniform spread between the WAA and midlevel banding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 anybody think the tracking is more fun than the actual event? like at some point you gotta just turn it all off and sip it all in........ 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB_Wchstr Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Most guidance seems to have me at around 15” or so. I’m hopeful to take my 12” and run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wizard021 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 5 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Is that 15 for nyc and 12 for Boston? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 i swear if this is the only biggie of the season i'm moving.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB_Wchstr Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Just now, wizard021 said: Is that 15 for nyc and 12 for Boston? No it’s not. Go. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 5 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: More uniform than 12Z. We're splitting hairs though. Thanks Watcher. Ya, that is a very good run. That’s a Major storm for CT for sure. Looking good for a big hit for most in CT away from the SE coast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 5 minutes ago, wizard021 said: Is that 15 for nyc and 12 for Boston? If we do a kuchera like situation, you would be normal to wetter in the ratio department, Boston would be fluffier but it is negligible here. however you are close to that sleet line/ battle zone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 6 minutes ago, ice1972 said: anybody think the tracking is more fun than the actual event? like at some point you gotta just turn it all off and sip it all in........ I actually love the event. For me it’s the reward of following it. If I know my area is out of it, with no chance, there no way I’m following it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, Greg said: If we do a kuchera like situation, you would be normal to wetter in the ratio department, Boston would be fluffier but it is negligible here. kuchy is for entertainment value only......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB_Wchstr Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 5 minutes ago, ice1972 said: i swear if this is the only biggie of the season i'm moving.... To where? You know it’ll follow you lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Just now, SnowEMass said: To where? You know it’ll follow you lol Truckee CA.......guaranteed wire to wire pack......november to may....... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Just now, ice1972 said: kuchy is for entertainment value only......... I said if you read carefully Kuchera "Like" not just Kuchera. Air columns do matter here regardless. Can't avoid it in this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, ice1972 said: kuchy is for entertainment value only......... Why bother having the kuchi maps then? Do they ever come to fruition? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, ice1972 said: kuchy is for entertainment value only......... Shot hour. If all storms were like this ice1972 would become blizzard 2020 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 8 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Yeah. We've been locked for a while IMO. I think SE does very well too, even if they sleet for a bit. It's been a few years since we've had this widespread a big snow in CT (if it produces). Tomorrow night should be great. yes, Definitely looking forward to it. Ryan has the SE in the 5-10” range...which is significant for sure. Hopefully they don’t mix much at all..and can maximize as much of the precip as snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Just now, Snowcrazed71 said: Why bother having the kuchi maps then? Do they ever come to fruition? for entertainment......for us losers that stay up way too late tracking weather models nobody cares about......lol..... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Just now, Snowcrazed71 said: Why bother having the kuchi maps then? Do they ever come to fruition? They give you an idea of the fluff factor potential if everything broke right but are not an exact forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Shot hour. If all storms were like this ice1972 would become blizzard 2020 yes please...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, wizard021 said: Is that 15 for nyc and 12 for Boston? 2.7 inches count! See ya at verification time. Most Bostonians don’t live neat the water at the east end of the city. Conversely, KNYC is centrally located. When I was growing up the official NYC station was at the Battery along the water. I was happy when they moved to Central Park. Snow totals for past storms got higher in every case. Eg: 12/26/47 went from 25.8 to 26.4 eclipsed by 2006 February event. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 i'll admit there was a point earlier this morning where i thought we were toast...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Shot hour. If all storms were like this ice1972 would become blizzard 2020 Thank you for posting that. You just proved my point. New York stays 15" but Bedford, MA goes up about 5". See, Not a forecast but a hint at the potential and where the fluff factor may be greater. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Shot hour. If all storms were like this ice1972 would become blizzard 2020 So happy to see you posting! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 16 minutes ago, wizard021 said: Is that 15 for nyc and 12 for Boston? Dude enough You do realize Boston averages more than us ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Just now, weathafella said: So happy to see you posting! 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Shot hour. If all storms were like this ice1972 would become blizzard 2020 Good that you are back in the saddle......CT crew LFG.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 I get screwed rawdogs but i kind of expect that will all the dry air in place up north. Gonna struggle.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Just now, Arnold214 said: I get screwed rawdogs but i kind of expect that will all the dry air in place up north. Gonna struggle.... didn't you get yours last week while we all dripped? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, ice1972 said: i'll admit there was a point earlier this morning where i thought we were toast...... What's up neighbor. It will be interesting to see what we get from this storm. I'm right on the a farmington/plainville line. Work in west Hartford. Let's see if the Beijing sets up and we see any differences from WH to my hometown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 6 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Great to see you posting, Steve. Best wishes on a speedy recovery. A few more goodies for the CT crew. Goodnight. Thanks looking over the Capitol from 150 feet, nice view, excellent holiday lighting. I am however not happy I can't be home to help my wife clear snow although she loves it. Her work cancelled and I sent her a video on the snowblower I had made pre surgery 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Been tracking this storm from afar and wishing I would be in my old stomping grounds in JP or Somerville. Both look like they are in for big totals. One thing that I've seen looking at some of the mesoscale guidance is the push of the coastal front which looks to me to advance as far out as Newton/128 and extend NW/SE. On the cold side of the CF it's really cold, low to mid 20s and on the "warm" side it's 32-34 degrees until you get down to the Cape. The profile above the surface is plenty cold for the ptype to remain snow for most in MA until you get to the cape and there may be a push of sleet into some areas of CT/RI. This seems like a narrow area of 32-33 degree heavy mashed potatoes with potential for power outages/ tree damage possibly into the Boston metro and extending to parts of the south shore and north shore, thoughts? (I've got no horse in the race, it rarely gets below 60 degrees where I live, but I love tracking a good winter storm) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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