WinterWolf Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Just now, Go Kart Mozart said: Uncle? Ya I’m gonna see what drunken Ukie shows..then hit the hay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 I'm staying up for the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 All solutions are basically the same at this point, no? CAMs doing the NW push thing and bumping totals while globals track this closed H5 low from NYC metro east. Pretty much locked in it seems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 4 minutes ago, Greg said: I'm staying up for the Euro. I'm trying but not gonna make it. Listening to van Morrisson with the tree lit and had many many samples of boozy eggnog and bailey's 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 3 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Oh. How. We. Pray. oh shit......lfg.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 take em up.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 There is a rapidly decreasing chance I’ll be in Nashua for Subbyville , KBED it is ( a bit better) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 8 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Oh. How. We. Pray. Lol, Rockingham county is totally pork piped. By miss piggy with a s**** - on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 4 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: I mean I like using it but that's a little wild. We hope it's right, but we shave a little off. That'd be a region wide obliteration. That's an Eastern MA Coastal Blizzard. But I digress, I'm with ya. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spaizzo Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 17 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Thinking that it'll be windy, but not overwhelmingly so. Is she near a lot of tall trees? She has a few left. Many were taken from the tornado/straight line winds that came through that area this summer.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cwcwxtracker Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 New member here hello guys and gals. Loving tracking this storm. Live in Manchester, NH and I'm hopeful for a pounding from this thing, and if a snowhole doesn't move overhead like some models are hinting at, looks like I could get what I am looking for. We shall see. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Just now, Cwcwxtracker said: New member here hello guys and gals. Loving tracking this storm. Live in Manchester, NH and I'm hopeful for a pounding from this thing, and if a snowhole doesn't move overhead like some models are hinting at, looks like I could get what I am looking for. We shall see. Welcome.....I think the NAM had a shit streak over you but it could change......lots of new guys here it seems.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 GFS shows us how Cape Cod remains all snow, 10:1 ratios with 1.50" of QPF equals 15" for CHH, latest 00z GFS run. I seriously think the deformation band and dry slot will come further southeast as we get closer to the onset. OES contribution and dry slot issues in hand, Cape Cod could start around 5pm EST later this evening, and end around midnight Friday morning! There is a real chance the comma head could bring some wild conditions. If the region does not dry slot, and honestly with a surface track across the BM and even between the BM and ACK I would not expect a changeover, but the H7 and H85 low tracks are a bit concerning moving overhead. There could be a period of sleet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 15 minutes ago, Arnold214 said: Lol, Rockingham county is totally pork piped. By miss piggy with a s**** - on. Please keep it there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: GFS shows us how Cape Cod remains all snow, 10:1 ratios with 1.50" of QPF equals 15" for CHH, latest 00z GFS run. I seriously think the deformation band and dry slot will come further southeast as we get closer to the onset. OES contribution and dry slot issues in hand, Cape Cod could start around 5pm EST later this evening, and end around midnight Friday morning! There is a real chance the comma head could bring some wild conditions. If the region does not dry slot, and honestly with a surface track across the BM and even between the BM and ACK I would not expect a changeover, but the H7 and H85 low tracks are a bit concerning moving overhead. There could be a period of sleet. You aren't remaining all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 10 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Please keep it there I think it will be. But if it isn’t, on the bright side, you’ll have plenty of ham for Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Blech on the ukie. Starting to look like mesos vs globals up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spaizzo Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 15 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: I personally think it'll be ok, especially if she's more inland. If we were looking at a more robust low and hence tighter gradient, I might feel a little differently. Keep in mind the whole COVID aspect too. I wouldn't move her unless I absolutely had to, but that's me. That’s the issue is covid. Any other time I’ve forced her to stay with us... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: Blech on the ukie. Starting to look like mesos vs globals up here. I think for you (and me) it all hinges on the strength of that temperature gradient (and hence the strength of the frontogenesis) around 600 mb. As well as how long it takes for those flakes to cut through the very dry air in place. If the mid level low opens up or starts to occlude and as a result doesn’t allow for that strong mid level ascent, then we’re kinda porked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 14 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Ukie clown map Looks like EURO....Boxing day redux. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeonPeon Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 19 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: GFS shows us how Cape Cod remains all snow, 10:1 ratios with 1.50" of QPF equals 15" for CHH, latest 00z GFS run. I seriously think the deformation band and dry slot will come further southeast as we get closer to the onset. OES contribution and dry slot issues in hand, Cape Cod could start around 5pm EST later this evening, and end around midnight Friday morning! There is a real chance the comma head could bring some wild conditions. If the region does not dry slot, and honestly with a surface track across the BM and even between the BM and ACK I would not expect a changeover, but the H7 and H85 low tracks are a bit concerning moving overhead. There could be a period of sleet. There will definitely be some oes atop the rain, and we will get some snow at the beginning. If this thing was some deep wound up cyclone, I'd agree with you, but it isn't. Its an unremarkable system with a ton of moisture and a nice setup and cold enough air elsewhere. It's also moving too fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 lol....everybody got tired......its been a definite haul tracking this baby......almost there... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Euro with a big thump now by 12z Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said: Nice thump. Mix line is straddling coastal SE CT though. Looked cooler too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said: Nice thump. Mix line is straddling coastal SE CT though. Wasn’t there always a thump? What’s different on it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Looked cooler too. Sweet run. Looks a little warm in boundary layer for SE areas with that low tucked in good. the QPF queen in me likes the run for sure lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Just now, WinterWolf said: Wasn’t there always a thump? What’s different on it? Not much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Just now, CT Rain said: Sweet run. Looks a little warm in boundary layer for SE areas with that low tucked in good. the QPF queen in me likes the run for sure lol hows it for WH? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 I approve of the euro. It’s been an exhausting week of tracking going back to last Thursday I believe. Glad mby is en rout to a nice dumping. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Just now, weathafella said: I approve of the euro. It’s been an exhausting week of tracking going back to last Thursday I believe. Glad mby is en rout to a nice dumping. it does seem like its been an extra long haul this go around...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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