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7 minutes ago, Hoth said:

That storm was awful for much of CT. Radar wound up shredded and the snow was like baking powder. Super dense and didn't add up to much. The wind was awesome though.

I’ve been armchair hobbying weather at various intervals and when I was a kid it was consistent and obsessive. But tonight is my schooling lesson and first exposure to the notion that amounts could really vary like that without, for example, rain shadowing or whatnot. “Subsidence” takes on a whole new meaning to me tonight.

I didn’t know everyone got screwed when we got crushed in 2010. Just wow!

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5 minutes ago, IowaStorm05 said:

I’ve been armchair hobbying weather at various intervals and when I was a kid it was consistent and obsessive. But tonight is my schooling lesson and first exposure to the notion that amounts could really vary like that without, for example, rain shadowing or whatnot. “Subsidence” takes on a whole new meaning to me tonight.

I didn’t know everyone got screwed when we got crushed in 2010. Just wow!

Yep, it happens. More recently I got unlucky in March '18. We were forecast to rake in well over a foot and wound up with three inches while folks just to my west got a foot and eastern CT was racking up 2 feet and change. I'm always on guard for the exhaust adjacent the best fronto. What goes up must come down. December 2003 is another good example, but thankfully I wasn't in CT for that one.

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https://rightweather.com/2013/03/southern-new-england-snow-totals-march-7-8-2013/

********************STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL********************

LOCATION          STORM TOTAL     TIME/DATE   COMMENTS
                     SNOWFALL           OF
                     /INCHES/   MEASUREMENT

CONNECTICUT

...HARTFORD COUNTY...
   MANCHESTER            18.5   230 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   MARLBOROUGH           15.5   156 PM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   ROCKY HILL            14.0   158 PM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   BURLINGTON            13.9   346 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   WETHERSFIELD          12.5   157 PM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   SOUTH WINDSOR         12.5   659 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   EAST FARMINGTON HEIG   8.5  1106 AM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   BRISTOL                8.3   840 AM  3/08  SPOTTER
   WEST HARTFORD          6.6  1026 AM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   ENFIELD                6.5   936 AM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   NORTH GRANBY           5.0   739 AM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   GRANBY                 5.0  1005 AM  3/08  RETIRED NWS EMPLOYEE
   1 WNW WINDSOR LOCKS    4.5   700 PM  3/08  BRADLEY AIRPORT
   AVON                   4.2  1247 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   EAST HARTFORD          4.0   938 AM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   SIMSBURY               3.5   405 PM  3/08  HAM RADIO

...TOLLAND COUNTY...
   STAFFORDVILLE         23.0   600 AM  3/09  COOP OBSERVER
   TOLLAND               22.5   341 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   COVENTRY              21.0   749 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   STAFFORD SPRINGS      20.5   137 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   ROCKVILLE             17.5   406 PM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   STORRS                17.0  1117 AM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   SOMERS                16.0   127 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   COLUMBIA              15.0   424 PM  3/08  GENERAL PUBLIC

...WINDHAM COUNTY...
   ASHFORD               18.0   404 PM  3/08  GENERAL PUBLIC
   WOODSTOCK             17.2   340 PM  3/08  SPOTTER
   POMFRET CENTER        15.0   703 PM  3/08  GENERAL PUBLIC
   BROOKLYN              14.0  1049 AM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   THOMPSON              13.5   355 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   SOUTH WINDHAM         13.0  1202 PM  3/08  NONE
   HAMPTON               12.3   800 AM  3/09  COOP OBSERVER
   EAST KILLINGLY        11.6   531 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   DANIELSON              5.5   803 AM  3/08  HAM RADIO

MASSACHUSETTS

...BARNSTABLE COUNTY...
   EAST SANDWICH          5.3   700 AM  3/09  COOP OBSERVER
   MARSTONS MILLS         3.0   829 AM  3/08  NWS EMPLOYEE
   POCASSET               1.5   530 AM  3/08  BROADCAST MEDIA
   CENTERVILLE            1.5   605 AM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   NORTH FALMOUTH         1.5   616 AM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   WOODS HOLE             0.6   700 AM  3/08  COOP OBSERVER
   CHATHAM                  T   700 AM  3/09  COOP OBSERVER

...BRISTOL COUNTY...
   NORTON                22.6   430 PM  3/08  NWS EMPLOYEE
   SOUTH EASTON          22.5   851 AM  3/09  HAM RADIO
   MANSFIELD             21.5   451 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   NORTH EASTON          21.2   738 PM  3/08  NONE
   1 W MANSFIELD         21.1   621 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   TAUNTON               19.7   700 AM  3/09  COOP OBSERVER/NWS
   TAUNTON 2.6NW         19.7   324 PM  3/08  NWS EMPLOYEE
   FALL RIVER            17.6   556 PM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   WEST MANSFIELD        17.0   354 PM  3/08  SPOTTER
   DIGHTON               15.4   609 PM  3/08  NWS EMPLOYEE
   ATTLEBORO             15.0   316 PM  3/08  GENERAL PUBLIC
   ACUSHNET              11.5  1136 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   SOMERSET              11.2   751 PM  3/08  PUBLIC
   NORTH ACUSHNET        11.0   805 PM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   NORTH ATTLEBORO       11.0   638 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   NEW BEDFORD           11.0   500 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   WEST ACUSHNET          8.4   804 PM  3/08  HAM RADIO

...ESSEX COUNTY...
   NORTH BEVERLY         18.3   419 PM  3/08  PUBLIC
   BEVERLY               16.5  1144 AM  3/08  GENERAL PUBLIC
   SALEM                 16.2   130 PM  3/08  SPOTTER
   TOPSFIELD             16.0   116 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   MARBLEHEAD            14.0   200 PM  3/08  SPOTTER
   WEST PEABODY          13.0  1030 AM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   LYNN                  13.0  1124 AM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   NAHANT                12.0  1211 PM  3/08  SPOTTER
   NEWBURYPORT           11.2   700 AM  3/09  COOP OBSERVER
   LAWRENCE              10.0   800 AM  3/09  COOP OBSERVER
   HAVERHILL              9.0   417 PM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   GLOUCESTER             8.0   130 PM  3/08  SPOTTER

...FRANKLIN COUNTY...
   HEATH                  7.0   933 AM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   NEW SALEM              6.0   300 AM  3/08  PUBLIC
   ASHFIELD               5.3   700 AM  3/09  COOP OBSERVER
   LEYDEN                 5.0  1015 AM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   LEVERETT               4.5   700 AM  3/09  COOP OBSERVER
   EAST CHARLEMONT        3.5  1055 AM  3/08  SPOTTER
   SUNDERLAND             3.5   700 AM  3/09  COOP OBSERVER
   GREENFIELD             2.0   849 AM  3/08  GENERAL PUBLIC
   TURNERS FALLS          1.0  1001 AM  3/08  NONE

...HAMPDEN COUNTY...
   WALES                 21.0   350 PM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   MONSON                18.0   349 PM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   EAST LONGMEADOW       11.5  1139 AM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   LUDLOW                11.0   209 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   CHESTER                7.0   606 AM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   GRANVILLE              4.2   700 AM  3/09  COOP OBSERVER
   WESTFIELD              4.0   800 AM  3/09  COOP OBSERVER
   HOLYOKE                2.0   830 AM  3/08  SPOTTER

...HAMPSHIRE COUNTY...
   WARE                  12.8   800 AM  3/09  COOP OBSERVER
   BELCHERTOWN            8.0  1145 AM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   WORTHINGTON            7.7   700 AM  3/09  COOP OBSERVER
   HUNTINGTON             7.0   845 AM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   SOUTH HADLEY           2.5  1146 AM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   NORTHAMPTON            2.0   939 AM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   AMHERST                1.0   700 AM  3/09  COOP OBSERVER

...MIDDLESEX COUNTY...
   DRACUT                22.1   100 PM  3/08  GENERAL PUBLIC
   STOW                  20.5   605 PM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   SHERBORN              20.0   242 PM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   FRAMINGHAM            18.8   338 PM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   ACTON                 17.7   203 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   WAKEFIELD             17.1   210 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   HOLLISTON             17.0   502 PM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   TYNGSBORO             17.0   205 PM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   CARLISLE              16.8   235 PM  3/08  GENERAL PUBLIC
   LEXINGTON             16.1   223 PM  3/08  GENERAL PUBLIC
   NATICK                16.0   251 PM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   GROTON                16.0   401 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   CHARLTON              15.9   700 AM  3/09  COOP OBSERVER
   MAYNARD               15.8   800 AM  3/09  COOP OBSERVER
   WESTFORD              15.5   410 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   PEPPERELL             15.5   219 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   SOUTH NATICK          15.0   224 PM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   HUDSON                15.0   309 PM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   MARLBOROUGH           15.0   842 PM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   WOBURN                15.0   518 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   WINCHESTER            15.0   305 PM  3/08  GENERAL PUBLIC
   MARLBOROUGH           15.0   456 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   TOWNSEND              14.8  1220 PM  3/08  SPOTTER
   SHIRLEY               14.3   100 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   CHELMSFORD            14.0   611 PM  3/08  PUBLIC
   LITTLETON             13.8  1230 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   WILMINGTON            13.0  1243 PM  3/08  GENERAL PUBLIC
   CONCORD               12.2   155 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   HOPKINTON             12.0   808 PM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   MALDEN                12.0   627 PM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   BILLERICA             11.0  1056 AM  3/08  MEDIA
   NORTH READING         10.0  1257 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   MELROSE               10.0   156 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   LOWELL                 9.5   600 AM  3/09  COOP OBSERVER
   ROYALSTON              8.5   700 AM  3/09  COOP OBSERVER

...NORFOLK COUNTY...
   BLUE HILL OBSERVATORY 29.8   700 AM  3/09  COOP OBSERVER
   QUINCY                24.9   441 PM  3/08  GENERAL PUBLIC
   FOXBORO               24.7   550 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   SOUTH WEYMOUTH        24.1   233 PM  3/08  MEDIA
   RANDOLPH              24.0   530 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   WEYMOUTH              23.0   503 PM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   WEST WALPOLE          22.7   129 PM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   WALPOLE               22.0   730 PM  3/08  AMATEUR RADIO
   WRENTHAM              22.0   730 PM  3/08  AMATEUR RADIO
   CANTON                21.8  1251 PM  3/08  GENERAL PUBLIC
   NORWOOD               21.8   700 AM  3/09  NWS EMPLOYEE
   MILLIS                20.5   619 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   FRANKLIN              18.5   730 PM  3/08  AMATEUR RADIO
   NEEDHAM               14.5  1235 PM  3/08  GENERAL PUBLIC
   BELLINGHAM            14.2   200 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   EAST BRAINTREE        12.0  1254 PM  3/08  HAM RADIO

...PLYMOUTH COUNTY...
   WHITMAN               22.5   526 PM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   ROCKLAND              21.5   145 PM  3/08  SPOTTER
   MANSFIELD             21.0   257 PM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   BROCKTON              20.0  1215 AM  3/09  COOP OBSERVER
   HANOVER               18.5   353 PM  3/08  GENERAL PUBLIC
   KINGSTON              16.5   330 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   HINGHAM               16.3   700 PM  3/09  COOP OBSERVER
   MIDDLEBORO            15.8   602 PM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   PEMBROKE              14.0   310 PM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   DUXBURY               13.5   456 PM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   ROCHESTER             12.0   800 AM  3/09  COOP OBSERVER
   BRIDGEWATER           11.0   700 AM  3/09  COOP OBSERVER
   CARVER                10.8   357 PM  3/08  NWS EMPLOYEE
   PLYMOUTH               6.0   210 PM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   EAST WAREHAM           5.7   700 AM  3/09  COOP OBSERVER
   WAREHAM                5.0   420 PM  3/08  HAM RADIO

...SUFFOLK COUNTY...
   JAMAICA PLAIN         18.0   700 AM  3/09  COOP OBSERVER
   BRIGHTON              15.0   800 PM  3/08  GENERAL PUBLIC
   WEST ROXBURY          14.8   438 PM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   1 N EAST BOSTON       13.1   700 PM  3/08  LOGAN AIRPORT
   WINTHROP              13.1   700 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER

...WORCESTER COUNTY...
   HOLDEN                24.4   204 PM  3/08  SPOTTER
   MILFORD               24.1   410 PM  3/08  GENERAL PUBLIC
   CLINTON               23.4   134 PM  3/08  GENERAL PUBLIC
   OAKHAM                23.0   442 PM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   LANCASTER             23.0   530 PM  3/08  GENERAL PUBLIC
   3 WNW WORCESTER       22.8   300 PM  3/08  ORH AIRPORT
   STERLING              21.3   129 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   SHREWSBURY            21.0   148 PM  3/08  GENERAL PUBLIC
   WEST BOYLSTON         21.0   500 PM  3/08  PUBLIC
   LUNENBURG             21.0   108 PM  3/08  EMERGENCY MANAGER
   SPENCER               20.8   200 PM  3/08  NONE
   BOYLSTON              20.2   216 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   HUBBARDSTON           18.5   715 PM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   WESTBOROUGH           18.2  1232 AM  3/09  NWS EMPLOYEE
   BERLIN                18.2   307 PM  3/08  GENERAL PUBLIC
   FITCHBURG             18.2   242 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   NORTH GRAFTON         18.0   127 PM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   LEOMINSTER            18.0  1244 PM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   FISKDALE              17.3   700 AM  3/09  COOP OBSERVER
   MILFORD               17.0   700 AM  3/09  COOP OBSERVER
   WEST WARREN           16.0   100 PM  3/08  SPOTTER
   ASHBURNHAM            16.0   700 AM  3/09  COOP OBSERVER
   HARDWICK              15.6   800 AM  3/09  COOP OBSERVER
   SOUTHBRIDGE           15.0  1149 AM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   HARVARD               15.0   243 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   GRAFTON               15.0   604 PM  3/08  NONE
   TEMPLETON             14.5   119 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   WHITINSVILLE          13.1   154 PM  3/08  NONE
   WARREN                13.0   217 PM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   AUBURN                12.5   250 PM  3/08  SPOTTER
   ASHBURNHAM N          11.5   700 AM  3/09  COOP OBSERVER
   NORTHBRIDGE           10.9   448 PM  3/08  GENERAL PUBLIC
   CHARLTON              10.1   700 AM  3/08  COOP OBSERVER
   HOPEDALE              10.0   241 PM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   ROYALSTON              7.0   700 AM  3/08  COOP OBSERVER

NEW HAMPSHIRE

...CHESHIRE COUNTY...
   JAFFREY               11.4   700 AM  3/09  COOP OBSERVER
   FITZWILLIAM            7.7   800 AM  3/09  COOP OBSERVER
   KEENE                  4.5   700 AM  3/08  COOP OBSERVER
   WALPOLE                2.0   800 AM  3/09  COOP OBSERVER
   SURRY                  1.0   700 AM  3/08  COOP OBSERVER

...HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY...
   PELHAM                16.0   418 PM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   HUDSON                13.3  1230 PM  3/08  COOP OBSERVER
   PETERBOROUGH          11.5   847 AM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   NEW BOSTON            11.1   432 PM  3/08  GENERAL PUBLIC
   HOLLIS                11.0  1212 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   NASHUA                11.0   145 PM  3/08  NWS EMPLOYEE
   FRANCESTOWN           10.0   700 AM  3/09  COOP OBSERVER
   GREENFIELD             9.0  1210 PM  3/08  SPOTTER
   WEARE                  8.9   800 AM  3/09  COOP OBSERVER
   SOUTH WEARE            8.7   810 AM  3/08  SPOTTER
   BROOKLINE              8.5  1119 AM  3/08  NONE
   NORTH WEARE            7.0  1045 AM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   MILFORD                6.5  1015 AM  3/08  SPOTTER
   GOFFSTOWN              6.2  1100 AM  3/09  HAM RADIO
   EAST MILFORD           5.9   700 AM  3/09  COOP OBSERVER
   MANCHESTER             5.4   700 AM  3/09  COOP OBSERVER
   MERRIMACK              5.0   900 AM  3/09  SPOTTER

RHODE ISLAND

...BRISTOL COUNTY...
   BRISTOL                6.5   646 PM  3/08  BROADCAST MEDIA

...KENT COUNTY...
   WEST WARWICK           3.5   109 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   2 NNW WARWICK          2.3   700 PM  3/08  T.F. GREEN AIRPORT
   EAST GREENWICH         1.5   256 PM  3/08  NONE
   COVENTRY                 T   700 AM  3/09  COOP OBSERVER

...NEWPORT COUNTY...
   MIDDLETOWN             6.8   448 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   TIVERTON               5.5  1215 AM  3/09  COOP OBSERVER
   PORTSMOUTH             2.7   655 AM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   LITTLE COMPTON         2.0   644 AM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER

...PROVIDENCE COUNTY...
   NORTH CUMBERLAND      12.3   609 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   WOONSOCKET            11.5   700 PM  3/08  MEDIA
   THOMPSON HILL         11.4   310 PM  3/08  NONE
   BURRILLVILLE          11.0   315 PM  3/08  GENERAL PUBLIC
   WEST GLOCESTER        10.3   827 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   EAST PROVIDENCE        5.7   318 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   CUMBERLAND             5.5   858 AM  3/08  NWS EMPLOYEE
   GREENVILLE             5.2  1006 PM  3/08  GENERAL PUBLIC
   PROVIDENCE             5.1   600 PM  3/08  FEDERAL HILL
   PAWTUCKET              5.0  1130 AM  3/08  GENERAL PUBLIC

...WASHINGTON COUNTY...
   SOUTH KINGSTOWN        2.4   730 AM  3/08  SPOTTER
   KINGSTON               1.1   400 PM  3/09  COOP OBSERVER
   HOPKINTON              1.0   616 PM  3/08
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4 minutes ago, Hoth said:

Yep, it happens. More recently I got unlucky in March '18. We were forecast to rake in well over a foot and wound up with three inches while folks just to my west got a foot and eastern CT was racking up 2 feet and change. I'm always on guard for the exhaust adjacent the best fronto. What goes up must come down. December 2003 is another good example, but thankfully I wasn't in CT for that one.

 

03.13.18_snow_totals.jpg

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SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Highlights

* A significant winter storm capable of producing heavy snowfall
  late Wed into Thu afternoon across our region is expected.
* The potential exists for at least part of our area to receive over
  a foot of snow. However, the overall pattern is progressive, which
  means it is hard-pressed to see snowfall accumulations much over
  12 inches.
* If the low pressure tracks a little further north, areas towards
  the south coast and the Cape/Islands will have mixing issues,
  which will cut down on the snow totals.
* The biggest concern with the system will be heavy snowfall rates
  and given the antecedent cold air mass, snow will accumulate
  immediately on all surfaces upon onset.

A significant winter storm capable of heavy snowfall across much of
the region is becoming more likely, with abundant southern stream
moisture and antecedent cold air in play for potential
significant, plowable snowfall. Mesowest obs show widespread dew
points in the single digits with a few spots even below zero,
indicative of a fresh injection of cold, dry air mass. The
exceptions are the Cape and Islands and areas towards the MA/RI
immediate South Coast, where it will mix with and change over to
rain. Some uncertainty still remains, however, on the northern
edge of heavy snowfall. The 12z guidance has shown a northward
trend with the heavy precipitation, which is why we have
expanded Winter Storm headlines to include our western and
northern zones.

Looking at the 12z suite of guidance including the HREF, the system
is forecast to remain fairly progressive as the H5 low crosses from
NJ into SNE. There are some hints that the H5 low could weaken a
little slower between 12z and 18z, but very little to suggest
bumping up the current forecast too much. Also, the track of the H5
low is a little further north and its track along the MA/RI south
coast would suggest that areas towards and along the MA/RI south
coast, including the Cape & Islands will mix likely with and change
to rain after an initial thump, which will cut down on snow totals.
This also means that areas further N&W will also come into play for
heavier snow accumulations, which is why we expanded the Winter
Storm Watches to our entire CWA with the morning update.

A potential red flag against some of the eye-popping totals shown by
deterministic guidance is the relative lack of deepening of the
secondary low. Ensemble members keep the low in the high 990s or low
1000s, which indicates a lack of deepening or cyclogenesis required
for the system to have more staying power and reduce the potential
for totals much higher than a foot at this time. Also, this reduces
the chance for blizzard conditions though it will still be quite
windy with the pressure gradient thanks to the 1035 mb high to our
north. Overall, given the progressive pattern and the deamplifying
H5 shortwave, we are inclined to go with a widespread 8-12 inches
for our CWA with lesser amounts towards the S Coast. Could some
locations get more than a foot? Absolutely, but it is hard pressed
to see amounts over 15 inches at this time.

The H5 upper low that will play a critical role in the Nor`easter
has shown up the water vapor satellite imagery over the Texas
Panhandle. A cursory glance seems to suggest that the GFS and NAM
have initialized rather well. A closer look suggests that the NAM
may have initialized the ridge over the Northern Rockies a little
too much. These are very fine margins and subtle differences, but
could have an outsized role downstream and storm impacts on our
area.

Overall, we are becoming more confident of a significant, but
not blockbuster winter storm. Widespread accumulations of 8 to
12 inches are forecast, with lesser amounts towards the MA/RI
south coast and the Cape and Islands, where it is expected to
mix with and change over to rain after the initial thump of
snow.
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