Damage In Tolland Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 15 minutes ago, JC-CT said: It was more than 8-10 miles east, especially at your latitude, but yeah that was nuts. It was out over Windham County . Ashford east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 15 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah the cutoff line was near ginxy. Can you post the radar? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 7 minutes ago, Hoth said: That storm was awful for much of CT. Radar wound up shredded and the snow was like baking powder. Super dense and didn't add up to much. The wind was awesome though. I’ve been armchair hobbying weather at various intervals and when I was a kid it was consistent and obsessive. But tonight is my schooling lesson and first exposure to the notion that amounts could really vary like that without, for example, rain shadowing or whatnot. “Subsidence” takes on a whole new meaning to me tonight. I didn’t know everyone got screwed when we got crushed in 2010. Just wow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: It was out over Windham County . Ashford east Ashford got buried Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeonPeon Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 4 minutes ago, JC-CT said: 1/100…So you're saying there's a chance. 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 11 minutes ago, Hoth said: I'd love to see that again. Can't find a loop on Youtube. I know Will has it. He saves all of them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, NeonPeon said: 1/100…So you're saying there's a chance. Like 1 in a thousand? .....more like....one in a million. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, JC-CT said: Ashford got buried My wife teaches there. They had quite a bit less. There was a poster here during that storm I recall that was slotted. I think they had 13-14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: My wife teaches there. They had quite a bit less. There was a poster here during that storm I recall that was slotted. I think they had 13-14 13-14 Slotted What??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Phil was one of the first to buy into that fire hose storm that afternoon . People were hesitant with that set up. I believe Scooter concurred with him that they “were buying the ticket “ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 5 minutes ago, IowaStorm05 said: I’ve been armchair hobbying weather at various intervals and when I was a kid it was consistent and obsessive. But tonight is my schooling lesson and first exposure to the notion that amounts could really vary like that without, for example, rain shadowing or whatnot. “Subsidence” takes on a whole new meaning to me tonight. I didn’t know everyone got screwed when we got crushed in 2010. Just wow! Yep, it happens. More recently I got unlucky in March '18. We were forecast to rake in well over a foot and wound up with three inches while folks just to my west got a foot and eastern CT was racking up 2 feet and change. I'm always on guard for the exhaust adjacent the best fronto. What goes up must come down. December 2003 is another good example, but thankfully I wasn't in CT for that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 https://rightweather.com/2013/03/southern-new-england-snow-totals-march-7-8-2013/ ********************STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL******************** LOCATION STORM TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTS SNOWFALL OF /INCHES/ MEASUREMENT CONNECTICUT ...HARTFORD COUNTY... MANCHESTER 18.5 230 PM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER MARLBOROUGH 15.5 156 PM 3/08 HAM RADIO ROCKY HILL 14.0 158 PM 3/08 HAM RADIO BURLINGTON 13.9 346 PM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER WETHERSFIELD 12.5 157 PM 3/08 HAM RADIO SOUTH WINDSOR 12.5 659 PM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER EAST FARMINGTON HEIG 8.5 1106 AM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER BRISTOL 8.3 840 AM 3/08 SPOTTER WEST HARTFORD 6.6 1026 AM 3/08 HAM RADIO ENFIELD 6.5 936 AM 3/08 HAM RADIO NORTH GRANBY 5.0 739 AM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER GRANBY 5.0 1005 AM 3/08 RETIRED NWS EMPLOYEE 1 WNW WINDSOR LOCKS 4.5 700 PM 3/08 BRADLEY AIRPORT AVON 4.2 1247 PM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER EAST HARTFORD 4.0 938 AM 3/08 HAM RADIO SIMSBURY 3.5 405 PM 3/08 HAM RADIO ...TOLLAND COUNTY... STAFFORDVILLE 23.0 600 AM 3/09 COOP OBSERVER TOLLAND 22.5 341 PM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER COVENTRY 21.0 749 PM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER STAFFORD SPRINGS 20.5 137 PM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER ROCKVILLE 17.5 406 PM 3/08 HAM RADIO STORRS 17.0 1117 AM 3/08 HAM RADIO SOMERS 16.0 127 PM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER COLUMBIA 15.0 424 PM 3/08 GENERAL PUBLIC ...WINDHAM COUNTY... ASHFORD 18.0 404 PM 3/08 GENERAL PUBLIC WOODSTOCK 17.2 340 PM 3/08 SPOTTER POMFRET CENTER 15.0 703 PM 3/08 GENERAL PUBLIC BROOKLYN 14.0 1049 AM 3/08 HAM RADIO THOMPSON 13.5 355 PM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER SOUTH WINDHAM 13.0 1202 PM 3/08 NONE HAMPTON 12.3 800 AM 3/09 COOP OBSERVER EAST KILLINGLY 11.6 531 PM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER DANIELSON 5.5 803 AM 3/08 HAM RADIO MASSACHUSETTS ...BARNSTABLE COUNTY... EAST SANDWICH 5.3 700 AM 3/09 COOP OBSERVER MARSTONS MILLS 3.0 829 AM 3/08 NWS EMPLOYEE POCASSET 1.5 530 AM 3/08 BROADCAST MEDIA CENTERVILLE 1.5 605 AM 3/08 HAM RADIO NORTH FALMOUTH 1.5 616 AM 3/08 HAM RADIO WOODS HOLE 0.6 700 AM 3/08 COOP OBSERVER CHATHAM T 700 AM 3/09 COOP OBSERVER ...BRISTOL COUNTY... NORTON 22.6 430 PM 3/08 NWS EMPLOYEE SOUTH EASTON 22.5 851 AM 3/09 HAM RADIO MANSFIELD 21.5 451 PM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER NORTH EASTON 21.2 738 PM 3/08 NONE 1 W MANSFIELD 21.1 621 PM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER TAUNTON 19.7 700 AM 3/09 COOP OBSERVER/NWS TAUNTON 2.6NW 19.7 324 PM 3/08 NWS EMPLOYEE FALL RIVER 17.6 556 PM 3/08 HAM RADIO WEST MANSFIELD 17.0 354 PM 3/08 SPOTTER DIGHTON 15.4 609 PM 3/08 NWS EMPLOYEE ATTLEBORO 15.0 316 PM 3/08 GENERAL PUBLIC ACUSHNET 11.5 1136 PM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER SOMERSET 11.2 751 PM 3/08 PUBLIC NORTH ACUSHNET 11.0 805 PM 3/08 HAM RADIO NORTH ATTLEBORO 11.0 638 PM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER NEW BEDFORD 11.0 500 PM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER WEST ACUSHNET 8.4 804 PM 3/08 HAM RADIO ...ESSEX COUNTY... NORTH BEVERLY 18.3 419 PM 3/08 PUBLIC BEVERLY 16.5 1144 AM 3/08 GENERAL PUBLIC SALEM 16.2 130 PM 3/08 SPOTTER TOPSFIELD 16.0 116 PM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER MARBLEHEAD 14.0 200 PM 3/08 SPOTTER WEST PEABODY 13.0 1030 AM 3/08 HAM RADIO LYNN 13.0 1124 AM 3/08 HAM RADIO NAHANT 12.0 1211 PM 3/08 SPOTTER NEWBURYPORT 11.2 700 AM 3/09 COOP OBSERVER LAWRENCE 10.0 800 AM 3/09 COOP OBSERVER HAVERHILL 9.0 417 PM 3/08 HAM RADIO GLOUCESTER 8.0 130 PM 3/08 SPOTTER ...FRANKLIN COUNTY... HEATH 7.0 933 AM 3/08 HAM RADIO NEW SALEM 6.0 300 AM 3/08 PUBLIC ASHFIELD 5.3 700 AM 3/09 COOP OBSERVER LEYDEN 5.0 1015 AM 3/08 HAM RADIO LEVERETT 4.5 700 AM 3/09 COOP OBSERVER EAST CHARLEMONT 3.5 1055 AM 3/08 SPOTTER SUNDERLAND 3.5 700 AM 3/09 COOP OBSERVER GREENFIELD 2.0 849 AM 3/08 GENERAL PUBLIC TURNERS FALLS 1.0 1001 AM 3/08 NONE ...HAMPDEN COUNTY... WALES 21.0 350 PM 3/08 HAM RADIO MONSON 18.0 349 PM 3/08 HAM RADIO EAST LONGMEADOW 11.5 1139 AM 3/08 HAM RADIO LUDLOW 11.0 209 PM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER CHESTER 7.0 606 AM 3/08 HAM RADIO GRANVILLE 4.2 700 AM 3/09 COOP OBSERVER WESTFIELD 4.0 800 AM 3/09 COOP OBSERVER HOLYOKE 2.0 830 AM 3/08 SPOTTER ...HAMPSHIRE COUNTY... WARE 12.8 800 AM 3/09 COOP OBSERVER BELCHERTOWN 8.0 1145 AM 3/08 HAM RADIO WORTHINGTON 7.7 700 AM 3/09 COOP OBSERVER HUNTINGTON 7.0 845 AM 3/08 HAM RADIO SOUTH HADLEY 2.5 1146 AM 3/08 HAM RADIO NORTHAMPTON 2.0 939 AM 3/08 HAM RADIO AMHERST 1.0 700 AM 3/09 COOP OBSERVER ...MIDDLESEX COUNTY... DRACUT 22.1 100 PM 3/08 GENERAL PUBLIC STOW 20.5 605 PM 3/08 HAM RADIO SHERBORN 20.0 242 PM 3/08 HAM RADIO FRAMINGHAM 18.8 338 PM 3/08 HAM RADIO ACTON 17.7 203 PM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER WAKEFIELD 17.1 210 PM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER HOLLISTON 17.0 502 PM 3/08 HAM RADIO TYNGSBORO 17.0 205 PM 3/08 HAM RADIO CARLISLE 16.8 235 PM 3/08 GENERAL PUBLIC LEXINGTON 16.1 223 PM 3/08 GENERAL PUBLIC NATICK 16.0 251 PM 3/08 HAM RADIO GROTON 16.0 401 PM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER CHARLTON 15.9 700 AM 3/09 COOP OBSERVER MAYNARD 15.8 800 AM 3/09 COOP OBSERVER WESTFORD 15.5 410 PM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER PEPPERELL 15.5 219 PM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER SOUTH NATICK 15.0 224 PM 3/08 HAM RADIO HUDSON 15.0 309 PM 3/08 HAM RADIO MARLBOROUGH 15.0 842 PM 3/08 HAM RADIO WOBURN 15.0 518 PM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER WINCHESTER 15.0 305 PM 3/08 GENERAL PUBLIC MARLBOROUGH 15.0 456 PM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER TOWNSEND 14.8 1220 PM 3/08 SPOTTER SHIRLEY 14.3 100 PM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER CHELMSFORD 14.0 611 PM 3/08 PUBLIC LITTLETON 13.8 1230 PM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER WILMINGTON 13.0 1243 PM 3/08 GENERAL PUBLIC CONCORD 12.2 155 PM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER HOPKINTON 12.0 808 PM 3/08 HAM RADIO MALDEN 12.0 627 PM 3/08 HAM RADIO BILLERICA 11.0 1056 AM 3/08 MEDIA NORTH READING 10.0 1257 PM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER MELROSE 10.0 156 PM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER LOWELL 9.5 600 AM 3/09 COOP OBSERVER ROYALSTON 8.5 700 AM 3/09 COOP OBSERVER ...NORFOLK COUNTY... BLUE HILL OBSERVATORY 29.8 700 AM 3/09 COOP OBSERVER QUINCY 24.9 441 PM 3/08 GENERAL PUBLIC FOXBORO 24.7 550 PM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER SOUTH WEYMOUTH 24.1 233 PM 3/08 MEDIA RANDOLPH 24.0 530 PM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER WEYMOUTH 23.0 503 PM 3/08 HAM RADIO WEST WALPOLE 22.7 129 PM 3/08 HAM RADIO WALPOLE 22.0 730 PM 3/08 AMATEUR RADIO WRENTHAM 22.0 730 PM 3/08 AMATEUR RADIO CANTON 21.8 1251 PM 3/08 GENERAL PUBLIC NORWOOD 21.8 700 AM 3/09 NWS EMPLOYEE MILLIS 20.5 619 PM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER FRANKLIN 18.5 730 PM 3/08 AMATEUR RADIO NEEDHAM 14.5 1235 PM 3/08 GENERAL PUBLIC BELLINGHAM 14.2 200 PM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER EAST BRAINTREE 12.0 1254 PM 3/08 HAM RADIO ...PLYMOUTH COUNTY... WHITMAN 22.5 526 PM 3/08 HAM RADIO ROCKLAND 21.5 145 PM 3/08 SPOTTER MANSFIELD 21.0 257 PM 3/08 HAM RADIO BROCKTON 20.0 1215 AM 3/09 COOP OBSERVER HANOVER 18.5 353 PM 3/08 GENERAL PUBLIC KINGSTON 16.5 330 PM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER HINGHAM 16.3 700 PM 3/09 COOP OBSERVER MIDDLEBORO 15.8 602 PM 3/08 HAM RADIO PEMBROKE 14.0 310 PM 3/08 HAM RADIO DUXBURY 13.5 456 PM 3/08 HAM RADIO ROCHESTER 12.0 800 AM 3/09 COOP OBSERVER BRIDGEWATER 11.0 700 AM 3/09 COOP OBSERVER CARVER 10.8 357 PM 3/08 NWS EMPLOYEE PLYMOUTH 6.0 210 PM 3/08 HAM RADIO EAST WAREHAM 5.7 700 AM 3/09 COOP OBSERVER WAREHAM 5.0 420 PM 3/08 HAM RADIO ...SUFFOLK COUNTY... JAMAICA PLAIN 18.0 700 AM 3/09 COOP OBSERVER BRIGHTON 15.0 800 PM 3/08 GENERAL PUBLIC WEST ROXBURY 14.8 438 PM 3/08 HAM RADIO 1 N EAST BOSTON 13.1 700 PM 3/08 LOGAN AIRPORT WINTHROP 13.1 700 PM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER ...WORCESTER COUNTY... HOLDEN 24.4 204 PM 3/08 SPOTTER MILFORD 24.1 410 PM 3/08 GENERAL PUBLIC CLINTON 23.4 134 PM 3/08 GENERAL PUBLIC OAKHAM 23.0 442 PM 3/08 HAM RADIO LANCASTER 23.0 530 PM 3/08 GENERAL PUBLIC 3 WNW WORCESTER 22.8 300 PM 3/08 ORH AIRPORT STERLING 21.3 129 PM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER SHREWSBURY 21.0 148 PM 3/08 GENERAL PUBLIC WEST BOYLSTON 21.0 500 PM 3/08 PUBLIC LUNENBURG 21.0 108 PM 3/08 EMERGENCY MANAGER SPENCER 20.8 200 PM 3/08 NONE BOYLSTON 20.2 216 PM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER HUBBARDSTON 18.5 715 PM 3/08 HAM RADIO WESTBOROUGH 18.2 1232 AM 3/09 NWS EMPLOYEE BERLIN 18.2 307 PM 3/08 GENERAL PUBLIC FITCHBURG 18.2 242 PM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER NORTH GRAFTON 18.0 127 PM 3/08 HAM RADIO LEOMINSTER 18.0 1244 PM 3/08 HAM RADIO FISKDALE 17.3 700 AM 3/09 COOP OBSERVER MILFORD 17.0 700 AM 3/09 COOP OBSERVER WEST WARREN 16.0 100 PM 3/08 SPOTTER ASHBURNHAM 16.0 700 AM 3/09 COOP OBSERVER HARDWICK 15.6 800 AM 3/09 COOP OBSERVER SOUTHBRIDGE 15.0 1149 AM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER HARVARD 15.0 243 PM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER GRAFTON 15.0 604 PM 3/08 NONE TEMPLETON 14.5 119 PM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER WHITINSVILLE 13.1 154 PM 3/08 NONE WARREN 13.0 217 PM 3/08 HAM RADIO AUBURN 12.5 250 PM 3/08 SPOTTER ASHBURNHAM N 11.5 700 AM 3/09 COOP OBSERVER NORTHBRIDGE 10.9 448 PM 3/08 GENERAL PUBLIC CHARLTON 10.1 700 AM 3/08 COOP OBSERVER HOPEDALE 10.0 241 PM 3/08 HAM RADIO ROYALSTON 7.0 700 AM 3/08 COOP OBSERVER NEW HAMPSHIRE ...CHESHIRE COUNTY... JAFFREY 11.4 700 AM 3/09 COOP OBSERVER FITZWILLIAM 7.7 800 AM 3/09 COOP OBSERVER KEENE 4.5 700 AM 3/08 COOP OBSERVER WALPOLE 2.0 800 AM 3/09 COOP OBSERVER SURRY 1.0 700 AM 3/08 COOP OBSERVER ...HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY... PELHAM 16.0 418 PM 3/08 HAM RADIO HUDSON 13.3 1230 PM 3/08 COOP OBSERVER PETERBOROUGH 11.5 847 AM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER NEW BOSTON 11.1 432 PM 3/08 GENERAL PUBLIC HOLLIS 11.0 1212 PM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER NASHUA 11.0 145 PM 3/08 NWS EMPLOYEE FRANCESTOWN 10.0 700 AM 3/09 COOP OBSERVER GREENFIELD 9.0 1210 PM 3/08 SPOTTER WEARE 8.9 800 AM 3/09 COOP OBSERVER SOUTH WEARE 8.7 810 AM 3/08 SPOTTER BROOKLINE 8.5 1119 AM 3/08 NONE NORTH WEARE 7.0 1045 AM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER MILFORD 6.5 1015 AM 3/08 SPOTTER GOFFSTOWN 6.2 1100 AM 3/09 HAM RADIO EAST MILFORD 5.9 700 AM 3/09 COOP OBSERVER MANCHESTER 5.4 700 AM 3/09 COOP OBSERVER MERRIMACK 5.0 900 AM 3/09 SPOTTER RHODE ISLAND ...BRISTOL COUNTY... BRISTOL 6.5 646 PM 3/08 BROADCAST MEDIA ...KENT COUNTY... WEST WARWICK 3.5 109 PM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER 2 NNW WARWICK 2.3 700 PM 3/08 T.F. GREEN AIRPORT EAST GREENWICH 1.5 256 PM 3/08 NONE COVENTRY T 700 AM 3/09 COOP OBSERVER ...NEWPORT COUNTY... MIDDLETOWN 6.8 448 PM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER TIVERTON 5.5 1215 AM 3/09 COOP OBSERVER PORTSMOUTH 2.7 655 AM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER LITTLE COMPTON 2.0 644 AM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER ...PROVIDENCE COUNTY... NORTH CUMBERLAND 12.3 609 PM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER WOONSOCKET 11.5 700 PM 3/08 MEDIA THOMPSON HILL 11.4 310 PM 3/08 NONE BURRILLVILLE 11.0 315 PM 3/08 GENERAL PUBLIC WEST GLOCESTER 10.3 827 PM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER EAST PROVIDENCE 5.7 318 PM 3/08 TRAINED SPOTTER CUMBERLAND 5.5 858 AM 3/08 NWS EMPLOYEE GREENVILLE 5.2 1006 PM 3/08 GENERAL PUBLIC PROVIDENCE 5.1 600 PM 3/08 FEDERAL HILL PAWTUCKET 5.0 1130 AM 3/08 GENERAL PUBLIC ...WASHINGTON COUNTY... SOUTH KINGSTOWN 2.4 730 AM 3/08 SPOTTER KINGSTON 1.1 400 PM 3/09 COOP OBSERVER HOPKINTON 1.0 616 PM 3/08 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 9 minutes ago, JC-CT said: 56% Chance of 12 inches or more, but ya... OK Pete Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Phil was one of the first to buy into that storm that afternoon on models I think Ryan had a good melt from that storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 4 minutes ago, JC-CT said: 13-14 Slotted What??? I had 22”. They def were slotted to a degree.. My wife told me it was noticeable. I always ask her the snow differences when she gets home Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 13 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: For who for what For all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I had 22”. They def were slotted to a degree.. My wife told me it was noticeable. I always ask her the snow differences when she gets home Nothing like RI. Man, that's brutal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Moonlit Sky Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Gonna be in Albany for this one. It's been strange, because my impulse is still just looking at Fairfield County when pulling up the NWS forecasts. I have to remind myself to look at both now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 4 minutes ago, Hoth said: Yep, it happens. More recently I got unlucky in March '18. We were forecast to rake in well over a foot and wound up with three inches while folks just to my west got a foot and eastern CT was racking up 2 feet and change. I'm always on guard for the exhaust adjacent the best fronto. What goes up must come down. December 2003 is another good example, but thankfully I wasn't in CT for that one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said: lol, thanks for triggering the PTSD! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, Hoth said: Nothing like RI. Man, that's brutal. No def nothing like them. If I recall models actually showed that hole Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY/... Highlights * A significant winter storm capable of producing heavy snowfall late Wed into Thu afternoon across our region is expected. * The potential exists for at least part of our area to receive over a foot of snow. However, the overall pattern is progressive, which means it is hard-pressed to see snowfall accumulations much over 12 inches. * If the low pressure tracks a little further north, areas towards the south coast and the Cape/Islands will have mixing issues, which will cut down on the snow totals. * The biggest concern with the system will be heavy snowfall rates and given the antecedent cold air mass, snow will accumulate immediately on all surfaces upon onset. A significant winter storm capable of heavy snowfall across much of the region is becoming more likely, with abundant southern stream moisture and antecedent cold air in play for potential significant, plowable snowfall. Mesowest obs show widespread dew points in the single digits with a few spots even below zero, indicative of a fresh injection of cold, dry air mass. The exceptions are the Cape and Islands and areas towards the MA/RI immediate South Coast, where it will mix with and change over to rain. Some uncertainty still remains, however, on the northern edge of heavy snowfall. The 12z guidance has shown a northward trend with the heavy precipitation, which is why we have expanded Winter Storm headlines to include our western and northern zones. Looking at the 12z suite of guidance including the HREF, the system is forecast to remain fairly progressive as the H5 low crosses from NJ into SNE. There are some hints that the H5 low could weaken a little slower between 12z and 18z, but very little to suggest bumping up the current forecast too much. Also, the track of the H5 low is a little further north and its track along the MA/RI south coast would suggest that areas towards and along the MA/RI south coast, including the Cape & Islands will mix likely with and change to rain after an initial thump, which will cut down on snow totals. This also means that areas further N&W will also come into play for heavier snow accumulations, which is why we expanded the Winter Storm Watches to our entire CWA with the morning update. A potential red flag against some of the eye-popping totals shown by deterministic guidance is the relative lack of deepening of the secondary low. Ensemble members keep the low in the high 990s or low 1000s, which indicates a lack of deepening or cyclogenesis required for the system to have more staying power and reduce the potential for totals much higher than a foot at this time. Also, this reduces the chance for blizzard conditions though it will still be quite windy with the pressure gradient thanks to the 1035 mb high to our north. Overall, given the progressive pattern and the deamplifying H5 shortwave, we are inclined to go with a widespread 8-12 inches for our CWA with lesser amounts towards the S Coast. Could some locations get more than a foot? Absolutely, but it is hard pressed to see amounts over 15 inches at this time. The H5 upper low that will play a critical role in the Nor`easter has shown up the water vapor satellite imagery over the Texas Panhandle. A cursory glance seems to suggest that the GFS and NAM have initialized rather well. A closer look suggests that the NAM may have initialized the ridge over the Northern Rockies a little too much. These are very fine margins and subtle differences, but could have an outsized role downstream and storm impacts on our area. Overall, we are becoming more confident of a significant, but not blockbuster winter storm. Widespread accumulations of 8 to 12 inches are forecast, with lesser amounts towards the MA/RI south coast and the Cape and Islands, where it is expected to mix with and change over to rain after the initial thump of snow. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, Hoth said: Nothing like RI. Man, that's brutal. Exactly. There were temp issues to start so his elevation definitely helped, and he's a huge weenie 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Box says 8-12+ is moderate lol we know where they stand. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Still no warning here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 I like wabi's frcst Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: For all. Oh the love!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, mahk_webstah said: Oh the love!!!! We love Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Still no warning here I think it’s the confidence issue, but you probably should be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 8 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Box says 8-12+ is moderate lol we know where they stand. Generally it's a moderate to heavy snowstorm for many places but major or blockbuster, no. Can't change the definition, based on the impact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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