Typhoon Tip Posted December 15, 2020 Author Share Posted December 15, 2020 20 minutes ago, dendrite said: Might as well just post this then... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: Maybe Tip can invite Pope and Harv over and they can talk it out? He lives in NH, but posted all day in NYC forum. We wonder? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Seems like I missed a lot here lol. I think what Bouchard has for BOS is reasonable. I'd be surprised if they got over 10" honestly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGiant611 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Thunder... Thunder... Thunder... Thundersnow...HO!!! Who gets it? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 14 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Gotta use it to figure out what VT ski area gets the most snow. Think you gotta ride with Mt Snow but I was thinking the banding on NAM might have been north of that even. Definitely. Mohawk/Sundown for the New England jack? lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 16 minutes ago, dendrite said: Pope with the subforum jack? He had a nam jack yesterday at 29.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 45 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: NW of what? I hope nw if Taunton. That’s as much as I got these days. Lol Boston Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Congrats everyone northwest of I-95 corridor. I hope you enjoy the sight of a foot of snow, while I bask in 45F rain and winds Thursday! 2 1 2 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Herpies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Congrats everyone northwest of I-95 corridor. I hope you enjoy the sight of a foot of snow, while I bask in 45F rain and winds Thursday! Hopefully you cash in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 15, 2020 Author Share Posted December 15, 2020 I don't see a problem with Harvey Leonard's rendition here - what am I missing? As far as "pope" - you know ..I can see his misgivings on this ...lord knows I've had them - particularly early on.. But, my personal notions on this changed, and I described those pretty clearly already earlier in the day - not that anyone asked.. lol. But seriously, I don't think anyone should be derided for an outlook before anything has actually taken place. I will say though ..from where I am sitting, the 300 mb "INCREASING" jet flow exiting E away from CNE on the polarward side of a SW 500 mb 100 kt flow that is rising up and over a nascent polar air mass 1.5 deg S of that latitude over SNE... is not the deterministic models overdoing it and I disagree with Taunton or whomever wrote that ... It is likely why/where that RGEM's incredible chart topping frontogenic band is coming from - CSI wedgie from hell and don't be surprised at 4 or even 5" per hour rate somewhere and some lightning blinks...in the vicinity/under that region. That is clockwise rotation of sick, sick difluence pulling up an already conditionally unstable theta-e rich source ... It's a snow machine...sorry - but I'm looking right at these synoptic parameters and it is what it is friends - If it doesn't happen..it doesn't happen.. but maybe afterward we can prove these features didn't set up - because if they do... I don't see how an excessive band won't materialize... 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 NWS Point and Click - 7" - 15" NWS Forcast - 8" - 12" NWS Map - 8" - 12" ABC 6 - 8" - 12" WPRI - 8" - 12" NBC 10 - 8" - 12" Very Early to be posting since it feels like the storm is Tomorrow. So I'll go 12" - 18" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Congrats everyone northwest of I-95 corridor. I hope you enjoy the sight of a foot of snow, while I bask in 45F rain and winds Thursday! 2-4 or 3-6 there . Should continue shifting SE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 27 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Gotta use it to figure out what VT ski area gets the most snow. Think you gotta ride with Mt Snow but I was thinking the banding on NAM might have been north of that even. If you're looking to take a road trip, Magic is planning to open on Thurs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 3 hours ago, DomNH said: I hope we ticky tick south to get into the better H7 fronto banding. We're not getting into the WCB. As things stand I'm going 4-8'' here. Hope to squeak out a warning event but I can see a scenario where we just subsidence struggle our way to 4-5'' of dense sand. Let's just start at 2-4" and be excited with 6"? 15 minutes ago, DFRI said: Some are predicting less. Pete B says screw Ray's subsidence zone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherWilly Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 I really don't like Pete's map 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 6 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Congrats everyone northwest of I-95 corridor. I hope you enjoy the sight of a foot of snow, while I bask in 45F rain and winds Thursday! We usually do but don't throw the towel in yet James. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Hello active December...verbatim it misses, but gotta love the potential gfs showing for Christmas Day or day or 2 later....Hell of a ridge out west, if you space out the waves properly that’s dynamite. I’m headed to Williamsport pa btw. Good luck up there this go around. Philly will get one this year 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Recon flying in the gulf for our storm.. that data should be put into tonight's models maybe we can get a better idea by then.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, ineedsnow said: Recon flying in the gulf for our storm.. that data should be put into tonight's models maybe we can get a better idea by then.. I just don’t exactly understand why the gulf. More of the uncertainty is out west. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: I just don’t exactly understand why the gulf. More of the uncertainty is out west. Maybe they will do more balloon launches or something out west and can't over the gulf? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I just don’t exactly understand why the gulf. More of the uncertainty is out west. Don't want to drop a sonde down someone's chimney. 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 hours ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Always better to play with fire and take your chances! Oh ya I remember living in Woonsocket in early 2004. It was a decent winter in SNE, but at least a few snows missed us to the south, hitting Warwick and Westerly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 15, 2020 Author Share Posted December 15, 2020 5 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Recon flying in the gulf for our storm.. that data should be put into tonight's models maybe we can get a better idea by then.. wait what ? why the Gulf - you do mean the Gulf Of Mexico? not sure I understand that as a sonde gap - ... hm, was there discussion offered as to why - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: wait what ? why the Gulf - you do mean the Gulf Of Mexico? not sure I understand that as a sonde gap - Yes the gulf of mexico.. I downloaded the nbc30 ct app on my smart tv and ryan mentioned it.. still can't get away from some of the ct stations lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlauderdal Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Recon flying in the gulf for our storm.. that data should be put into tonight's models maybe we can get a better idea by then..Thats where the juice is, makes sense to sample it although the budget must be shot after the season we had Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 57 minutes ago, powderfreak said: It was actually south of where I figured it probably was at 18z. Had a bet where the best FRONTO was and lost . You can tell Harvey really incorporated this into has map. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 15, 2020 Author Share Posted December 15, 2020 4 minutes ago, jlauderdal said: 13 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Recon flying in the gulf for our storm.. that data should be put into tonight's models maybe we can get a better idea by then.. Thats where the juice is, makes sense to sample it although the budget must be shot after the season we had yeah... yet the assimilation(s) are supposed to be sufficient between Japan and California... ..I don't know, I think Satellite should electro mag resonance can see the moisture content as sufficiently packed layers for a region as small as the Gulf when we're above the 95% tile out in the Pacific - doesn't seem to add up as explanation but fug it - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 23 minutes ago, WeatherWilly said: I really don't like Pete's map It just looks different than anything I’ve seen on any models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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