40/70 Benchmark Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: I think Will put it nicely. I don't have the confidence or certainty to say it's near your hood right now. I hear that. I see what you guys are saying. I def. have as good a shot as anyone, right now...maybe better a tad west of me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Eps is more generous with qpf vs op. Must be some juicy members in there. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, The 4 Seasons said: Right. Thats my point. And at the moment, not buying it. I wouldn't, either...Euro is probably closer to reality. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 NAM is 75-100 miles further north with the slp at 15z ThursdayThats a huge shift is it not? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, weathafella said: Eps is more generous with qpf vs op. Must be some juicy members in there. I wonder if someone like @OceanStWx could tell us whether some of the members trail that kicker more than the OP? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Still Poping Just now, jbenedet said: One helluva CAD signal into LI seeing those bent isobars like that... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Eps map? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Still Poping The coup is complete..... 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: 7 minutes ago, JC-CT said: NAM is 75-100 miles further north with the slp at 15z Thursday Thats a huge shift is it not? For the NAM? Nah 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Still Poping Poping, but his forecast will end up pooping 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Funny how that dude just SPLIT once guidance trended north....just evacuated to the NYC thread, there this is zero resistance. lol What a weak move. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 You can picture him carrying his heavy wooden shovel and laptop up 95 as he falls several times in doing so. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 EPS MSLP Mean & Spread: 12Z vs. 00Z 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wizard021 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 9 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I wouldn't, either...Euro is probably closer to reality. I hope euro trends 200 miles south with the lp center. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Thinking about a generic 8-16" statewide right now. Just not enough confidence to pin down best banding. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, wizard021 said: I hope euro trends 200 miles south with the lp center. I'll bet you also wish that you weren't a 47 year old virgin, but 'alas 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'll bet you also wish that you weren't a 47 year old virgin, but 'alas Jesus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 10 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I wonder if someone like @OceanStWx could tell us whether some of the members trail that kicker more than the OP? Can’t see the individual members at 500 mb, but overall it looks like the northern part of the kicker is digging more. In effect that sharpens the downstream side of the ridge out west. Makes the whole pattern more amplified and closer to classic looking for New England snow. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, OceanStWx said: Can’t see the individual members at 500 mb, but overall it looks like the northern part of the kicker is digging more. In effect that sharpens the downstream side of the ridge out west. Makes the whole pattern more amplified and closer to classic looking for New England snow. Thanks so much.....trend to root for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: You can picture him carrying his heavy wooden shovel and laptop up 95 as he falls several times in doing so. While we throw stones at him and poke him with sticks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wizard021 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: Jesus. 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'll bet you also wish that you weren't a 47 year old virgin, but 'alas What???? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 3 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Can’t see the individual members at 500 mb, but overall it looks like the northern part of the kicker is digging more. In effect that sharpens the downstream side of the ridge out west. Makes the whole pattern more amplified and closer to classic looking for New England snow. What exactly does that translate to (for us newbies). A rain snow line from Norwich to Providence to Boston? When I look at past classics, or common events, that rain/snow line has wildly varying different degree of tilt slicing thought coastal plains, but it’s there nevertheless Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, Go Kart Mozart said: While we throw stones at him and poke him with sticks. I keep picturing that face the pope made in that GIF of him swatting the woman's hand away...making that face, after getting up from each fall lol lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Past day has been big improvements wrt to banding and mid-level magic out this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, Go Kart Mozart said: While we throw stones at him and poke him with sticks. Wearing a crown of Fenway franks. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Thanks so much.....trend to root for. I had mentioned it awhile back in the thread, but the kicker was always coming into better sampling later so these additional moves even after the main shortwave was sampled should be expected. Sure enough the kicker was moving over sounding sides this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: I had mentioned it awhile back in the thread, but the kicker was always coming into better sampling later so these additional moves even after the main shortwave was sampled should be expected. Sure enough the kicker was moving over sounding sides this morning. If we can get that guy to dig a bit more, it could theoretically reach a tipping point, at which it begins to constructively interfere, as opposed to deconstructively. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, IowaStorm05 said: What exactly does that translate to (for us newbies). A rain snow line from Norwich to Providence to Boston? When I look at past classics that rain/snow line has different degree of tilt slicing thought coastal plains, but it’s there nevertheless Still a little too early for those kinds of defaults, but I say “classic” in the sense that forcing can continue with a more north of east trajectory rather than getting squashed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I keep picturing that face the pope made in that GIF of him swatting the woman's hand away...making that face, after getting up from each fall lol lol Looks like he's still down for the count.. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 13 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: EPS MSLP Mean & Spread: 12Z vs. 00Z ehhhhhh...plenty of "NAMs" in there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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