weatherwiz Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Both the GFS and NAM getting 40-50 units of omega into the dGZ at BDL....LET'S GO BABY!!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 15, 2020 Author Share Posted December 15, 2020 And there it is again... of all there has been displayed, the notch has always been there 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 06Z and 12Z Euro. 10:1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Euro Looks like it’s weakest end of guidance w gfs For SNE blows load in PA again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, DomNH said: 9'' of sand and my biggest melt ever. Looked like some rotting banding there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, this is going to be a Boxing day. At least I'm prepared for it, this time. At least we were never teased by 18-24'' NWS clown maps in the lead up. Hell we're looking better than we were a day or two ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 5 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: And there it is again... off all there has been displayed, the notch has always been there Its going to be about 7-9" of sand in this area, a foot plus of power threatening paste near the coast, and 12-18" of fluff west. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 10-15” on the euro across se mass.... couldn’t ask for more 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 The euro is still solid here. Glad it's in my camp and not the NAM and CMC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: 10-15” on the euro across se mass.... couldn’t ask for more I was expecting a cut back..but it looks just as good, if not better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 The issue we were talking about yesterday... that next-in-line shortwave digging more is interfering and de-amplifying our trough You can see it's less an issue on the 12z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 I kind of like an 8-14" range for BOS to @CoastalWx. What do you two think? @ORH_wxman 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: I was expecting a cut back..but it looks just as good, if not better. Yeah.... looks a tad better here if anything.... I’d rather be rooting for the euro over the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 6 minutes ago, dryslot said: Yes, I think the same, As long as that s/w remains strong or even strengthens some more i think it has room to come further north, I need that over this way before the squeeze east. It’s weird how it did increase on the north side in CNE/NNE but didn’t in Northern Mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 couldn't possibly care less about central mass holes on guidance. Boxing day had us at 18" or something and we got a slantsticked 3". The fact the surface LP is relatively weak here works to our advantage IMO. We don't need giant banded nukes pushing the 970s, winds shredding the dendrites to pieces. At any rate, it's ski season. Berkshire East was on the verge of nil 36hrs ago, now looking like an opening day powder fest. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCHurricane Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 5 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: The euro is still solid here. Glad it's in my camp and not the NAM and CMC Unfortunately I would take Euro 10:1 output with a grain of salt down here near the canal and on the Cape. While cold aloft, surface temps look to be running north of 35. Will be hard for meaningful accumulation to happen at those temps, probably closer to 5:1. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, this is going to be a Boxing day. At least I'm prepared for it, this time. Agreed... not a terrible event, but not excited for it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: It’s weird how it did increase on the north side in CNE/NNE but didn’t in Northern Mass. Actually look closer, it did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Unusual to see such a big difference between euro and ukmet. Imagine being a forecaster in Albany and trying to make sense of the two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, wxsniss said: The issue we were talking about yesterday... that next-in-line shortwave digging more is interfering and de-amplifying our trough You can see it's less an issue on the 12z NAM What happens is it pushes the best WAA in the mid-levels in the WCB from CT almost due E over SE MA and out to sea while the ML magic banding goes from like N/central PA to Catskills into NW MA/S VT/SW NH....and MA is kind of left in the middle and E MA still gets decent low-level forcing precip while central MA to the CT valley gets kind of shafted....this is where scott (coastalwx) was saying we need to watch the convective blob....if that is escaping eastward less as we get closer, then we're going to see a much stronger WCB into MA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, Greg said: Actually look closer, it did. Tiny bit....like .5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Tiny bit....like .5" 0.5" of increase in an air column like that translates to better things for us unless you believe that the dendrite formation will be poor when it hits the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, CCHurricane said: Unfortunately I would take Euro 10:1 output with a grain of salt down here near the canal and on the Cape. While cold aloft, surface temps look to be running north of 35. Will be hard for meaningful accumulation to happen at those temps, probably closer to 5:1. That's fair, and likely correct. I'd be happy with 4-6" at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 6 minutes ago, powderfreak said: It’s weird how it did increase on the north side in CNE/NNE but didn’t in Northern Mass. Dying deform in CNE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Given the trailing trough catching up to the low thats awfully close to a big one here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 18 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Is that too far to phase? Not looking at model... Way to far south, If it wasn't there, This would be a block buster. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 So in summery aren’t buying the 12z Euro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Whats the time frame of this ending? 6pm in EMA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said: Given the trailing trough catching up to the low thats awfully close to a big one here. That is why I was asking @dryslot about the proximity...don't think its close enough, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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