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Active mid December with multiple event potential


Typhoon Tip
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19 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said:

No powderfreak, you already got your snow somewhat, let the coastline have our fun.  I am going to be upset if the majority of this system is rain!

Ha, I know you all think I’m trying to steal ALL of your snow.  I just want 3”.  Cover the grass blades back up and uniform white.  Anything to whiten up the crusty left-overs.

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Sick of seeing this ...gotta comment on it - want it out there before whatever this thing scores, in case it doesn't for a some scorned winter lovers -

That notching in the QPF/ .. related snow products? 

Don't ignore that -

It's real in this situation.  Folks are discussing the 'hygroscopic theft' of undercutting 10 F DPs underneath ... well-enough .. but, taking all these Kutchera this, and model-centric snow product that, and blending them, clearly shows a barrier jet axial dry tongue eroding into this this...and I know why - it is because the snow genesis is high up in this scenario, and that is affording a lot of evaporation in that barrier axis, ...where the restorative interior jet is organized from interior D.E. Maine and points to the Worcester Hills -... 

The Boxing Day storm was a latter correction and we didn't really have time to steep in this fore-shadowing of that event, but there was a clear notching phenomenon that really was guite similar to this back then, that I personally did not take into consideration and dismissed it as noise.. Well, we didn't do so well in that system, despite any notoriety - ... We ended up with 4 or 5" of arctic grits ... drifted against opposing curb slants and finned around tree trunks and tires of cars, with not much on exposed ground from that, where 20 to 24 " jackpotted S of here... and N. Middlesex was targeted by the barrier jet dry air hose in that event ... this looks similar to me.. . Don't be surprised if there is a hygroscopic shadowing in a dearth band here in the interior up through S NH..

This sort of/said notching like below began showing up two days ago and it's been a persistently recurring illustration since...

 

boned2.jpg

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2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Euro is actually less amped through 18h than 06z....wouldn't that be the ultimate Euro move, to do the opposite of the other guidance. :lol:

 

It's digging deeper through 30 but nothing screams north to me either. I'm not sure what's going to happen

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32 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

That is over Dave and Whiney and we know that will never happen.

I was just about to reply to Chris that we saw ORH county hosed in Boxing day...also wonder if its kind of a gap as the dynamics jump east.

3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Sick of seeing this ...gotta comment on it - want it out there before whatever this thing scores, in case it doesn't for a some scorned winter lovers -

That notching in the QPF/ .. related snow products? 

Don't ignore that -

It's real in this situation.  Folks are discussing the 'hygroscopic theft' of undercutting 10 F DPs underneath ... well-enough .. but, taking all these Kutchera this, and model-centric snow product that, and blending them, clearly shows a barrier jet axial dry tongue eroding into this this...and I know why - it is because the snow genesis is high up in this scenario, and that is affording a lot of evaporation in that barrier axis, ...where the restorative interior jet is organized from interior D.E. Maine and points to the Worcester Hills -... 

The Boxing Day storm was a latter correction and we didn't really have time to steep in this fore-shadowing of that event, but there was a clear notching phenomenon that really was guite similar to this back then, that I personally did not take into consideration and dismissed it as noise.. Well, we didn't do so well in that system, despite any notoriety - ... We ends up with 4 or 5" of arctic grits ... drifted against opposing curb slants and fined around tree trunks and tires of cars, with not much on exposed ground from that, where 20 to 24 " jackpotted S of here... and N. Middlesex was targeted by the barrier jet dry air hose in that event ... this looks similar to me.. . Don't be surprised if there is a hygroscopic shadowing in a dearth band here in the interior up through S NH..

This sort of/said notching like below began showing up two days ago and it's been a persistently recurring illustration since...

 

boned2.jpg

 

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Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I was just about to reply to Chris that we saw ORH county hosed in Boxing day...also wonder if its kind of a gap as the dynamics jump east.

 

We didn't get hosed as bad in boxing day as further east and northeast in the Tip to ASH belt....we had about a foot while some of those areas had like 6-7" of sand.

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Wish I had more time to post in here with all this fun. did an updated map for CT now that I feel more confident regarding banding placement. Concerns for subsidence and dry slot along southern CT and perhaps mixing far SE CT. And no...I am not buying into this more northern trend.

 

 

snow map update.png

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