Snowcrazed71 Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: lol I don’t think I’ve been negative. Just keeping expectations in check at d4-5. I’ll be all in if we get this inside D2. Come on man, not even a foot in the door yet LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 2 minutes ago, PowderBeard said: GFS will put feet in CT this run lol Crushed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Crushed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: lol I don’t think I’ve been negative. Just keeping expectations in check at d4-5. I’ll be all in if we get this inside D2. Agreed. I still wouldn't be surprised if this thing just ends up grazing CT/RI/SE Mass. It won't come in but could still go out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB_Wchstr Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: lol I don’t think I’ve been negative. Just keeping expectations in check at d4-5. I’ll be all in if we get this inside D2. Just giving you a hard time lol. It’s all good. Most MECS/HECS on the models at d5 disappoint. No doubt about that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Gfs is an absolute crusher for Thursday.... wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 18+ sepa to sema. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Crushed Has to be posted to crush future reality. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Just now, SnowEMass said: Just giving you a hard time lol. It’s all good. Most MECS/HECS on the models at d5 disappoint. No doubt about that. It’s all good. I can take it. We pray. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 SE Mass absolutely buried by the end of the week 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Just out of curiosity, where do you get Friday from? Starts Wednesday pm and light snows linger into Fri am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ariof Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: 18+ sepa to sema. Shift that north 50-100 mi and don't waste the snow on fish who won't appreciate it and I'll be a happy camper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Man I thought 6z would be the pinnacle with this storm, but 12z was even better. Ok now it’s no where but downhill from here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 5 minutes ago, tamarack said: Just had to check. Since we moved to Maine in 1973, I count 27 snowfalls of 6"+ at DCA. We (at our then current domicile) had 6"+ on 4 of those occasions: 1/22/1987 1993 superstorm 1/25/2000 2/12-13/2014. Missing just the pinky Yeah, That sounds about right, I knew it was a few, Most of the time the system has occluded or it’s heading off to the ENE as it gets to this Lat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 mid level almost perfect track for SNE.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Starts Wednesday pm and light snows linger into Fri am It’s over by Thursday evening for everyone... and it doesn’t really start until like midnight Wednesday.... it’s basically a 12-18 hour event on Thursday 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Yeah that’s a great mid level 700-500 look. Queens north of pike, that’s solid. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Starts Wednesday pm and light snows linger into Fri am if by am you mean 2 am sure.. but by the time most folks wake up is done Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 1 minute ago, PowderBeard said: Agreed. I still wouldn't be surprised if this thing just ends up grazing CT/RI/SE Mass. It won't come in but could still go out. It can still come further north before turning ENE. Just look at the upper flow around 96 hours. It isn’t exactly suppression city showing up over NNE...you get that vort a little stronger maybe when it assimilates onshore and you could def see a further north solution. It won’t become a cutter or rip inland over ORH because of the block, but there’s some room. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 2 minutes ago, ariof said: Shift that north 50-100 mi and don't waste the snow on fish who won't appreciate it and I'll be a happy camper. I’ll do my best and gve it everything I’ve got. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattm4242 Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Looks like cape Ann gets in on the crushing these last few runs. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Just out of curiosity, where do you get Friday from? Start Wed-Fri. Can always extend later. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: It can still come further north before turning ENE. Just look at the upper flow around 96 hours. It isn’t exactly suppression city showing up over NNE...you get that vort a little stronger maybe when it assimilates onshore and you could def see a further north solution. It won’t become a cutter or rip inland over ORH because of the block, but there’s some room. Thanks, the cutter idea is what I meant by "in" but yes north enough to mix/rain along the coastal areas for a time is 100% possible/likely. The suppression idea is locked in my head and keeping me most skeptical but I can see what you mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Drunk? It’s a capture and stall. These linger This thing’s outta here Thursday afternoon. Maybe some flurries still linger Thursday evening in SE MA but that’s it. It’s a nuke but t doesn’t hang around. For 36 hours like Jan 2015. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 I'm all for this lasting into friday and locking in a white xmas but not seeing on the models, hope DT is right in the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 14 minutes ago, PowderBeard said: GFS will put feet in CT this run, tick south. There's an upper limit to this setup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Just now, ORH_wxman said: This thing’s outta here Thursday afternoon. Maybe some flurries still linger Thursday evening in SE MA but that’s it. It’s a nuke but t doesn’t hang around. For 36 hours like Jan 2015. The euro was different evolution . FV3 loves to rush things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Im pretty sure that GFS run sets a pressure record for Newfoundland. It's like 937/938 over the Northern Peninsula. There's your 50/50 right there... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Kevin at a brewery today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 12 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Just out of curiosity, where do you get Friday from? Kev doesn't really look at the models 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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