JoeSnowBOS Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 8 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Listen Joe, the pros here know as much as he does. And I was being honest and sincere...I was a lil confused by what he wrote? But whatever. You can sit there and think this is over with, but the rest of us are enjoying the chase and the twists and turns. Only saying Eric is very good. Top notch forecaster. I’m sure knowledgeable folks in these forums as well. I love the chase just like everyone but also trying to give an opinion that I worry this could be a epic fail - has happened many times and worry big time about the northern cut off that the GFS shows and that other models have started shifting towards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Reggie is similar to 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 3 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: January 2015 had one Yes I think I remember that too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 3 minutes ago, JoeSnowBOS said: Only saying Eric is very good. Top notch forecaster. I’m sure knowledgeable folks in these forums as well. I love the chase just like everyone but also trying to give an opinion that I worry this could be a epic fail - has happened many times and worry big time about the northern cut off that the GFS shows and that other models have started shifting towards. Doesn’t he have like 8-12 for BOS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raindancewx Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: We don’t live in New Mexico. Snow sticks here Where is it then? That snow in the north here has been there since September. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 What Brian showed with the 700 Mb low would indicate that snow max would be across northern Connecticut heading NE through Northern Massachusetts and into Southeast New Hampshire if I’m interpreting that correctly. But tomorrow is only Tuesday and doesn’t start till Wednesday evening so God knows what tomorrow will bring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, mahk_webstah said: What Brian showed with the 700 Mb low would indicate that snow max would be across northern Connecticut heading NE through Northern Massachusetts and into Southeast New Hampshire if I’m interpreting that correctly Yup. If it’s right but that’s a key feature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoeSnowBOS Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: Doesn’t he have like 8-12 for BOS? He has 6-12 for Boston but right near the 3-6 line, so usually means Boston at 6, but said he expects shifting and from what I can tell from his tweets, that shift would mean lesser totals. But right now still 6–12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 5 minutes ago, JoeSnowBOS said: Only saying Eric is very good. Top notch forecaster. I’m sure knowledgeable folks in these forums as well. I love the chase just like everyone but also trying to give an opinion that I worry this could be a epic fail - has happened many times and worry big time about the northern cut off that the GFS shows and that other models have started shifting towards. I hear ya. And of course this could totally flop, it happens sometimes. Maybe this is one of them? However, we’ve seen these sort of sputters many times before, and many times they come back and settle in, and it’s all systems go. Let’s hope this is one of those, and not the former? Relax and enjoy the show. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 15 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Blizzard warnings still exist I think. They just no longer issue blizzard watches. The blizzard watch was super rare to begin with. I do remember one a couple days before the Dec 19-20, 1995 storm. BOX hoisted one at the 4pm update on 2/6/13. All of the way out to Worcester I believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Doesn’t he have like 8-12 for BOS? Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 I believe the initial call on the blizzard watch for Feb 2013 was 18-24+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, Henry's Weather said: BOX hoisted one at the 4pm update on 2/6/13. All of the way out to Worcester I believe. Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoeSnowBOS Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said: Yes No Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, Henry's Weather said: I believe the initial call on the blizzard watch for Feb 2013 was 18-24+. 24+ I thought. I trolled someone from CT with the BOX map but her area got 30+ so she had the last laugh. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 rgem is nuts for nnj into swma. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, weathafella said: 24+ I thought. I trolled someone from CT with the BOX map but her area got 30+ so she had the last laugh. Maybe, I was pretty young. It was my first real hellacious widespread 2ft miller B. 'Twas epic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 ICON and RGEM look good for S NH...especially ASH eastward. Maybe Dom can melt his way to double digits. Still just Vostok sand up here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Actually...all the way NE into SENH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: rgem is nuts for nnj into swma. Merry Christmas Pennsylvania Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: rgem is nuts for nnj into swma. Still sticking with 8-12, lucky spots see 12-16"...can it just snow already!?!?. Thinking the GFS moves north a bit, following its own ensembles from 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 5 minutes ago, JoeSnowBOS said: No 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, Bostonseminole said: But based on that deform band 10:1 is likely too low from nwct into senh. Not saying kuchie is right but probably somewhere in the middle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 It’s been consistent past couple runs with that too: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 20 minutes ago, JoeSnowBOS said: Only saying Eric is very good. Top notch forecaster. I’m sure knowledgeable folks in these forums as well. I love the chase just like everyone but also trying to give an opinion that I worry this could be a epic fail - has happened many times and worry big time about the northern cut off that the GFS shows and that other models have started shifting towards. It's slowly cutting back and fading away...happens 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 GFS should be starting any time now. Let's see if it can see the light. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 7 minutes ago, weathafella said: 24+ I thought. I trolled someone from CT with the BOX map but her area got 30+ so she had the last laugh. Initial watch was 12-24" for everywhere except along and southeast of a Newport to Plymouth County line in SE RI/MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Check out the Conus WV. Model initialization, just a little something to compare. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, Greg said: GFS Should be starting any time now. Let's See if it can see the light. Out to 21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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