ORH_wxman Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 NAM is definitely more amped down south through 24h, but I’m not gonna pretend to know what the QPF will do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Can we hold off on baseless doomer talk? The 18z gfs trended north and the 18z EPS trended north. Annoying. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Should be a better 00z Nam run then 18z, Trough more amplified, It looks a tic or two slower, But who knows when it gets to the delmarva what happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, Henry's Weather said: Can we hold off on baseless doomer talk? The 18z gfs trended north and the 18z EPS trended north. Annoying. Seems like mostly newbies...they’ll get the hang of it eventually. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: NAM is definitely more amped down south through 24h, but I’m not gonna pretend to know what the QPF will do. That kicker energy offshore up in the northwest is different too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wizard021 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: NAM is definitely more amped down south through 24h, but I’m not gonna pretend to know what the QPF will do. Opposite the 500 mb low is more nw and less over Texas than 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Seems like mostly newbies...they’ll get the hang of it eventually. yeah allot of new weenies on board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, Bostonseminole said: yeah allot of new weenies on board. It’s good to get new blood in the forum. But there’s a learning curve as well. Everyone was a newbie weenie at some point in their forum life. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 5 minutes ago, Henry's Weather said: Can we hold off on baseless doomer talk? The 18z gfs trended north and the 18z EPS trended north. Annoying. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, ORH_wxman said: It’s good to get new blood in the forum. But there’s a learning curve as well. Everyone was a newbie weenie at some point in their forum life. Many of us still are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 21 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Sounds like he may be into some other white stuff? That would have only intensified his thinking, not depressed it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: It’s good to get new blood in the forum. But there’s a learning curve as well. Everyone was a newbie weenie at some point in their forum life. yeah, I love to see new ideas and thoughts, just hope they have thick skin! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Graupler Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 This is shaping up to be one of those "Nantucket Pie" storms my grandmother always talked about. I think we can all see this/. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 I'm trying to put this in perspective. Difficult after 4-ish days tracking, but even 2 inches would cover the ground for a few days with this cold. And 6 inches, which might seem disappointing right now, is the most I've seen since March 2019. Sometimes I wish models only forecasted 3 or 4 days ahead 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, The Graupler said: This is shaping up to be one of those "Nantucket Pie" storms my grandmother always talked about. I think we can all see this/. Apple? Or did she have to wrestle with the recipe? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStick Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Where's WF? I need to know how many mf's we at most important indicator Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Still looking more robust than 18z. There’s significantly more downstream ridging this run through 36h. The confluence in northern Nova Scotia is holding about the same though so we’ll see what happens when this stronger wave interacts with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, The Graupler said: This is shaping up to be one of those "Nantucket Pie" storms my grandmother always talked about. I think we can all see this/. 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wizard021 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Cold air pressing more south 1028 pressure line . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Still looking more robust than 18z. There’s significantly more downstream ridging this run through 36h. The confluence in northern Nova Scotia is holding about the same though so we’ll see what happens when this stronger wave interacts with it. I like it too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Apple? Or did she have to wrestle with the recipe? Or maybe lemon meringue...but gotta watch out for the blow off. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Thru 36h better digging trough and downstream ridging Watching the following energy over Saskatchewan... it's digging a little more than 18z, may not make any difference but we want that to remain flat and inconsequential... that's the piece that muffed a better SNE hit on today's12z Euro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Hard to imagine this not looking more like 12z with how much more amplified it is, but despite the confluence backing off a hair it’s still stubborn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Heights out ahead are higher too this run, Should be tucked in closer unless we get that last minute kick east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 I dont see how this misses Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 10 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: yeah, I love to see new ideas and thoughts, just hope they have thick skin! The new guys are great. The new blood is wonderful. It's the ppl here 10+ years still posting it lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Lots of traffic behind this, although not much different than 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, JC-CT said: I dont see how this misses No we are in almost the best location, I think the worst case is a solid 5 inches no matter what goes wrong or different 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 I mean, come on 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Watch the confluence, higher heights ahead means the center rides northeastward then takes a sharp turn do east because of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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