TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Yeah there’s not gonna be a subsidence. Those never end up panning out to any great degree. There most certainly is. The thing about these storms as opposed to the real big dogs is you can’t afford to get caught in between bands for hours on end in an event that’s essentially 12 hours long. In a storm like the Feb 2013 blizzard... you can make it up over the course of the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 I love Harvey's map. Makes me feel a whole lot better. Paging @weathafella 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 9 minutes ago, TheSnowman said: The 18z GFS gives me 3” The 18z NAM gives me 26” BUT NO NO we Don’t need any more money and Government Help for our Weather Models Noooooo. Look how far the low tucked west on the gfs down towards Delaware compared to 12z and that was one run in difference. This is how the gfs does it. It’ll catch up eventually. I’ve grown to the point where I just use it for longer range wave length ideas and storm potential, but specifics is Gd pointless 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 8 minutes ago, JC-CT said: It looked more to me like a subsidence zone that more or less stays in the same place after the initial banding push, due to the trajectory of the storm. Maybe both. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Gfs close to showing a Miller B bomb next Tuesday. I thought this winter was supposed to suck technically it’s a hit for coastal region I believe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 4 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: There most certainly is. The thing about these storms as opposed to the real big dogs is you can’t afford to get caught in between bands for hours on end in an event that’s essentially 12 hours long. In a storm like the Feb 2013 blizzard... you can make it up over the course of the storm. I got caught in one during PD II and Dec 2003 ..only had 1' in both. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 GEFS looked like they bumped NW a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 I wonder if it would be preferable to have super-accurate forecast models (say, 5-day forecasts being as reliable as current 1-day forecasts). Definitely be a lot fewer posts here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Maybe both. Whatever it is—get it out of here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 10 minutes ago, TheSnowman said: The 18z GFS gives me 3” The 18z NAM gives me 26” BUT NO NO we Don’t need any more money and Government Help for our Weather Models Noooooo. This is why I'm confused how some weenies voted in 2016.... But I respectfully digress 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Maybe both. It actually carries the same dryslot all the way out into the gulf of maine. I really think it was just a function of the rgem's particular evolution this run. If it verified, ooph for several of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 And so it begins. Like sands thru the hourglass.. this is the FV3 we’ve known, all of our lives. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, JC-CT said: It actually carries the same dryslot all the way out into the gulf of maine. I really think it was just a function of the rgem's particular evolution this run. If it verified, ooph for several of us. That’s the deform from W MA into S NH. He’s in between areas of forcing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cmass495 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 accumulated precip spread in worcester Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, JC-CT said: It actually carries the same dryslot all the way out into the gulf of maine. I really think it was just a function of the rgem's particular evolution this run. If it verified, ooph for several of us. Other guidance has shown that slot in my area, adjacent to the CJ enhancement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 They’ll most certainly be a tight gradient. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, dendrite said: That’s the deform from W MA into S NH. He’s in between areas of forcing. On that model, yea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 10 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said: I love Harvey's map. Makes me feel a whole lot better. Paging @weathafella Lol....reading this from the Walgreens parking lot. His map agrees with what I told my wife. Her response; “that’s a lot of snow!” We’re so spoiled... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 GEFS waaay north AWT. More correcting to come 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: They’ll most certainly be a tight gradient. Any calls? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 8 minutes ago, weathafella said: Lol....reading this from the Walgreens parking lot. His map agrees with what I told my wife. Her response; “that’s a lot of snow!” We’re so spoiled... Enjoy your time in the parking lot with steamed up windows as your wife says, “wow that’s a lot” to your muthafuka. Such memorable moments. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 I agree, Harvey seems to get it. Not too high, not too low just about right with a chance of movement north or south depending on future runs. Good job Harvey. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cmass495 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Huge jump north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 6 minutes ago, Cmass495 said: That's actually a good sign. Thank you so much for posting that which shows the different stages of it's evolution with each model run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Beware amounts and areas of 15-20 that I'm seeing on facebook. It's too progressive 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: GEFS waaay north AWT. More correcting to come Gfs sitting on the front porch, alone, of a house party while everyone is rocking inside topless. The pope calls...”don’t do it, don’t succumb to the temptation.” 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Upton all in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Crazy that Philly is under a WSW but not Boston 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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