RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, dryslot said: It was a couple tics NW of 12z, Trough was sharper a few miles north this run. Yea. Mid levels better too. It’s a step. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 NBC and FOX 25 going 6+ for SEMA and less than 6 elsewhere. Not much across the border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cmass495 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Good to have it se and ticking nw though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea. Mid levels better too. It’s a step. It was, I mean it wasn't a shift but a couple tics ea run would work by go time, 18z RGEM was a few tics NW as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 9 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Yeah I think they were saying that as a reason that confidence is low. I think they changed it last year. They also got rid of Blizzard Watches That seems dumb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Good to have it se and ticking nw though. Its slowly getting there but the question is how much will it trend towards the other models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 GFS will start to get a clue once at 24-36h out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 3 minutes ago, Cmass495 said: The mood in here would be kind of worth seeing that outcome. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wizard021 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said: The mood in here would be kind of worth seeing that outcome. That's a great run for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 On RGEM the surface low moves about 75 miles from hr 57 to hr 66. Moved the best snows well to the NW from 12z run, except for the "screw zone". Also kept the snows going until early-mid afternoon in E sections. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 6 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: NBC and FOX 25 going 6+ for SEMA and less than 6 elsewhere. Not much across the border. LOL, they must be hugging the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Its slowly getting there but the question is how much will it trend towards the other models. Enough to give you are great storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 I usually post on the weather forums since that is popular on the west coast and I am from Seattle. I hope you guys get hammered from this since you guys won't have to many opportunities considering it's a la nina. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: A boy in his jammies can dream: A compromise between 10:1 and kurchera may be in order... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 37 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: Ha ! Nice screw zone from my house to Ray's I could see that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 I'll take a compromise among the NAM, RGEM, CMC, and Ukie. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoeSnowBOS Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, 78Blizzard said: I'll take a compromise among the NAM, RGEM, CMC, and Ukie. Lol the unreliable models we cheer for! Hahahaha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattm4242 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 From CBS Boston. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 32 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: So in my mind something like a Reggie track is sort of what I envisioned when I look at the H5 stuff. A lot of the guidance shunted it east. I know why it did....but that was always sort of what I envisioned. Reggie caveats apply naturally this far out. That’s sort of a balance between lows feeding off of PVA and baroclinic processes in my mind, but I’m also not running complex atmospheric dynamics equations in my mind. I kind of like that idea of the subsidence slot outside the OES CJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, JoeSnowBOS said: Lol the unreliable models we cheer for! Hahahaha Ukie is usually one of the better reliable models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, mattm4242 said: That looks a little different from what he just showed on TV Realistic though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 2 minutes ago, mattm4242 said: I buy Harvey’s map.... the one above seems like an unrealistic gradient...I know it’ll be tight but... not that tight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I kind of like that idea of the subsidence slot outside the OES CJ. It looked more to me like a subsidence zone that more or less stays in the same place after the initial banding push, due to the trajectory of the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 58 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: Hour 60-63 on the NAM Kuchera - 9" in 3 hours for me.. This setup reminds me somewhat of February 83. Northern VA into Eastern PA jackpotted, CT had 20", then it kinda petered out as it reached Boston. I wouldn't call about 20" in Reading, MA petering out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 The 18z GFS gives me 3” The 18z NAM gives me 26” BUT NO NO we Don’t need any more money and Government Help for our Weather Models Noooooo. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 This has to be one of the most frustrating events to track... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Yeah there’s not gonna be a subsidence. Those never end up panning out to any great degree. 3 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: This has to be one of the most frustrating events to track... They’re all frustrating 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 the GEFS definitely trying to work their way back nw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now