Damage In Tolland Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Just now, ORH_wxman said: 06z EPS What about Monday’s snow? Hold firm? That is turning into advisory event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 6 minutes ago, Hoth said: Hoth is hurt. Damn, how could I forget. Sorry bro! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 6z EPS slays. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Notice how it kind of hugs the coast down south and gets warmer midlevel air into NJ but then runs into a bit of a brick wall and moves ENE. Youre probably going to get a hellacious fronto band near on the northern side of that. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: What about Monday’s snow? Hold firm? That is turning into advisory event. Tickled SE a little on the 06z but still there. I’m not convinced yet of more than a C-2” but we watch...id love to grab a couple inches as an appetizer. Maybe we get lucky and it’s a little more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Notice how it kind of hugs the coast down south and gets warmer midlevel air into NJ but then runs into a bit of a brick wall and moves ENE. Youre probably going to get a hellacious fronto band near on the northern side of that. Boing! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 I think youall are going to get some SNOW. Like a lot! As in FEET...maybe 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB_Wchstr Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 15 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: Nope. Our turn. I speak for myself, Runnaway, Wolfie, Spanks, Easton+, 4 Seasons, Wiz...sorry if I left anyone out. Me lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Notice how it kind of hugs the coast down south and gets warmer midlevel air into NJ but then runs into a bit of a brick wall and moves ENE. Youre probably going to get a hellacious fronto band near on the northern side of that. Sort of what the 06z GFS did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 06z EPS Hey Will--do you have the ensemble members? They should really provide a median along with the mean. Averages (and medians) don't say nearly as much in isolation as they do in combination. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 This is maxed out right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB_Wchstr Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: This is maxed out right now. How do you know? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Salivating over a couple of northern tics over the next few days If not, still not terrible. Good show for the southern peeps 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Going to be on the line up here. Seems like there’s probably an historical tendency to nudge this northwest a little bit, especially since it seems to be more of an interior job down towards Philly. I guess it’s the strength and position of the position of the block and how strong it is against analogs. Happy to see Chris at GYX leaning towards Northwest nudges. I see the boxing day storm is a classic occluded nudge east northeast the mountains to screw us over up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 1 minute ago, SnowEMass said: How do you know? Lol It’s still a relatively progressive system. I enjoyed the hours of self rub n tug overnight but back to reality now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It’s still a relatively progressive system. I enjoyed the hours of self rub n tug overnight but back to reality now. Yeah... the 1 limiting factor that I see is it’s kind of in and out, relatively speaking. We’ve put up some prolific totals in fast movers before, but I thing that’s more the exception than the rule Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 I’ve also noticed that this has slowed down a good 6-12 hours over the last couple days.... looks like a mainly Thursday event now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 I’ll be all in if these hits keep coming inside D2. I’ve been stood up way too many times in the D2-D5 range. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I’ll be all in if these hits keep coming inside D2. I’ve been stood up way too many times in the D2-D5 range. This is still like 5 days away for most of the region... maybe like 4.5 for the far SW regions of New England.... feels like we’ve been tracking for days and the local news outlets probably won’t start really talking about it until Monday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB_Wchstr Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: This is still like 5 days away for most of the region... maybe like 4.5 for the far SW regions of New England.... feels like we’ve been tracking for days and the local news outlets probably won’t start really talking about it until Monday Last winter was so awful that we’re even more thirsty than usual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: This is still like 5 days away for most of the region... maybe like 4.5 for the far SW regions of New England.... feels like we’ve been tracking for days and the local news outlets probably won’t start really talking about it until Monday Yea. Don’t get me wrong though. This is better than tracking cold fronts but getting ideal solutions to keep slapping our faces for 5 days is tough and unlikely. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB_Wchstr Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea. Don’t get me wrong though. This is better than tracking cold fronts but getting ideal solutions to keep slapping our faces for 5 days is tough and unlikely. If we can get a warning level event out of this it’s a win. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 3 minutes ago, SnowEMass said: If we can get a warning level event out of this it’s a win. I think so too. 6-12” is the most likely outcome and even throwing up amounts right now is even silly. I wonder what the eps probability maps look like. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 12-18” lolli’s to 20 will be the max zone where it’s powder. Won’t be totally surprised if you see spots 20+. Coast will be less due to wetter snow consistency. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Severe Winter Storm Impact Index: 1.) Nuisance 2.) Significant 3.) Major 4.) Extreme 5.) Crippling Just now, Damage In Tolland said: 12-18” lolli’s to 20 will be the max zone where it’s powder. Won’t be totally surprised if you see spots 20+. Coast will be less due to wetter snow consistency. Id be fine with 15-18" 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 22 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It’s still a relatively progressive system. I enjoyed the hours of self rub n tug overnight but back to reality now. Shave 1/3 off of snow maps. The reality of fast flow regime. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB_Wchstr Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: 12-18” lolli’s to 20 will be the max zone where it’s powder. Won’t be totally surprised if you see spots 20+. Coast will be less due to wetter snow consistency. I’d be very satisfied with a foot after last winter. Actually I think I got a foot last winter lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 4 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Shave 1/3 off of snow maps. The reality of fast flow regime. Are we sure about that? Ratios could be pretty high Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Is it just me or is the Dec 16/17 storm beginning to look more Miller A-esque? Almost a Miller A/B hybrid kind of. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 8 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Ask and ye shall receive. Keep in mind this includes Monday too, which is good for an inch or two on the EPS. Regardless, it’s impressive at this range. Absolutely insane to see 12+ Probs in this area at this lead time greater than 50% 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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