Torch Tiger Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 6 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Not really feeling this one. Afraid a lot of weenies expecting 12-18"+ are going to be disappointed when they have to settle for 8". A region wide 6-12" south of the pike with 4-8" from pike northward is kind of what I'm expecting. Haven't dug in deep enough to figure out what "northward" means. The weenie calls of 18 and 24 were pretty funny 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Another thing I'd like to see is a somewhat delayed deepening of the SLP. That way best dynamics are delayed. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Hoping the Euro rides the Ukie... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbear5 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Another thing I'd like to see is a somewhat delayed deepening of the SLP. That way best dynamics are delayed. That, and it would limit the intrusion of warm air in the mid levels Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 3 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: The weenie calls of 18 and 24 were pretty funny I really hope no one in the New England forum was expecting those... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 3 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: so.. GFS/BOX vs the rest of the world? Actually no. If you read it carefully you see why they are skeptical of the NAM and looking at the GFS. They state what their reasoning is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, weatherbear5 said: That, and it would limit the intrusion of warm air in the mid levels Not sure where you're located but I don't see precip type being an issue once your off the Cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 4 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: wait, we need the german model Jordan Carver???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 9 minutes ago, MJO812 said: U crashed meteocentre. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 3 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I really hope no one in the New England forum was expecting those... It's funny you should say that. A well trusted meteorologist here in Connecticut said it's looking more and more likely to see a foot plus, he wouldn't be surprised if it's 1 to 2 ft. So, I don't think it's a wishful thinking type of deal. It is in the realm of possibility oh, that's coming from a professional / professionals as he's not the only one to say that being a meteorologist can I put time will tell. We're getting closer to the date. I'd be perfectly content with one foot 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Ukie looks like a huge hit here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Appears BOX is rolling with a Euro-esque solution south of the pike and GFS-esque solution north of the pike. I'd consider that a pretty safe forecast. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 One of my worries here really is that the GFS actually catches up with the other models, has the storm go to the 40/70 Benchmark, which is good! But, as the moisture approaches it end up getting eaten quite a bit in the very dry cold air aloft. That is my biggest worry out of this whole thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 9 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: wait, we need the german model "I'll take signs of desperation or obsessiveness for $100, please Alex" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, Greg said: One of my worries here really is that the GFS actually catches up with the other models, has the storm go to the 40/70 Benchmark, which is good! But, as the moisture approaches it end up getting eaten quite a bit in the very dry cold air aloft. That is my biggest worry out of this whole thing. 00z Friday it'll latch on to the solution. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Good thing this storm is perpetually 3 days out 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 6 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I really hope no one in the New England forum was expecting those... Not widespread, but southwestern NE could see some isolated totals approach that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Uncle is 12/11-12,1960. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Not widespread, but southwestern NE could see some isolated totals approach that. Yea. It’s worth mentioning if things break right but no one is expecting it. Not sure what nurse dewy has been reading. Probably overwhelmed with all the snow talk while she sits in her steamed bathroom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 We like crazy Uncle. This means that the EURO will likely hold serve at 12z. Widespread 8-14" is my call. Lollies to 16-18". We take...with open arms. GFS tossed. Crazy 18+ amounts tossed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea. It’s worth mentioning if things break right but no one is expecting it. Not sure what nurse dewy has been reading. Probably overwhelmed with all the snow talk while she sits in her steamed bathroom. I will admit that if I had the First Call map to do over again, I would have been a bit more reserved, but the 18"+ stuff was always implied as being isolated....its the people like him that focus on the top half of a range that breed misinformation. Its also not a Final map. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea. It’s worth mentioning if things break right but no one is expecting it. Not sure what nurse dewy has been reading. Probably overwhelmed with all the snow talk while she sits in her steamed bathroom. No.. Mountain Dew likes to stir the pot all the time. As I mentioned before.. He probably has nothing better to do and is bored with life, so he needs to poke all others to feel good. ;-) 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Here's generally what Boston's saying with it's BOX Weather Discussion: Blend these as of now pending future runs: Euro and GFS on the bottom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbear5 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 17 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Not sure where you're located but I don't see precip type being an issue once your off the Cape. I’m technically on Long Island, so not my subforum, but still haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 11 minutes ago, weathafella said: Uncle is 12/11-12,1960. Deets Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Pretty crazy to see what a ~50 mile difference in s/w location makes. Still too early to commit to either model at this point in my opinion for those in MA, especially people north of 495. People along and south of 495 I think are in a good spot regardless of which way this storm trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Deets Crusher DC-BOS. Cold (near 10 during storm) and huge winds. Kicked off an incredible winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 16 minutes ago, Greg said: One of my worries here really is that the GFS actually catches up with the other models, has the storm go to the 40/70 Benchmark, which is good! But, as the moisture approaches it end up getting eaten quite a bit in the very dry cold air aloft. That is my biggest worry out of this whole thing. Yes, the dry air worries me a bit also, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 I'd lock that down in a millisecond... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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