Cmass495 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 haha, shoutout FOR THE SNOW LOVERS OUT THERE WHO HAVE BEEN TRACKING THIS SNOW STORM SINCE MODELS BEGAN SHOWING IT AS EARLY AS LAST WEDNESDAY (!) THIS HAS BEEN A REMARKABLY CONSISTENT SYSTEM, DEPENDING ON WHAT GUIDANCE YOU WANT TO EXAMINE. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Please let this be right snowhole gone! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 On 12/16/2020 at 7:46 PM, ice1972 said: The valley isn't always a death sentence.....if the death band rolls over the valley the valley will do well.....we got 30" in Feb 2013 Expand Also, I don't think the wind direction is very favorable for valley shadow or downsloping. what would get us is any subsidence if we are on wrong end of the band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 No big changes from Sunday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 On 12/16/2020 at 7:53 PM, WinterWolf said: Explain JC Expand Ray's map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 On 12/16/2020 at 7:53 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: FINAL CALL: https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2020/12/high-impact-multi-faceted-winter-storm.html Expand Nice first and final. GL. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 On 12/16/2020 at 7:45 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: High school seniors looooove snow days Expand I was a senior in 95/96 in RI. Had more snow days that year than in any of the previous 12 I had been attending school. It was glorious! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 On 12/16/2020 at 7:53 PM, ORH_wxman said: NAM gone wild with CCB over SNE early tomorrow AM. Expand Would be better as a gif but the NAM pivots the band right through central MA it appears but it rots. Even probably clips NW CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 This run is mid level magic for berks ENE into SNH. Maybe tickling Ray. This is why we do not give out certainties with subbies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 On 12/16/2020 at 7:48 PM, JC-CT said: Just because there are some flakes in the air doesn't mean it's going to start snowing in any meaningful way for another few hours still...imo Expand Yeah it'll take time to saturate. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Maybe it's not quite as good as the 6z run for central NH and VT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Anyone have the latest model run to post? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 I don't think Ray will be right about the Cape, perhaps the Islands, not the Cape. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 On 12/16/2020 at 7:56 PM, weatherwiz said: Would be better as a gif but the NAM pivots the band right through central MA it appears but it rots. Even probably clips NW CT Expand This looks great for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 On 12/16/2020 at 7:55 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: No big changes from Sunday. Expand That 10 to 14 spot just got filled in by the NAM!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 On 12/16/2020 at 7:53 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: FINAL CALL: https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2020/12/high-impact-multi-faceted-winter-storm.html Expand Thanks for painting that yellow mix line literally right over my house. It's greatly appreciated! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 On 12/16/2020 at 7:58 PM, ineedsnow said: This looks great for me Expand I am a bit concerned down here though about busting too high. I also find it quite intriguing there is such an intense fronto band shown without the pleasure of a more compact closed H7 low but the profile certainly favors it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Very light snow here now - tiny flakes that are hard to see. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Great looking NAM run for SNH. A few miles south from 12z with the ML banding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 10 to 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 On 12/16/2020 at 8:02 PM, wx2fish said: Great looking NAM run for SNH. Looks a few miles south from 12z with the ML banding. Expand Def closer to 12z Euro now on the banding part....maybe still a smidge N but at least the gap has rapidly closed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 On 12/16/2020 at 8:03 PM, ineedsnow said: 10 to 1 Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 That is very nice. Now do we think are ratios will be higher than 10:00 to 1? Seems like we're going to be very cold here in Northern Connecticut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 On 12/16/2020 at 7:43 PM, PWMan said: Funny thing is that 3 or 4 days ago I would've been very happy with 2-4 inches. But once those bigger totals are shown and you see that warning color on the map there's no going back - feels like a screw job. Expand I always felt like a high end advisory was our upside here given the pattern, so I never really bought our 8-9” forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 On 12/16/2020 at 8:00 PM, weatherwiz said: I am a bit concerned down here though about busting too high. I also find it quite intriguing there is such an intense fronto band shown without the pleasure of a more compact closed H7 low but the profile certainly favors it Expand I don’t think the subby zones will be that drastic. Like 2-3”/hr in band vs .5-1”/hr in ‘subby’. We’ll be aight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 On 12/16/2020 at 8:06 PM, OceanStWx said: I always felt like a high end advisory was our upside here given the pattern, so I never really bought our 8-9” forecast. Expand The dry air is going to eat away at the precip on the northern fringe like a game of pacman. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeonPeon Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 On 12/16/2020 at 8:06 PM, Snowcrazed71 said: That is very nice. Now do we think are ratios will be higher than 10:00 to 1? Seems like we're going to be very cold here in Northern Connecticut Expand For sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mostman Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 On 12/16/2020 at 7:56 PM, weatherwiz said: Would be better as a gif but the NAM pivots the band right through central MA it appears but it rots. Even probably clips NW CT Expand Signed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 On 12/16/2020 at 7:58 PM, ineedsnow said: This looks great for me Expand That’s the deform BOX talked about pivoting over TOL cty north and west 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 On 12/16/2020 at 7:53 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: FINAL CALL: https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2020/12/high-impact-multi-faceted-winter-storm.html Expand 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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