Cmass495 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 haha, shoutout FOR THE SNOW LOVERS OUT THERE WHO HAVE BEEN TRACKING THIS SNOW STORM SINCE MODELS BEGAN SHOWING IT AS EARLY AS LAST WEDNESDAY (!) THIS HAS BEEN A REMARKABLY CONSISTENT SYSTEM, DEPENDING ON WHAT GUIDANCE YOU WANT TO EXAMINE. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Please let this be right snowhole gone! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 7 minutes ago, ice1972 said: The valley isn't always a death sentence.....if the death band rolls over the valley the valley will do well.....we got 30" in Feb 2013 Also, I don't think the wind direction is very favorable for valley shadow or downsloping. what would get us is any subsidence if we are on wrong end of the band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 No big changes from Sunday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: Explain JC Ray's map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: FINAL CALL: https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2020/12/high-impact-multi-faceted-winter-storm.html Nice first and final. GL. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 10 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: High school seniors looooove snow days I was a senior in 95/96 in RI. Had more snow days that year than in any of the previous 12 I had been attending school. It was glorious! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: NAM gone wild with CCB over SNE early tomorrow AM. Would be better as a gif but the NAM pivots the band right through central MA it appears but it rots. Even probably clips NW CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 This run is mid level magic for berks ENE into SNH. Maybe tickling Ray. This is why we do not give out certainties with subbies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 8 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Just because there are some flakes in the air doesn't mean it's going to start snowing in any meaningful way for another few hours still...imo Yeah it'll take time to saturate. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Maybe it's not quite as good as the 6z run for central NH and VT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Anyone have the latest model run to post? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 I don't think Ray will be right about the Cape, perhaps the Islands, not the Cape. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: Would be better as a gif but the NAM pivots the band right through central MA it appears but it rots. Even probably clips NW CT This looks great for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: No big changes from Sunday. That 10 to 14 spot just got filled in by the NAM!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: FINAL CALL: https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2020/12/high-impact-multi-faceted-winter-storm.html Thanks for painting that yellow mix line literally right over my house. It's greatly appreciated! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Just now, ineedsnow said: This looks great for me I am a bit concerned down here though about busting too high. I also find it quite intriguing there is such an intense fronto band shown without the pleasure of a more compact closed H7 low but the profile certainly favors it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Very light snow here now - tiny flakes that are hard to see. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Great looking NAM run for SNH. A few miles south from 12z with the ML banding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 10 to 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Just now, wx2fish said: Great looking NAM run for SNH. Looks a few miles south from 12z with the ML banding. Def closer to 12z Euro now on the banding part....maybe still a smidge N but at least the gap has rapidly closed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, ineedsnow said: 10 to 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 That is very nice. Now do we think are ratios will be higher than 10:00 to 1? Seems like we're going to be very cold here in Northern Connecticut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 22 minutes ago, PWMan said: Funny thing is that 3 or 4 days ago I would've been very happy with 2-4 inches. But once those bigger totals are shown and you see that warning color on the map there's no going back - feels like a screw job. I always felt like a high end advisory was our upside here given the pattern, so I never really bought our 8-9” forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 5 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I am a bit concerned down here though about busting too high. I also find it quite intriguing there is such an intense fronto band shown without the pleasure of a more compact closed H7 low but the profile certainly favors it I don’t think the subby zones will be that drastic. Like 2-3”/hr in band vs .5-1”/hr in ‘subby’. We’ll be aight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, OceanStWx said: I always felt like a high end advisory was our upside here given the pattern, so I never really bought our 8-9” forecast. The dry air is going to eat away at the precip on the northern fringe like a game of pacman. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeonPeon Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 3 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: That is very nice. Now do we think are ratios will be higher than 10:00 to 1? Seems like we're going to be very cold here in Northern Connecticut For sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mostman Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 12 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Would be better as a gif but the NAM pivots the band right through central MA it appears but it rots. Even probably clips NW CT Signed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 11 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: This looks great for me That’s the deform BOX talked about pivoting over TOL cty north and west 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 17 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: FINAL CALL: https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2020/12/high-impact-multi-faceted-winter-storm.html 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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