RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Factor in the go time se Messanger shuffle. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, CT Rain said: I'm contemplating a 16-24 kind of deal up there. Yeah I can see that. Someone is gonna get 2 feet...best chance is prob west in Catskills but there is an unignorable chance it creeps into N litchfield county and parts of adjacent W MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 3 minutes ago, SnowGiant611 said: Keep an eye on Binghamton and Utica, NY. How quickly the column saturates there and echoes start reaching the ground might be a clue to how the precip is able to battle the dry air at lower levels in the northern periphery of the precip shield. Additionally, it will be interesting to see how far the shield advances into CNY/UNY prior to be shunted east by the confluence to the N. Albany isn't supposed to be snowing until 8pm but there is what looks like a big light-moderate band just about to get to them. they are only 59% humidity though at last observation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Factor in the go time se Messanger shuffle. 1 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGiant611 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: Albany isn't supposed to be snowing until 8pm but there is what looks like a big light-moderate band just about to get to them. they are only 59% humidity though at last observation. Talk about waffling, Mark, lol. Not feeling very good about our chances for warning snows up here. Your thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 SWC is going 14-20” for the interior WCT people with 12-16” for coastal peeps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah I can see that. Someone is gonna get 2 feet...best chance is prob west in Catskills but there is an unignorable chance it creeps into N litchfield county and parts of adjacent W MA. What about the Worcester-Tolland Massif, surely orthographic factors favor us for up to 18 inches 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah I can see that. Someone is gonna get 2 feet...best chance is prob west in Catskills but there is an unignorable chance it creeps into N litchfield county and parts of adjacent W MA. ALY seems to agree with the W Catskills jackpot as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 I'm happy as long as we see a real heavy subsidence zone. Will be monitoring the potential throughout the event and have updates 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Just now, SnowGiant611 said: Talk about waffling, Mark, lol. Not feeling very good about our chances for warning snows up here. Your thoughts? Scranton and Binghamton are snowing 2-4 hours head of schedule, which I suppose could be good. Even Elmira snowing pretty hard. But I think we are screwed. We see this alot up here as you know. I expect 3-6 with a lot of frustration watching radar, and then when the good echoes come, it is sand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 i still like the 10-15 call for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 4 minutes ago, tavwtby said: ALY seems to agree with the W Catskills jackpot as well. Just buried from there and to the WSW with that 7 H low chillin later 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mothman Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 12 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah I can see that. Someone is gonna get 2 feet...best chance is prob west in Catskills but there is an unignorable chance it creeps into N litchfield county and parts of adjacent W MA. Hello from western catskills Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 16 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: 13 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Factor in the go time se Messanger shuffle. This along with the power of the Pope compelling it to move south. methinks I should have stayed in Shelburne. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteLawns Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 18 minutes ago, CT Rain said: I'm contemplating a 16-24 kind of deal up there. Like the Torrington area or far Nwct? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 8 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: SWC is going 14-20” for the interior WCT people with 12-16” for coastal peeps. Who’s SWC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 8 minutes ago, J Paul Gordon said: What about the Worcester-Tolland Massif, surely orthographic factors favor us for up to 18 inches Not the right setup for an ORH jackpot....but it will be a solid hit regardless. Prob 12-15ish. Can't rule out a bit higher if a few lucky bands happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 18z RAP just finished and steady as she goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Who’s SWC? Southbury Weather Center. It's a subscription service for the weeniest of weenies. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bwt3650 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 22 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Was trying to book a Hunter mtn weenie drive but only one hotel out there taking reservations and its 260$ for a Wed. nite. Pass. . I'll enjoy my 10" in Bedford, MA. Was there today..epic requires reservations and can’t get one for next 3 days. They are going to get smoked. Blowing a ton of snow this morning, even with everything on the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 I hope the slightly lower than forecast temps means something for mixing risks. But I’m not naive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Just received a recorded message from our system's Superintendent cancelling school for tomorrow and telling kids to turn off their computers and go outside and play in the snow. 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 5 minutes ago, Hoth said: Southbury Weather Center. It's a subscription service for the weeniest of weenies. Free service too...doesn’t get much better than that. It’s the pornhub of snow weenies. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Not the right setup for an ORH jackpot....but it will be a solid hit regardless. Prob 12-15ish. Can't rule out a bit higher if a few lucky bands happen. Miller A’s favor WNE. That’s the only way they’ll beat out the rest of us. I prefer Miller B’s myself 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, nutmegfriar said: Just received a recorded message from our system's Superintendent cancelling school for tomorrow and telling kids to turn off their computers and go outside and play in the snow. They canceled remote learning up here too. Like wtf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 54 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: Ah fook. Please GYX, take down the winter storm warnings, put me out of my misery. The stars are not wanted now; put out every one, Pack up the moon and dismantle the sun, Screw zone again 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteLawns Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, dendrite said: They canceled remote learning up here too. Like wtf. Good... kids need snow days. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 3 minutes ago, IowaStorm05 said: I hope the slightly lower than forecast temps means something for mixing risks. But I’m not naive The potential warm layer is between 700-800mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 4 minutes ago, nutmegfriar said: Just received a recorded message from our system's Superintendent cancelling school for tomorrow and telling kids to turn off their computers and go outside and play in the snow. Awesome 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Miller A’s favor WNE. That’s the only way they’ll beat out the rest of us. I prefer Miller B’s myself Certainly not the only way. You can mix or flip to rain while the inches are stacking in GC. Happens very often. Just one of the reasons they average more than you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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